How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 -6.6
-1.2
-1.3
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -6.1
-1.7
-1.3
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 -1.4
-0.1
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 +1.4
+0.1
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 +1.4
+0.1
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 -1.4
-0.1
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 -1.3
-0.1
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +1.3
+0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 -1.3
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tulsa vs Memphis-10.5+10.5
-0.7+0.7
-1.5+1.4
San Antonio vs Memphis-10.4+10.4
-0.7+0.7
-1.5+1.4
Oklahoma City vs Memphis-10.3+10.4
-0.7+0.7
-1.4+1.5
Houston vs Memphis-9.9+10.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.4+1.4
New Orleans vs Memphis-9.9+9.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.4+1.4
Memphis vs Cincinnati+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Memphis vs Cleveland+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Charlotte vs Memphis-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Memphis vs Kansas City+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Quebec City vs Memphis-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Memphis vs Milwaukee+7.0-7.0
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Portland vs Memphis-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Hartford vs Memphis-7.0+7.0
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Oakland vs Memphis-7.0+6.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Memphis vs Spokane+6.9-6.9
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Memphis vs Jacksonville+6.9-6.9
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Memphis vs Utah+6.9-6.9
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Baltimore vs Memphis-6.9+6.9
-0.7+0.7
-1.3+1.3
Memphis vs Green Bay+6.9-6.9
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Memphis vs Las Vegas+6.9-6.9
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Memphis vs Seattle+6.8-6.8
+0.7-0.7
+1.3-1.3
Cleveland vs Tulsa+1.7-1.7
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Tulsa+1.7-1.7
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Tulsa+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Oakland-1.6+1.6
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Tulsa+1.6-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Tulsa+1.5-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs San Antonio+1.5-1.6
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Las Vegas-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Indianapolis-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Indianapolis-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs San Antonio+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Portland-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Spokane-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs San Antonio+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Oklahoma City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Tulsa+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma City+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs San Antonio+1.5-1.5
-0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Oakland-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs Tulsa+1.5-1.5
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Las Vegas-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore-1.5+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio+1.4-1.5
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Oklahoma City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Milwaukee vs San Antonio+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Oklahoma City+1.4-1.4
-0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Spokane vs San Antonio+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Oklahoma City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Oklahoma City+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Cleveland-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Milwaukee-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Hartford-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford-1.4+1.4
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs San Antonio+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oklahoma City+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Oklahoma City+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Oakland-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Utah-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Quebec City-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Las Vegas-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Houston+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City-1.3+1.3
Oakland vs Houston+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Indianapolis-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs New Orleans+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs New Orleans+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Houston+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs New Orleans+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs New Orleans+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Utah-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Hartford-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs New Orleans+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Spokane-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Houston vs Indianapolis-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Baltimore-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
New Orleans vs Green Bay-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs New Orleans+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs New Orleans+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Memphis finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
40-42InYes10078*
3819-02In98.3%98260
3618-03In95.7964416
3417-04In80.48018202,025
3216-05In52.1523610106,809
3015-06In17.21735301441018,047
2814-0799.9%1.629212723125100039,314
2613-0898.80.00015132123191141001068,099
2412-0991.7No001410172119136200710098,430
2211-01070.3No0002612181811314114100118,000
2010-01138.7No00026141651520146100117,820
189-01213.6No0002110292126208198,879
168-0133.1No0030031330351668,632
147-0140.4No0000110365239,101
126-0150.0No001178218,334
105-016OutNo05956,787
84-017OutNo1991,985
63-018OutNo0100484
0-4OutNo100156*
Total:52.4%1.3%122233333444445545566678703,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs