How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Oakland 3 Utah 5 +9.0
+1.7
+1.5
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 -1.3
-0.1
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 +1.3
+0.1
Cincinnati 2 Portland 5 -1.2
-0.1
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 +1.2
+0.1
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 -1.2
-0.1
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 +1.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Spokane vs Utah-8.2+8.3
-2.2+2.2
-1.4+1.5
Utah vs Portland+8.0-8.0
+2.3-2.3
+1.5-1.5
Las Vegas vs Utah-7.9+7.9
-2.2+2.2
-1.4+1.4
Utah vs Seattle+7.6-7.6
+2.4-2.4
+1.4-1.4
Hartford vs Utah-5.6+5.6
-2.1+2.1
-1.3+1.3
Indianapolis vs Utah-5.6+5.6
-2.5+2.5
-1.3+1.3
Green Bay vs Utah-5.5+5.5
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Utah vs Milwaukee+5.5-5.5
+2.4-2.4
+1.4-1.4
Houston vs Utah-5.5+5.5
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Utah vs Cleveland+5.5-5.5
+2.2-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Utah vs Jacksonville+5.5-5.5
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Utah vs Charlotte+5.5-5.5
+2.4-2.4
+1.3-1.3
Utah vs Tulsa+5.5-5.5
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
New Orleans vs Utah-5.5+5.5
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Atlanta vs Utah-5.5+5.5
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Utah vs Cincinnati+5.5-5.5
+2.2-2.1
+1.3-1.3
Memphis vs Utah-5.5+5.5
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Utah vs Kansas City+5.5-5.5
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Utah vs San Antonio+5.5-5.5
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Quebec City vs Utah-5.5+5.5
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Baltimore vs Utah-5.4+5.4
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Utah vs Oklahoma City+5.4-5.4
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Jacksonville vs Oakland+1.4-1.4
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Houston-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Green Bay-1.3+1.3
San Antonio vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Quebec City-1.3+1.3
Oakland vs Memphis-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
Oklahoma City vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland+1.3-1.3
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Indianapolis-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Cleveland-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Baltimore-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Hartford-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Spokane+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Cleveland-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Spokane+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Spokane+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Spokane+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Spokane+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Milwaukee-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Spokane vs Kansas City-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Spokane+1.2-1.2
-0.2+0.2
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Jacksonville-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Spokane+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Las Vegas+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Oklahoma City-1.1+1.1
Spokane vs Green Bay-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Las Vegas+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Las Vegas+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Cleveland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Las Vegas+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs Cincinnati-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Spokane+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Las Vegas+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Spokane vs San Antonio-1.1+1.1
Portland vs Quebec City-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville-1.1+1.1
Portland vs Baltimore-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Hartford-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Charlotte-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Las Vegas vs Milwaukee-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Portland+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Green Bay-1.1+1.1
Las Vegas vs San Antonio-1.1+1.1
Portland vs Houston-1.1+1.1
San Antonio vs Portland+1.1-1.1
Portland vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.1
Las Vegas vs Kansas City-1.1+1.1
Baltimore vs Las Vegas+1.1-1.1
Charlotte vs Las Vegas+1.1-1.1
Portland vs Tulsa-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Portland+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Oklahoma City-1.0+1.0
Portland vs Memphis-1.0+1.0
Las Vegas vs Cincinnati-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Portland+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Spokane+1.0-1.0
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs Portland+1.0-1.0
Tulsa vs Las Vegas+1.0-1.0
Seattle vs San Antonio-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Indianapolis vs Seattle+1.0-1.0
Portland vs New Orleans-1.0+1.0
Atlanta vs Portland+1.0-1.0
Atlanta vs Seattle+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Seattle+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Indianapolis vs Las Vegas+1.0-1.0
Seattle vs Cincinnati-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Utah finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
40-46InYes100389*
3818-04In98.7%9911,294
3617-05In95.095504,506
3416-06In81.582171012,538
3215-07In52.15236101028,838
3014-08In16.717353013410053,366
2813-09100.0%1.3182027241351000084,231
2612-01099.10.0001512202320125100010108,075
2411-01193.6No001381621211572005100118,137
2210-01275.1No0001512192013411103100108,368
209-01344.7No0002717194131814610083,340
188-01417.8No0003140171826209253,151
167-0154.5No0040031129351728,629
146-0160.8No01019365212,622
125-0170.1No0117824,338
104-018OutNo05951,240
83-019OutNo199283
2-6OutNo100111*
Total:75.7%5.9%655555555444444433333332703,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs