SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Australia Playoff Chances 2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 40%

0 points 0-0 0 0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Australia vs Fiji	+18.5+2.1-18.6		+2.6-0.1-2.6
Wales vs Georgia	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Fiji vs Uruguay	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Russia			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Ireland vs Scotland			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Russia vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
New Zealand vs South Africa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs Argentina			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Italy vs Canada			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Italy vs Namibia			-0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Australia vs Wales	+18.5+2.1-18.6		+2.6-0.1-2.6
Georgia vs Fiji	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Georgia vs Uruguay	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Ireland			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Scotland vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ireland vs Russia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Argentina vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0
South Africa vs Namibia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
New Zealand vs Canada			-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Australia finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Count

16		4	-	0	0		0		In		52	35	12	1																	1,679,059,438
14		3	-	0	0		1		In		14	44	33	8	0	0	0														169,618,118
12		3	-	0	1		0		97.1	%	2	10	19	22	20	15	7	2	3	0	0	0									6,702,186,061
		2	-	0	0		2		100.0		1	9	21	27	23	14	5	1	0	0	0										6,438,852
10		2	-	0	1		1		79.7		0	0	0	2	12	27	28	11	18	2	0	0	0								508,894,606
		1	-	0	0		3		85.1			0	0	4	15	29	27	10	13	2	0										108,796
8		2	-	0	2		0		25.0		0	0	0	0	1	3	8	12	13	15	14	13	11	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	10,053,166,654
		1	-	0	1		2		19.7				0	0	0	2	6	12	10	15	18	17	12	6	2	0	0	0	0		12,880,179
		0	-	0	0		4		13.7							0	5	9	3	17	25	23	13	5	1						693
6		1	-	0	2		1		0.0								0	0	0	0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0	0	508,887,904
		0	-	0	1		3		0.4									0	0	0	1	9	25	34	22	7	1	0	0	0	109,218
4		1	-	0	3		0		Out										0	0	0	1	3	9	15	18	20	18	12	4	6,702,037,328
		0	-	0	2		2		Out												0	0	0	1	5	16	29	28	17	4	6,440,354
2		0	-	0	3		1		Out															0	0	0	6	26	44	25	169,611,377
0		0	-	0	4		0		Out																		1	9	31	59	1,679,058,022

Total:									40.0	%	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	28,198,497,600

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs