SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

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United States Playoff Chances 2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 40%

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
England vs United States	-18.6+2.1+18.5		-2.6-0.1+2.6
France vs Argentina	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
England vs Tonga	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Russia			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Russia vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ireland vs Scotland			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fiji vs Uruguay			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Australia vs Fiji			-0.0+0.1-0.0
New Zealand vs South Africa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Italy vs Canada			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Italy vs Namibia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Wales vs Georgia			-0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
France vs United States	-18.6+2.1+18.5		-2.6-0.1+2.6
Argentina vs Tonga	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Ireland			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Scotland vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ireland vs Russia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Georgia vs Uruguay			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Australia vs Wales			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Georgia vs Fiji			-0.0+0.1-0.0
New Zealand vs Canada			-0.0+0.1-0.0
South Africa vs Namibia			-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the United States finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Count

16		4	-	0	0		0		In		52	35	12	1																	1,679,083,646
14		3	-	0	0		1		In		14	44	33	8	0	0	0														169,638,861
12		3	-	0	1		0		97.1	%	2	10	19	22	20	15	7	2	3	0	0	0									6,702,094,144
		2	-	0	0		2		100.0		1	9	21	27	23	14	5	1	0	0											6,434,735
10		2	-	0	1		1		79.7		0	0	0	2	12	27	28	11	18	2	0	0	0								508,875,729
		1	-	0	0		3		84.9			0	0	4	15	29	27	10	13	2	0	0									108,597
8		2	-	0	2		0		25.0		0	0	0	0	1	3	8	12	13	15	14	13	11	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	10,053,150,276
		1	-	0	1		2		19.7				0	0	0	2	6	12	10	15	18	17	12	6	2	0	0	0	0		12,883,769
		0	-	0	0		4		12.6						0	2	3	8	3	15	26	23	14	4	1	0					660
6		1	-	0	2		1		0.0								0	0	0	0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0	0	508,895,883
		0	-	0	1		3		0.4									0	0	0	1	8	25	34	22	7	1	0	0		108,905
4		1	-	0	3		0		Out										0	0	0	1	3	9	15	18	20	18	12	4	6,702,130,691
		0	-	0	2		2		Out												0	0	0	1	5	16	29	28	17	4	6,437,624
2		0	-	0	3		1		Out															0	0	0	6	26	44	25	169,650,717
0		0	-	0	4		0		Out																		1	9	31	59	1,679,003,363

Total:									40.0	%	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	28,198,497,600

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs