How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Baltimore 1 Spokane 0 +5.1
+0.8
+1.0
Hartford 4 Las Vegas 5 +2.1
+0.1
Hartford 0 Indianapolis 1 +2.0
+0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 +2.0
+0.1
Kansas City 1 Charlotte 5 -1.8
-0.1
Jacksonville 5 Portland 1 -1.2
-0.1
Quebec City 2 Green Bay 0 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 -0.4
-0.2
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 -0.2
-0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Jacksonville vs Baltimore-8.4+9.0
-1.5+1.6
-1.3+1.4
Baltimore vs Hartford+5.2-11.6
+0.8-1.8
+0.8-1.9
Quebec City vs Baltimore-5.2+8.5
-1.4+2.2
-1.0+1.7
Charlotte vs Baltimore-5.1+8.3
-1.4+2.2
-1.0+1.7
Baltimore vs Las Vegas+3.2-7.1
+0.8-1.8
+0.8-1.7
Baltimore vs Memphis+3.2-7.1
+0.8-1.8
+0.7-1.6
Baltimore vs Green Bay+3.5-6.8
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Baltimore vs Kansas City+3.5-6.8
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Baltimore vs Cleveland+3.5-6.8
+0.9-1.8
+0.8-1.6
Baltimore vs Utah+3.9-6.3
+1.2-1.9
+0.9-1.5
Baltimore vs Houston+3.9-6.3
+1.2-1.9
+0.9-1.5
Atlanta vs Baltimore-3.5+6.6
-2.0+3.7
-0.8+1.6
Baltimore vs Milwaukee+3.8-6.3
+1.2-1.9
+0.9-1.5
Baltimore vs Indianapolis+4.1-6.0
+1.4-2.0
+1.0-1.5
Cincinnati vs Baltimore-4.9+5.0
-1.5+1.5
-1.1+1.2
Portland vs Baltimore-4.7+5.1
-1.5+1.6
-1.2+1.3
Oakland vs Baltimore-4.5+5.3
-1.4+1.7
-1.1+1.3
Tulsa vs Baltimore-4.4+5.2
-1.4+1.7
-1.1+1.3
San Antonio vs Baltimore-3.9+5.6
-1.4+1.9
-1.0+1.4
Seattle vs Baltimore-3.6+5.9
-1.4+2.2
-0.9+1.5
New Orleans vs Baltimore-3.6+5.9
-1.4+2.3
-0.9+1.5
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore-3.3+6.1
-1.3+2.5
-0.9+1.6
Indianapolis vs Jacksonville+1.2-2.8
-0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Jacksonville+1.2-2.6
-0.1+0.1
+0.0-0.1
Cleveland vs Jacksonville+1.4-2.5
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Jacksonville+1.4-2.5
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs Jacksonville+1.5-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Jacksonville+1.4-2.5
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Jacksonville+1.5-2.3
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-1.8+2.0
+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Cincinnati-1.4+2.4
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Jacksonville+1.2-2.6
+0.0-0.1
Utah vs Jacksonville+1.2-2.6
+0.0-0.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa-1.5+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Houston-1.8+1.9
+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.1
Spokane vs Jacksonville+1.3-2.4
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio-1.7+2.0
-0.1+0.1
Jacksonville vs Oakland-1.5+2.2
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Jacksonville+1.1-2.6
-0.3+0.7
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Hartford+0.9-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Hartford+0.8-1.8
+0.0-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Hartford+0.8-1.8
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Hartford+1.0-1.6
+0.0-0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford+0.9-1.7
+0.0-0.1
Cincinnati vs Hartford+1.0-1.6
+0.0-0.1
New Orleans vs Hartford+0.8-1.7
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford+0.9-1.6
+0.0-0.1
Hartford vs Spokane-1.0+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Hartford vs Green Bay-1.0+1.5
-0.0+0.1
Atlanta vs Hartford+0.7-1.7
-0.3+0.7
+0.0-0.1
Hartford vs Utah-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Seattle-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Milwaukee-1.2+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Hartford vs Cleveland-1.0+1.4
Hartford vs Kansas City-1.0+1.4
Hartford vs Memphis-0.9+1.4
-0.0+0.1
Jacksonville vs Charlotte-1.1+1.2
+0.1-0.1
Jacksonville vs Quebec City-1.0+1.1
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis-0.6+1.4
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Kansas City-0.7+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Cleveland-0.7+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Houston-0.7+1.2
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Las Vegas-0.6+1.3
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Utah-0.7+1.1
-0.0+0.1
Quebec City vs Spokane-0.6+1.2
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Seattle vs Quebec City+0.7-1.1
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City+0.8-1.0
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Quebec City vs Indianapolis-0.7+1.1
+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Quebec City+0.9-0.9
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
New Orleans vs Quebec City+0.7-1.1
+0.0-0.1
Milwaukee vs Quebec City+0.7-1.1
+0.0-0.1
Oakland vs Quebec City+0.8-1.0
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Las Vegas-0.5+1.2
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Oakland-0.6+1.2
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Cincinnati vs Quebec City+0.9-0.9
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis-0.5+1.2
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs Houston-0.7+1.1
-0.0+0.1
Portland vs Charlotte+0.8-0.9
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Charlotte vs Green Bay-0.6+1.1
-0.0+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Charlotte vs New Orleans-0.7+1.1
-0.0+0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City+0.7-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Atlanta vs Quebec City+0.6-1.1
-0.3+0.5
+0.0-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte+0.8-0.9
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Charlotte+0.8-0.8
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City+0.6-1.1
+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Indianapolis-0.7+1.0
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte+0.7-1.0
+0.0-0.1
Charlotte vs Spokane-0.6+1.1
-0.1+0.1
-0.0+0.1
Cleveland vs Charlotte+0.7-0.8
+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Charlotte+0.6-1.0
+0.0-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte+0.5-1.0
Seattle vs Charlotte+0.6-0.9
+0.0-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
42-46InYes100387*
4019-03In97.0%9731,114
3818-04In91.892805,348
3617-05In77.778211019,102
3416-06In51.3514081052,792
3215-07In20.921442781000115,631
3014-08100.0%3.7419332713310000205,745
2813-0999.70.1029212823124100000299,290
2612-01097.40.000027152323178200030359,181
2411-01188.3No0002715212114620011100358,386
2210-01267.4No00026131917922010200295,982
209-01339.5No0002815131021199200202,481
188-01416.7No000313161826211020114,708
167-0154.8No00500210243122652,592
146-0161.0No0101520413219,944
125-0170.1No000429665,789
104-018OutNo110891,425
83-019OutNo397230
2-6OutNo100241*
Total:79.0%3.8%4666666655544332643222112,110,368

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs