How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 +6.2
+1.7
+1.3
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -1.3
-0.1
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 -1.3
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -1.3
-0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 +1.3
+0.1
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 +1.3
+0.1
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 +1.2
+0.1
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -1.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Baltimore vs Hartford+9.0-9.0
+2.2-2.2
+1.5-1.5
Jacksonville vs Baltimore-9.0+9.0
-2.3+2.3
-1.5+1.5
Charlotte vs Baltimore-8.6+8.6
-2.3+2.3
-1.5+1.5
Quebec City vs Baltimore-8.6+8.6
-2.4+2.4
-1.5+1.5
Atlanta vs Baltimore-8.2+8.2
-2.5+2.5
-1.5+1.5
Baltimore vs Milwaukee+6.1-6.1
+2.4-2.4
+1.4-1.4
Baltimore vs Cleveland+6.0-6.0
+2.3-2.3
+1.4-1.4
San Antonio vs Baltimore-6.0+6.0
-2.3+2.3
-1.4+1.4
Baltimore vs Memphis+6.0-6.0
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-5.9+5.9
-2.1+2.1
-1.3+1.3
New Orleans vs Baltimore-5.9+5.9
-2.4+2.4
-1.4+1.4
Portland vs Baltimore-5.9+5.9
-2.3+2.3
-1.3+1.3
Seattle vs Baltimore-5.9+5.9
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Baltimore vs Las Vegas+5.9-5.9
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Baltimore vs Kansas City+5.9-5.9
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Tulsa vs Baltimore-5.9+5.9
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Baltimore vs Utah+5.9-5.9
+2.4-2.4
+1.3-1.3
Baltimore vs Houston+5.9-5.9
+2.4-2.4
+1.3-1.3
Baltimore vs Indianapolis+5.8-5.9
+2.5-2.5
+1.4-1.4
Oakland vs Baltimore-5.9+5.8
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore-5.8+5.8
-2.3+2.3
-1.3+1.3
Baltimore vs Green Bay+5.8-5.8
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Houston vs Hartford+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Utah-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Kansas City-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Spokane-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Hartford+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Hartford+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Memphis-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Cleveland-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Green Bay-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Hartford+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Houston-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Hartford+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Hartford+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Seattle-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Milwaukee-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Jacksonville+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Oakland-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Spokane-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Quebec City+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Jacksonville+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Spokane-1.2+1.2
-0.2+0.2
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Quebec City+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Charlotte+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Kansas City-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Quebec City+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Houston-1.2+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Quebec City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Quebec City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Las Vegas-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Charlotte+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Charlotte+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Utah-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Green Bay-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Houston-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Las Vegas-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.1
Quebec City vs Cleveland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs Charlotte+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Quebec City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Utah-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Spokane-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Portland-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Las Vegas-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
42-46InYes100110*
4019-03In99.6%1000257
3818-04In98.59911,228
3617-05In95.295504,477
3416-06In82.282171012,806
3215-07In51.85237101028,563
3014-08100.0%17.01735301441000053,633
2813-0999.81.218202724135100083,290
2612-01098.00.0001512192320125100020108,570
2411-01188.2No0013815192014720010200118,407
2210-01263.9No001410161711417145100108,323
209-01332.3No001512145162216720082,975
188-01410.7No00290282127219253,273
167-0152.2No00200031229361728,818
146-0160.2No0019365312,705
125-0170.1No00117824,389
104-018OutNo05941,251
83-019OutNo298255
2-6OutNo100126*
Total:70.7%5.9%655555554444443354443333703,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs