How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 -6.2
-1.7
-1.3
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 -6.1
-1.7
-1.3
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 -1.3
-0.1
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 -1.3
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -1.2
-0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 +1.2
+0.1
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -1.2
-0.1
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 -1.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Hartford vs Jacksonville+10.5-10.5
+0.7-0.7
+1.5-1.5
Quebec City vs Hartford-10.2+10.2
-0.7+0.7
-1.4+1.4
Charlotte vs Hartford-10.1+10.1
-0.7+0.7
-1.4+1.4
Baltimore vs Hartford-10.1+10.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.4+1.4
Atlanta vs Hartford-9.8+9.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.4+1.4
San Antonio vs Hartford-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Hartford vs Kansas City+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Tulsa vs Hartford-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Houston vs Hartford-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Hartford vs Seattle+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Hartford vs Utah+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Hartford vs Milwaukee+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Hartford vs Green Bay+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Oklahoma City vs Hartford-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Oakland vs Hartford-7.0+6.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Portland vs Hartford-6.9+6.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Hartford vs Spokane+6.9-6.9
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
New Orleans vs Hartford-6.9+6.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Hartford vs Cleveland+6.9-6.9
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Cincinnati vs Hartford-6.9+6.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Hartford vs Memphis+6.8-6.8
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Jacksonville vs San Antonio-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Oakland-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Jacksonville+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Houston-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Jacksonville+1.6-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Jacksonville+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Jacksonville+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Jacksonville+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Jacksonville+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Kansas City-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Quebec City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Las Vegas-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Houston-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-1.5+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Jacksonville+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Memphis-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Houston-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Cleveland-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Green Bay-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Utah-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Quebec City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Quebec City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Baltimore+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Utah-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Kansas City-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Indianapolis-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Houston-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Milwaukee-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Baltimore+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Las Vegas-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Quebec City+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Green Bay-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Seattle-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Spokane-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Spokane-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Quebec City+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Baltimore vs Cleveland-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Las Vegas-1.3+1.3
Atlanta vs Oklahoma City-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Indianapolis-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Cleveland-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Las Vegas-1.2+1.3
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Hartford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
40-42InYes10079*
3819-02In98.6%99171
3618-03In94.7955419
3417-04In81.9821712,017
3216-05In53.3533610106,799
3015-06100.0%17.518363013310018,115
2814-0799.81.6292127231241000038,957
2613-0897.20.000161321231810410030068,044
2412-0985.7No001491619181251001220098,791
2211-01058.8No000151015159319165100118,111
2010-01127.5No0014101261824177100117,925
189-0128.1No00170292228218199,089
168-0131.5No010031330351768,536
147-0140.2No000110365238,715
126-0150.0No0001178218,266
105-016OutNo05956,840
84-017OutNo1992,076
63-018OutNo199443
0-4OutNo100163*
Total:46.7%1.4%122233333333333466666778703,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs