Melaniacs Playoff Chances 2011 50/50
Beat Yo11 49-45, playoff odds up 12.9 to 52.3%
6-3-0 .667
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/6 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Yo11 45 Melaniacs 49 | +14.2 | +1.0 | ||
| Orcas 50 Fighting Baculu 57 | -1.4 | -0.1 | ||
| Pokes 60 Hullabarbaloos 65 | -1.1 | -0.0 | ||
| Covingtron 5000 59 bluebirds 49 | +0.7 | +0.1 | ||
| Throwbacks 51 BUCS 98 | +0.5 | +0.1 | ||
| Legion of Doom 68 Hollywood Dogs 52 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hollywood Dogs vs Melaniacs | -16.4+0.7+16.4 | -1.0+0.1+1.0 | ||
| Colo. Connectio vs bluebirds | -1.6+1.7+1.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
| Orcas vs Neighbor | +1.6-1.2-1.6 | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | ||
| Legion of Doom vs Fighting Baculu | -0.6-1.0+0.6 | -0.0-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Throwbacks vs Pokes | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Melaniacs finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | Count | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 0 | 180,175 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1,067,610 | |||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | 35,125 | |||||||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 49 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 175,317 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 78 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2,883 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 98.9 | 21 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2,669,841 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 11,580 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 54 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 135 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 91.8 | 4 | 22 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 350,478 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 100 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 56.8 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3,557,844 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 55.1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 17,201 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 91.7 | 3 | 22 | 36 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 385 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 40.0 | 40 | 60 | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 15.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 349,838 | |||||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2,667,859 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 37 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11,464 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 16.5 | 2 | 14 | 33 | 32 | 16 | 2 | 370 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | Out | 13 | 38 | 38 | 13 | 8 | ||||||||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 175,555 | |||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1,068,756 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 8 | 20 | 45 | 23 | 4 | 137 | ||||||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 34,931 | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 26 | 40 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 2,838 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 43 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 179,765 | |||||||||
| Total: | 52.3 | % | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12,560,101 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:43 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
