SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

South Africa Playoff Chances 2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 40%

0 points 0-0 0 0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Zealand vs South Africa	-18.6+2.1+18.5		-2.6-0.1+2.6
Italy vs Canada	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Italy vs Namibia	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Russia			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Russia vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ireland vs Scotland			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs Argentina			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Wales vs Georgia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Australia vs Fiji			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fiji vs Uruguay			-0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
South Africa vs Namibia	+18.5+2.1-18.6		+2.6-0.1-2.6
New Zealand vs Canada	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Ireland			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Ireland vs Russia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Scotland vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Australia vs Wales			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Georgia vs Fiji			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Georgia vs Uruguay			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Argentina vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the South Africa finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Count

16		4	-	0	0		0		In		52	35	12	1																	1,679,054,084
14		3	-	0	0		1		In		14	44	33	8	0	0	0														169,632,130
12		3	-	0	1		0		97.1	%	2	10	19	22	20	15	7	2	3	0	0	0									6,702,056,516
		2	-	0	0		2		100.0		1	9	21	27	23	14	5	1	0	0											6,437,952
10		2	-	0	1		1		79.7		0	0	0	2	12	27	28	11	18	2	0	0	0								508,937,067
		1	-	0	0		3		85.0			0	0	4	15	29	27	10	13	2	0	0									108,705
8		2	-	0	2		0		25.0		0	0	0	0	1	3	8	12	13	15	14	13	11	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	10,053,164,420
		1	-	0	1		2		19.7				0	0	0	2	6	12	10	15	18	17	12	6	2	0	0	0	0		12,875,732
		0	-	0	0		4		11.4							1	4	6	3	14	27	27	13	4	0	0					696
6		1	-	0	2		1		0.0								0	0	0	0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0	0	508,894,879
		0	-	0	1		3		0.4									0	0	0	1	9	25	34	22	7	1	0	0		108,768
4		1	-	0	3		0		Out										0	0	0	1	3	9	15	18	20	18	12	4	6,702,137,830
		0	-	0	2		2		Out												0	0	0	1	5	16	29	28	17	4	6,439,523
2		0	-	0	3		1		Out															0	0	0	6	26	44	25	169,641,187
0		0	-	0	4		0		Out																		1	9	31	59	1,679,008,111

Total:									40.0	%	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	28,198,497,600

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs