National League Playoff Chances 2016

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs										Chance will finish regular season at seed
	G	W	-	L	PCT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Marlins		8	-	2	.800	1758	98.6	%	+0.1	65	24	9	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0					1.5	+0.04	1	.803	Miami Marlins
Dodgers		8	-	2	.800	2538	80.4		-0.2	12	25	28	15	10	7	3	0	0	0						3.2	-0.02	10	.827	Los Angeles Dodgers
Cardinals		8	-	2	.800	2046	73.1		+2.0	9	21	23	20	15	9	3	0	0	0						3.5	+0.06	9	.813	St. Louis Cardinals
Cubs		8	-	2	.800	1934	64.2		+0.7	9	15	18	22	18	12	6	0	0	0						3.9		8	.811	Chicago Cubs

Giants		7	-	3	.700	2512	59.6		-2.9	4	13	17	25	19	14	7	0	0	0	0					4.1	-0.11	19	.824	San Francisco Giants
Pirates		6	-	4	.600	825	13.4		-0.5	1	2	3	8	20	30	37	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		5.8		7	.701	Pittsburgh Pirates
Mets		6	-	4	.600	896	10.6		+0.8	0	1	1	8	18	28	43	1	0	0	0	0	0			6.0	+0.08	5	.720	New York Mets
Phillies		4	-	6	.400	-366	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	44	52	3	0	0	0	0	0	8.6	+0.30	16	.399	Philadelphia Phillies
Diamondbacks		4	-	6	.400	-619	0.0		-0.0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	54	42	3	0	0	0	0	0	8.5	-0.18	17	.334	Arizona Diamondbacks
Reds		2	-	8	.200	-3038	0.0		-0.0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	17	21	22	19	11	12.5		30	.169	Cincinnati Reds
Nationals		1	-	9	.100	-2017	0.0					0		0	0	0	0	3	34	20	14	11	9	7	11.5	-0.14	27	.182	Washington Nationals
Braves		1	-	9	.100	-4171	0.0					0		0	0	0	0	1	15	18	18	17	16	15	12.4	-0.01	22	.167	Atlanta Braves
Padres		1	-	9	.100	-1780	Out		-0.0					0	0	0	0	1	17	18	17	17	16	13	12.3	+0.07	26	.187	San Diego Padres
Rockies		1	-	9	.100	-3817	Out		-0.0					0	0	0	0	1	11	15	17	18	20	19	12.8	-0.04	24	.167	Colorado Rockies
Brewers		0	-	10	.000	-2555	Out							0	0	0	0	0	7	10	12	15	20	35	13.3	-0.05	28	.172	Milwaukee Brewers

Week of 6/12
Dodgers 1180 Mariners 930
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	+3.7		+0.2
Cardinals	-0.7
Cubs	-0.7
Giants	-1.5		-0.1
Pirates	-0.4
Mets	-0.4

Rangers 961 Mets 1185
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins	-0.5
Dodgers	-0.5
Cardinals	-0.6
Cubs	-0.7
Giants	-0.8
Pirates	-0.3
Mets	+3.3		+0.2

Pirates 1048 Diamondbacks 854
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	-0.3
Cardinals	-0.8
Cubs	-0.9
Giants	-0.6
Pirates	+2.7		+0.2
Mets	-0.2
Diamondbacks			-0.1

Reds 785 Cubs 1368
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	-0.2
Cardinals	-0.4		-0.0
Cubs	+1.6		+0.1
Giants	-0.4
Pirates	-0.3
Mets	-0.2
Reds	Out		-0.1
Braves			+0.0
Padres			+0.0
Rockies			+0.0

Giants 1017 Padres 879
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	-0.4		-0.0
Cardinals	-0.3
Cubs	-0.3
Giants	+1.4		+0.1
Pirates	-0.2
Mets	-0.2
Reds			+0.0
Padres	*Out		-0.1

Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	-0.2
Cardinals	+1.4		+0.1
Cubs	-0.4		-0.0
Giants	-0.3
Pirates	-0.3
Mets	-0.1
Reds			+0.0
Rockies	*Out		-0.1

Marlins 970 Twins 846
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins	+0.3		+0.1
Mets	-0.3

Athletics 956 Phillies 1047
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Phillies			+0.1

Braves 595 White Sox 1119
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Braves	Out		-0.1

Nationals 717 Royals 753
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nationals			-0.3

Brewers 887 Tigers 1351
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Reds			+0.0
Brewers			-0.1

Week of 6/19
Dodgers vs CubsIf winner is:HomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	89.570.3		2.73.7
Cardinals	74.671.5		3.43.6
Cubs	52.677.2		4.43.3
Giants	58.960.5		4.24.0
Pirates	14.711.8		5.85.9

Giants vs MarinersHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	79.486.1		3.22.9
Cardinals	72.476.8		3.53.4
Cubs	63.468.5		3.93.8
Giants	63.240.5		4.04.8
Pirates	12.916.0		5.95.7
Mets	10.113.2		6.05.9

Cardinals vs Red SoxHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers	79.181.6		3.23.1
Cardinals	82.864.3		3.13.9
Cubs	61.366.9		4.03.7
Giants	57.461.6		4.24.1
Pirates	11.215.3		5.95.8
Mets	9.511.5

Mets vs White SoxHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins	97.699.2
Dodgers	79.281.1
Cardinals	71.673.9
Cubs	62.465.2		3.93.8
Giants	57.560.8		4.24.1
Mets	19.26.1		5.66.2

Pirates vs PhilliesHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Cardinals	72.575.5		3.53.4
Cubs	63.567.0		3.93.8
Giants	59.161.5		4.14.0
Pirates	15.84.6		5.76.3
Phillies			8.78.4

Marlins vs AngelsHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Marlins	99.497.2		1.31.8
Mets	9.911.7

Blue Jays vs DiamondbacksHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Diamondbacks			8.58.3

Astros vs RedsHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Reds	Out0.0		12.611.5
Nationals			11.511.7
Braves			12.412.7
Padres			12.312.5
Rockies			12.713.0

Nationals vs AthleticsHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nationals	0.0Out		11.112.0

Braves vs TigersHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Reds			12.812.5
Braves			11.512.5

Orioles vs RockiesHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Reds			12.512.8
Braves			12.412.6
Padres			12.312.5
Rockies			12.911.8

Rangers vs PadresHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Reds			12.512.7
Padres			12.511.5

Brewers vs RoyalsHomeAway
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Reds			12.712.5
Rockies			12.912.7
Brewers			12.613.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

National League Playoff Chances 2016

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