Pittsburgh Pirates Playoff Chances 2016

Beat Diamondbacks 1048-854, playoff odds down 0.5 to 13.4%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854 +2.7
+0.2
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930 -0.4
-0.0
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.3
-0.0
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 -0.3
-0.0
Rangers 961 Mets 1185 -0.3
-0.1
Giants 1017 Padres 879 -0.2
-0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Pirates vs Phillies+2.5-8.8
+0.1-0.5
Cardinals vs Red Sox-2.1+1.9
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Mariners-0.5+2.7
-0.0+0.1
Dodgers vs Cubs+1.4-1.5
+0.0-0.1
Mets vs White Sox-0.7+0.4
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Pirates finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1711-096.8%35272323026,144,668
1610-174.831613442320188,069,462
159-229.301721452430546,862,147
148-34.200132548220820,266,544
137-40.20005356000686,110,990
126-50.00001287100330,249,867
115-60.000029440094,921,367
104-7Out0081171016,717,470
93-8Out05140901,817,498
82-9Out017483410118,540
71-10Out32566604,410
60-11Out0561294000224,857
Total:13.4%123820303700000002,711,507,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs