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Melaniacs Playoff Chances 2011
Beat Yo11 49-45, playoff odds up 17.2 to 49.7%
6-3-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Yo11 45 Melaniacs 49 | +15.3 | +1.0 | ||
| Pokes 60 Hullabarbaloos 65 | -1.0 | |||
| Orcas 50 Fighting Baculu 57 | -0.6 | -0.0 | ||
| Covingtron 5000 59 bluebirds 49 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||
| Colo. Connectio 63 Neighbor 76 | -0.4 | |||
| Legion of Doom 68 Hollywood Dogs 52 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Throwbacks 51 BUCS 98 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hollywood Dogs vs Melaniacs | -19.0-1.6+13.5 | -1.1-0.0+0.8 | ||
| Colo. Connectio vs bluebirds | -1.5+2.5+2.9 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Orcas vs Neighbor | +3.1*+0.3-0.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | ||
| Legion of Doom vs Fighting Baculu | -0.9-1.3+1.0 | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | ||
| Yo11 vs Hullabarbaloos | -1.0+0.5+0.6 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Melaniacs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 5 | 0 | 451,365 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | .5 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 71 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 78,755 | ||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 35 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2,089,241 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 37 | 47 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5,676 | |||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 99.0 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 298,239 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 81.9 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3,879,510 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.5 | 12 | 47 | 29 | 12 | 1 | 198 | |||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 46.5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 432,439 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 83.1 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 16,847 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 48.3 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 453 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 50.0 | 50 | 50 | 2 | ||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 12.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3,641,225 | |||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 297,484 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 11.6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 17,896 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 2.6 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 312 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 3 | Out | 25 | 25 | 50 | 8 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 41 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1,804,899 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 11 | 37 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 8,193 | ||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 50 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 95,822 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 15 | 58 | 21 | 5 | 62 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 4 | 40 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 445,172 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Out | 3 | 41 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 1,239 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 12 | 43 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 11,420 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 2 | 22 | 45 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 45,111 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 49.7 | % | 9 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13,621,568 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
