Miami Vice Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.002 to 99.9%

63 points 30 11-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver 1 New York 2			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Long Island vs Miami	-0.1+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1		-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Count

125	-139						In		100												457	*
124		29	6		-	3	In		100		0										395	*
121	-123						In		100												3,981	*
120		27	8		-	3	In		100	0											3,342	*
119		26	8		-	4	In		100	0											5,342	*
118		26	9		-	3	In		100	0	0										8,086	*
117		25	9		-	4	In		100	0	0										11,797	*
116		25	10		-	3	In		99	0	0										16,646	*
115		24	10		-	4	In		99	1	0										22,619	*
114		24	11		-	3	In		98	1	0										29,902	*
113		23	11		-	4	In		97	2	1										38,022	*
112		23	12		-	3	In		95	3	1										47,213	*
111		22	12		-	4	In		93	5	2										57,315	*
110		21	12		-	5	In		89	8	3										65,946	*
109		21	13		-	4	In		85	11	4	0									74,222	*
108		20	13		-	5	In		79	14	7	0									81,726	*
107		20	14		-	4	In		71	19	9	0	0								34,465
		19	13		-	6	In		71	19	10	0									51,640	*
106		19	14		-	5	In		62	24	14	0									88,511	*
105		19	15		-	4	In		53	28	18	0	0								54,555	*
		18	14		-	6	In		51	29	20	1									34,106	*
104		18	15		-	5	In		42	32	24	1	0								85,828	*
103		18	16		-	4	In		33	35	30	3	0								32,421
		17	15		-	6	In		32	35	31	3	0	0							48,539	*
102		17	16		-	5	In		22	36	36	5	0	0							74,222	*
101		17	17		-	4	In		15	34	41	10	1	0							66,057	*
100		16	17		-	5	In		9	30	43	16	2	0	0						56,496	*
99		16	18		-	4	In		4	25	41	24	5	0	0						47,851	*
98		15	18		-	5	In		2	19	36	32	10	1	0						38,952	*
97		15	19		-	4	In		1	13	28	37	17	3	0	0					31,050	*
96		14	19		-	5	In		0	8	19	38	26	8	1	0					23,576	*
95		14	20		-	4	100.0	%	0	5	11	32	34	15	3	0	0				17,637	*
94		14	21		-	3	100.0		0	2	5	23	36	25	8	1	0				12,667	*
93		13	21		-	4	99.8			1	2	14	32	32	15	3	0				8,883	*
92		12	21		-	5	99.2			0	1	7	23	36	24	8	1	0			6,141	*
91		12	22		-	4	97.7			0	0	3	15	32	31	16	2	0			4,067	*
90		12	23		-	3	93.6					1	6	26	37	24	6	0			2,606	*
89		11	23		-	4	85.1					0	2	15	33	35	13	2			1,612	*
88		11	24		-	3	70.6						1	8	24	38	23	6	0		1,005	*
87		10	24		-	4	60.5						0	3	18	40	31	8	1		542	*
86		10	25		-	3	36.8							1	9	27	46	15	2		310	*
85		9	25		-	4	21.2								4	17	37	37	4		179	*
84		9	26		-	3	14.6								1	13	42	40	3		89	*
83		8	26		-	4	9.8									10	29	49	12		51	*
82		8	27		-	3	3.8									4	27	62	8		26	*
81		8	28		-	2	Out										21	43	29	7	14	*
80		6	27		-	5	Out											80	20		5	*
79		7	29		-	2	Out											50	25	25	4	*
78		6	29		-	3	Out											33	67		3	*
63		0	38		-	0	Out													100	132

Total:							99.9	%	53	19	17	6	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1,291,253

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Vancouver 1 New York 2	+0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Long Island vs Miami	+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24

125	-139						100
124		29	6		-	3	100				0
122	-123						100
121		27	7		-	4	100	0
120		27	8		-	3	100	0	0
119		26	8		-	4	100	0	0
118		26	9		-	3	100	0	0		0
117		25	9		-	4	99	0	0		0
116		25	10		-	3	99	0	0		0
115		24	10		-	4	99	0	1		0
114		24	11		-	3	98	1	1		0
113		23	11		-	4	96	1	2		1
112		23	12		-	3	93	2	3		1
111		22	12		-	4	90	3	5		2
110		21	12		-	5	84	5	8	0	3
109		21	13		-	4	77	8	11	0	4	0	0
108		20	13		-	5	67	11	14	0	7	0	0
107		20	14		-	4	56	15	19	0	9	0	0		0
		19	13		-	6	56	15	19	0	10	0	0
106		19	14		-	5	44	19	23	1	14	0	0
105		19	15		-	4	32	21	27	1	18	0	0		0
		18	14		-	6	30	21	27	1	19	0	1
104		18	15		-	5	20	22	30	3	23	1	1		0
103		18	16		-	4	11	21	30	5	28	2	3	0	0		0
102		17	16		-	5	5	17	28	8	31	5	5	0	0		0
101		17	17		-	4	2	12	23	11	31	9	10	0	1	0	0
100		16	17		-	5	1	8	16	14	27	16	16	1	2	0	0		0
99		16	18		-	4	0	4	10	15	20	21	21	3	5	0	0		0
98		15	18		-	5	0	2	5	14	11	24	25	7	9	0	1	0	0
97		15	19		-	4	0	1	2	11	5	23	23	15	16	1	3	0	0		0
96		14	19		-	5		0	1	7	2	17	16	22	21	5	8	0	1		0
95		14	20		-	4		0	0	4	0	11	8	24	22	12	14	1	3	0	0		0
94		14	21		-	3		0	0	2	0	5	3	20	16	20	20	5	7	0	1		0
93		13	21		-	4			0	1	0	2	1	14	8	24	21	11	14	1	3		0
92		12	21		-	5				0		1	0	7	2	21	16	19	21	4	8	0	1	0
91		12	22		-	4				0		0		3	1	14	8	24	22	10	15	1	2	0
90		12	23		-	3								1	0	6	3	23	18	19	21	3	6	0
89		11	23		-	4								0		2	1	14	11	22	28	7	12	3	0
88		11	24		-	3										1		8	4	19	24	14	22	7	0	0
87		10	24		-	4										0		3	2	16	17	23	27	10	2	0
86		10	25		-	3												1		9	6	21	37	21	5	0
85		9	25		-	4														4	3	13	22	37	17	3
84		9	26		-	3														1		13	27	35	20	3
83		8	26		-	4															2	8	12	37	35	6
82		8	27		-	3																4	8	23	46	19
81		8	28		-	2																	7	7	50	21	7	7
80		6	27		-	5																			80	20
79		7	29		-	2																			25	25	50
78		7	30		-	1																			33	33	33
63		0	38		-	0																						8	86	6

Total:							42	10	15	4	13	4	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0