SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Being true to yourself,
80’s style

Wales Playoff Chances 2019

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 40%

0 points 0-0 0 0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/20	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wales vs Georgia	+18.5+2.1-18.6		+2.6-0.1-2.6
Australia vs Fiji	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Fiji vs Uruguay	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Russia			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Russia vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ireland vs Scotland			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs Argentina			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Italy vs Namibia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Italy vs Canada			-0.0+0.1-0.0
England vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0
New Zealand vs South Africa			-0.0+0.1-0.0

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Australia vs Wales	-18.6+2.1+18.5		-2.6-0.1+2.6
Georgia vs Fiji	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Georgia vs Uruguay	+0.0-1.4+0.0		+0.0-0.2+0.0
Japan vs Ireland			+0.0-0.0-0.1
Scotland vs Samoa			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Ireland vs Russia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
Argentina vs Tonga			-0.0+0.1-0.0
South Africa vs Namibia			-0.0+0.1-0.0
New Zealand vs Canada			-0.0+0.1-0.0
France vs United States			-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Wales finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L		D	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Count

16		4	-	0	0		0		In		52	35	12	1																	1,679,060,249
14		3	-	0	0		1		In		14	44	33	8	0	0	0														169,636,031
12		3	-	0	1		0		97.1	%	2	10	19	22	20	15	7	2	3	0	0	0									6,702,114,987
		2	-	0	0		2		100.0		1	9	21	27	23	14	5	1	0	0											6,437,251
10		2	-	0	1		1		79.7		0	0	0	2	12	27	28	11	18	2	0	0	0								508,898,022
		1	-	0	0		3		85.1			0	0	4	15	29	27	10	13	2	0	0									108,606
8		2	-	0	2		0		25.0		0	0	0	0	1	3	8	12	13	15	14	13	11	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	10,053,130,183
		1	-	0	1		2		19.7				0	0	0	2	6	12	10	15	18	17	12	6	2	0	0	0	0		12,875,197
		0	-	0	0		4		12.2							0	4	8	3	15	26	25	12	5	1						681
6		1	-	0	2		1		0.0								0	0	0	0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0	0	0	508,877,307
		0	-	0	1		3		0.4									0	0	0	1	9	25	34	22	7	1	0	0		108,769
4		1	-	0	3		0		Out										0	0	0	1	3	9	15	18	20	18	12	4	6,702,139,492
		0	-	0	2		2		Out											0	0	0	0	1	5	16	29	28	17	4	6,441,075
2		0	-	0	3		1		Out															0	0	0	6	26	44	25	169,653,764
0		0	-	0	4		0		Out																		1	9	31	59	1,679,015,986

Total:									40.0	%	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	28,198,497,600

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs