How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday, 3/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Regular Season Champ100.0*Average seed
Cleveland 1 New Orleans 5 +6.1
+1.7
+1.3
Memphis 1 Indianapolis 2 +1.3
+0.1
Atlanta 3 Memphis 1 +1.2
+0.1
Milwaukee 2 Tulsa 0 +1.2
+0.1
Houston 4 Las Vegas 1 -1.2
-0.1
Atlanta 5 San Antonio 2 +1.2
+0.1
Seattle 4 Oklahoma City 3 +1.2
Jacksonville 0 Oklahoma City 5 -1.1
Cincinnati 1 San Antonio 4 -1.1
If winner is:HomeAway
New Orleans vs Memphis+8.4-8.4
+2.2-2.2
+1.5-1.5
Tulsa vs New Orleans-8.3+8.3
-2.2+2.3
-1.5+1.5
San Antonio vs New Orleans-8.1+8.1
-2.3+2.3
-1.5+1.5
Oklahoma City vs New Orleans-7.9+7.9
-2.2+2.2
-1.5+1.4
New Orleans vs Houston+7.7-7.7
+2.3-2.3
+1.4-1.4
New Orleans vs Utah+5.5-5.5
+2.4-2.4
+1.3-1.3
New Orleans vs Indianapolis+5.5-5.5
+2.5-2.5
+1.3-1.3
Milwaukee vs New Orleans-5.5+5.5
-2.3+2.3
-1.3+1.3
Jacksonville vs New Orleans-5.5+5.5
-2.3+2.3
-1.3+1.3
New Orleans vs Hartford+5.5-5.5
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
New Orleans vs Las Vegas+5.5-5.5
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
New Orleans vs Spokane+5.5-5.5
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Seattle vs New Orleans-5.5+5.5
-2.4+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Atlanta vs New Orleans-5.5+5.5
-2.5+2.5
-1.3+1.3
Kansas City vs New Orleans-5.5+5.5
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
New Orleans vs Quebec City+5.4-5.4
+2.4-2.4
+1.3-1.3
New Orleans vs Baltimore+5.4-5.4
+2.3-2.3
+1.3-1.3
New Orleans vs Oakland+5.4-5.4
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Portland vs New Orleans-5.4+5.4
-2.3+2.2
-1.3+1.3
Cincinnati vs New Orleans-5.4+5.4
-2.2+2.2
-1.3+1.3
New Orleans vs Green Bay+5.4-5.4
+2.2-2.2
+1.3-1.3
Charlotte vs New Orleans-5.3+5.3
-2.3+2.4
-1.3+1.3
Charlotte vs Memphis+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Kansas City-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Jacksonville-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Cincinnati-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Milwaukee-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Spokane-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Cleveland-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Memphis+1.3-1.3
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Green Bay-1.3+1.3
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Baltimore-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Utah-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Oakland vs Memphis+1.2-1.2
Quebec City vs Memphis+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Memphis vs Las Vegas-1.2+1.2
Portland vs Memphis+1.2-1.2
Hartford vs Memphis+1.2-1.2
Cincinnati vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Las Vegas-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Quebec City-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Charlotte-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Memphis vs Seattle-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.0
Atlanta vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Spokane-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Tulsa vs Indianapolis-1.2+1.2
Utah vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
-0.1+0.1
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Hartford-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Kansas City vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Tulsa vs Oakland-1.2+1.2
-0.1+0.1
Cleveland vs Tulsa+1.2-1.2
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs Tulsa+1.1-1.1
Cleveland vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Charlotte-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Oakland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Utah vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Las Vegas vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
Jacksonville vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Kansas City vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Oklahoma City vs Charlotte-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Oakland-1.1+1.1
Cincinnati vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
+0.1-0.1
Green Bay vs San Antonio+1.1-1.1
Jacksonville vs Tulsa+1.1-1.1
Milwaukee vs Oklahoma City+1.1-1.1
San Antonio vs Portland-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Baltimore-1.1+1.1
Oklahoma City vs Las Vegas-1.1+1.1
Oklahoma City vs Indianapolis-1.1+1.1
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Hartford-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Utah vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
Indianapolis vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Seattle vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
Milwaukee vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
San Antonio vs Quebec City-1.0+1.0
Spokane vs San Antonio+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Portland vs Oklahoma City+1.0-1.0
Spokane vs Oklahoma City+1.0-1.0
Oklahoma City vs Quebec City-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Atlanta vs Houston+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Utah-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford-1.0+1.0
Houston vs Kansas City-1.0+1.0
-0.1+0.1
Oklahoma City vs Baltimore-1.0+1.0
Oakland vs Houston+1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.1
Houston vs Green Bay-0.9+0.9
-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inRegularChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLplayoffsSeason Champ123456789101112131415161718192021222324Count
42-46InYes100113*
4019-03In99.6%1000259
3818-04In98.79911,208
3617-05In95.195504,374
3416-06In81.882171012,581
3215-07In52.352361010028,145
3014-08In17.017353014410054,114
2813-0999.9%1.41820272313510000083,417
2612-01099.10.0001512202320125100010108,608
2411-01193.3No001391621201472006100117,886
2210-01273.9No0001512192012412104100108,026
209-01343.1No0002716184131814610083,731
188-01416.2No003130171926208153,895
167-0153.9No0040031229351728,495
146-0160.4No00110365312,585
125-0170.1No00117824,384
104-018OutNo05951,265
83-019OutNo199261
2-6OutNo100109*
Total:75.0%5.8%665555555444444433333332703,456

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs