SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Canada Playoff Chances 2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 40%

0 points 0-0 0 0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Italy vs Canada	-18.6+2.1+18.5		-2.6-0.1+2.6
Italy vs Namibia	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
New Zealand vs South Africa	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Russia			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Ireland vs Scotland			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Russia vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Fiji vs Uruguay			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs Argentina			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Australia vs Fiji			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Wales vs Georgia			-0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Zealand vs Canada	-18.6+2.1+18.5		-2.6-0.1+2.6
South Africa vs Namibia	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Ireland			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Scotland vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ireland vs Russia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Georgia vs Fiji			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Georgia vs Uruguay			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Australia vs Wales			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Argentina vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Canada finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Count

16		4	-	0	0		0		In		52	35	12	1																	1,679,069,259
14		3	-	0	0		1		In		14	44	33	8	0	0	0														169,650,825
12		3	-	0	1		0		97.1	%	2	10	19	22	20	15	7	2	3	0	0	0									6,702,025,101
		2	-	0	0		2		100.0		1	9	21	27	23	14	5	1	0	0											6,442,450
10		2	-	0	1		1		79.7		0	0	0	2	12	27	28	11	18	2	0	0	0								508,901,039
		1	-	0	0		3		84.9			0	0	4	15	29	27	10	13	2	0	0									108,535
8		2	-	0	2		0		25.0		0	0	0	0	1	3	8	12	13	15	14	13	11	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	10,053,143,598
		1	-	0	1		2		19.7			0	0	0	0	2	6	12	10	15	18	17	12	6	2	0	0	0	0		12,880,464
		0	-	0	0		4		14.5							1	5	9	4	15	27	23	14	3	1						743
6		1	-	0	2		1		0.0								0	0	0	0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0	0	508,953,695
		0	-	0	1		3		0.4									0	0	0	1	8	25	34	22	7	1	0	0		108,768
4		1	-	0	3		0		Out										0	0	0	1	3	9	15	18	20	18	12	4	6,702,082,582
		0	-	0	2		2		Out											0	0	0	0	1	5	16	29	28	17	4	6,436,956
2		0	-	0	3		1		Out															0	0	0	6	26	44	25	169,608,115
0		0	-	0	4		0		Out																		1	9	31	59	1,679,085,470

Total:									40.0	%	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	28,198,497,600

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs