How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 -6.1
-1.7
-1.3
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 +1.3
+0.1
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 +1.3
+0.1
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 +1.2
+0.1
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 -1.2
-0.1
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 -1.2
-0.1
Cincinnati 2 Portland 5 +1.2
+0.1
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 -1.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Cleveland vs Cincinnati+10.1-10.1
+1.1-1.1
+1.5-1.5
Cleveland vs Kansas City+9.9-9.9
+1.1-1.1
+1.5-1.5
Green Bay vs Cleveland-9.8+9.8
-1.1+1.1
-1.5+1.5
Cleveland vs Milwaukee+9.2-9.2
+1.2-1.2
+1.4-1.4
Indianapolis vs Cleveland-8.7+8.7
-1.2+1.2
-1.4+1.4
Houston vs Cleveland-6.6+6.6
-1.2+1.2
-1.3+1.3
Oakland vs Cleveland-6.6+6.6
-1.1+1.1
-1.3+1.3
Quebec City vs Cleveland-6.6+6.6
-1.2+1.2
-1.3+1.3
Cleveland vs San Antonio+6.6-6.6
+1.1-1.1
+1.3-1.3
Las Vegas vs Cleveland-6.5+6.5
-1.2+1.2
-1.3+1.3
Hartford vs Cleveland-6.5+6.5
-1.1+1.1
-1.3+1.3
Baltimore vs Cleveland-6.5+6.5
-1.2+1.2
-1.3+1.3
Utah vs Cleveland-6.5+6.5
-1.1+1.1
-1.3+1.3
Memphis vs Cleveland-6.5+6.5
-1.1+1.1
-1.3+1.3
Cleveland vs Tulsa+6.5-6.5
+1.1-1.1
+1.3-1.3
Atlanta vs Cleveland-6.5+6.5
-1.2+1.2
-1.3+1.3
Spokane vs Cleveland-6.5+6.5
-1.1+1.1
-1.3+1.3
Cleveland vs Portland+6.5-6.5
+1.2-1.2
+1.3-1.3
Cleveland vs Seattle+6.5-6.5
+1.1-1.1
+1.3-1.3
Cleveland vs Charlotte+6.5-6.5
+1.1-1.1
+1.3-1.3
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City+6.5-6.5
+1.1-1.1
+1.3-1.3
Cleveland vs Jacksonville+6.4-6.4
+1.1-1.1
+1.3-1.3
Las Vegas vs Cincinnati+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Charlotte-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Houston-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Cincinnati+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Oakland-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs New Orleans-1.6+1.6
+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Quebec City-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Green Bay+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Cincinnati+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma City-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Tulsa-1.6+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Spokane vs Cincinnati+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Green Bay+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Tulsa-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Kansas City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Seattle-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Spokane vs Kansas City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Portland-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs Cincinnati+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs New Orleans-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Kansas City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Hartford-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Kansas City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oklahoma City-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Portland-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Kansas City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oakland-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Cincinnati+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Green Bay+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Jacksonville-1.5+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Green Bay+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Seattle-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Green Bay+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Green Bay+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Utah-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Las Vegas vs Green Bay+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Kansas City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Kansas City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Jacksonville-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs Kansas City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Oklahoma City-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Las Vegas vs Kansas City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Green Bay+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Green Bay+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Milwaukee+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Milwaukee+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs Seattle-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs San Antonio-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs Milwaukee+1.1-1.1
Memphis vs Milwaukee+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Milwaukee+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Milwaukee+1.1-1.1
Milwaukee vs Oakland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs New Orleans-1.1+1.1
Milwaukee vs Quebec City-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Portland-1.1+1.1
Baltimore vs Milwaukee+1.1-1.1
Milwaukee vs Oklahoma City-1.1+1.1
Milwaukee vs Charlotte-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Spokane-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Indianapolis+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Indianapolis+1.0-1.0
New Orleans vs Indianapolis+1.0-1.0
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville-0.9+0.9

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
40-44InYes100118*
3819-03In98.5%982259
3618-04In95.295401,204
3417-05In81.68217104,326
3216-06In52.45236102012,330
3015-07100.0%17.618353013410028,826
2814-0899.91.5192027231351000053,767
2613-0999.10.00015122023191251001083,522
2412-01093.4No001491621201472006100108,285
2211-01174.8No0001513192013412103100118,373
2010-01244.4No0027171941318136100108,128
189-01317.5No0003140171926208183,398
168-0144.5No0040031229351753,629
147-0150.8No01019375228,687
126-0160.1No001178212,598
105-017OutNo05954,437
84-018OutNo1991,205
0-6OutNo100364*
Total:62.3%2.5%233334444444455644455566703,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs