Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Cardinals 848-1326, playoff odds unchanged at 0%
1-9   .100

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 *Out
-0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 +0.1
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 +0.0
Brewers 887 Tigers 1351 +0.0
Giants 1017 Padres 879 +0.0
Braves 595 White Sox 1119 +0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Orioles vs Rockies-0.1+0.9
Astros vs Reds+0.0-0.2
Brewers vs Royals-0.2+0.1
Rangers vs Padres+0.0-0.2
Braves vs Tigers-0.2+0.0
Nationals vs Athletics-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
1211-0Out0124740224,798
1110-1Out6932124
109-2Out1821615,485
98-3Out0534070131,547
87-4Out020503001,876,414
76-5Out03296520016,703,359
65-6Out0077616100093,191,075
54-7Out00444112200323,173,887
43-8Out00932351950685,601,673
32-9Out0519353110856,896,140
21-10Out001113949574,717,390
10-11Out001287158,985,928
Total:Out000011115171820192,711,507,820
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cardinals 1326 Rockies 848 +0.1
Nationals 717 Royals 753 -0.0
Athletics 956 Phillies 1047 -0.0
Reds 785 Cubs 1368 -0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Orioles vs Rockies+0.2-1.2
Astros vs Reds-0.0+0.3
Brewers vs Royals+0.1-0.1
Rangers vs Padres-0.0+0.2
Braves vs Tigers+0.2-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
1211-00019263522500
1110-11103444101
109-200635391730
98-306233526910
87-400211273421500
76-5000315353510100
65-6000173138193000
54-70003183630112000
43-80018253423810
32-9002122732216
21-10003133648
10-110892
Total:0000000000001247111415151518