Minnesota Twins Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Marlins 846-970, playoff odds down 0.0007 to 0.00001%
3-7   .300

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Marlins 970 Twins 846 Out
-0.1
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 +0.0
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.0
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 +0.0
Rays 764 Red Sox 1156 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Yankees vs TwinsOut+0.0
-0.3+0.5
Rays vs Indians-0.2+0.0
Nationals vs Athletics+0.1-0.1
Giants vs Mariners+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Twins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1411-00.2%0014433480224,852
1310-1Out1114141604,324
129-2Out0111523420118,661
118-3Out001215719201,790,356
107-4Out00334431820016,171,722
96-5Out00729441820090,106,808
85-6Out00529462000310,679,564
74-7Out005335660654,383,029
63-8Out000864272818,581,336
52-9Out000335214577,955,732
41-10Out074846210,567,544
30-11Out227830,923,892
Total:0.0%00000002616432582,711,507,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Marlins 970 Twins 846 +0.1
Yankees 882 Orioles 1067 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Yankees vs Twins+0.5-1.0
Rays vs Indians+0.2-0.0
Braves vs Tigers+0.1-0.0
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.1
Pirates vs Phillies-0.0+0.1
Orioles vs Rockies-0.0+0.1
Giants vs Mariners-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1411-0000014343315300
1310-1021026342360
129-20021334381210
118-30007324315200
107-40052839226100
96-500317323014300
85-600182335267000
74-7000031538404000
63-8000111562750000
52-90001535321430000
41-1000211273220610
30-110031841325
Total:00000000000012481630179532100