How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 +6.1
+1.7
+1.3
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 +1.3
+0.1
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 -1.3
-0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 +1.2
+0.1
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 +1.2
+0.1
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 +1.2
+0.1
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 -1.2
-0.1
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +1.2
+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Houston vs Memphis+8.3-8.3
+2.2-2.2
+1.4-1.4
Tulsa vs Houston-8.2+8.1
-2.2+2.2
-1.5+1.4
San Antonio vs Houston-8.1+8.1
-2.3+2.3
-1.5+1.5
Oklahoma City vs Houston-7.9+7.9
-2.2+2.2
-1.4+1.4
New Orleans vs Houston-7.7+7.7
-2.4+2.4
-1.4+1.4
Houston vs Milwaukee+5.5-5.5
+2.4-2.4
+1.3-1.3
Houston vs Utah+5.5-5.5
+2.4-2.4
+1.3-1.3
Oakland vs Houston-5.5+5.5
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Quebec City vs Houston-5.5+5.5
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Baltimore vs Houston-5.5+5.5
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Atlanta vs Houston-5.5+5.5
-2.5+2.5
-1.3+1.3
Houston vs Green Bay+5.5-5.5
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Houston vs Indianapolis+5.5-5.5
+2.5-2.5
+1.3-1.3
Cincinnati vs Houston-5.4+5.5
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Houston vs Spokane+5.4-5.4
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Jacksonville vs Houston-5.4+5.4
-2.3+2.3
-1.3+1.3
Houston vs Kansas City+5.4-5.4
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Charlotte vs Houston-5.4+5.4
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Houston vs Cleveland+5.4-5.4
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Houston vs Hartford+5.4-5.4
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Houston vs Seattle+5.4-5.4
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
Portland vs Houston-5.3+5.3
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Memphis vs Green Bay-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Memphis+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Cleveland-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Charlotte vs Memphis+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Seattle-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Milwaukee-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Jacksonville-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Utah-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Cincinnati-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Hartford vs Memphis+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Oakland vs Memphis+1.3-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Spokane-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Kansas City-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Seattle vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Quebec City vs Memphis+1.2-1.2
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Spokane-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Portland vs Memphis+1.2-1.2
Kansas City vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
Jacksonville vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
-0.2+0.2
Memphis vs Las Vegas-1.2+1.2
Tulsa vs Oakland-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Hartford-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Oklahoma City+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.1
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Quebec City-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Oakland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Cincinnati vs Tulsa+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City-1.1+1.1
San Antonio vs Hartford-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City-1.1+1.1
Oklahoma City vs Las Vegas-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Spokane vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
Utah vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
Indianapolis vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Portland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Milwaukee vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Oakland-1.1+1.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore-1.1+1.1
Milwaukee vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma City+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Las Vegas-1.0+1.0
Portland vs Oklahoma City+1.0-1.0
Las Vegas vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
Cleveland vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
San Antonio vs Charlotte-1.0+1.0
Spokane vs Oklahoma City+1.0-1.0
Seattle vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
Utah vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
Jacksonville vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
New Orleans vs Baltimore-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio+0.9-0.9
Charlotte vs New Orleans+0.9-0.9
New Orleans vs Oakland-0.9+0.9
Milwaukee vs New Orleans+0.9-0.9
New Orleans vs Spokane-0.9+0.9

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
40-46InYes100408*
3818-04In99.2%9911,183
3617-05In95.095504,442
3416-06In81.582171012,413
3215-07In52.352361010028,596
3014-08In17.317353014410053,553
2813-0999.9%1.51820272313510000083,292
2612-01099.10.0001512202319125100010108,732
2411-01193.2No001391621201572006100118,336
2210-01274.3No001512192013412104100108,787
209-01342.8No0002716184131914610083,238
188-01416.4No003130171826219253,431
167-0153.9No0040021129361728,648
146-0160.7No01019365312,310
125-017OutNo0115834,447
104-018OutNo6941,212
83-019OutNo199310
2-6OutNo100118*
Total:75.1%5.9%665555555444444433333333703,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs