National Hockey League321 Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs														Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	RPI

St. Louis	140	2	39	-	7	20		-	9	45	In			92	2		6	1	0										1.2	-0.08	4	St. Louis Blues
Vancouver	131	2	32	-	13	21		-	9	42	In		+0.0	2	97	0													2.0		5	Vancouver Canucks
NY Rangers	136	2	35	-	12	21		-	7	38	In			54	0		38	8	0										2.5	+0.36	2	New York Rangers
Pittsburgh	133	3	35	-	11	22		-	6	55	In			39	0		40	21	0										3.0	-0.56	1	Pittsburgh Penguins
Philadelphia	130	2	34	-	10	23		-	8	30	In			7	0		23	70	0	0									4.5	+0.21	6	Philadelphia Flyers
Detroit	130	2	35	-	10	25		-	5	45	In		+0.0	3	0		45	37	15	0									4.6	+0.14	3	Detroit Red Wings
Nashville	130	2	36	-	7	24		-	8	15	In		+0.0	3	0		41	41	14	0	0								4.6	+0.12	8	Nashville Predators
Boston	122	3	33	-	10	28		-	3	59	100.0	%	+0.1	0	84	14		0	1	1	0	0	0						2.2	+0.12	9	Boston Bruins
Chicago	125	2	33	-	9	25		-	8	15	100.0		+0.0	0	0		8	21	70	1	0	0	0						5.6	-0.17	10	Chicago Blackhawks
New Jersey	117	2	27	-	15	27		-	6	9	99.1		-0.1				0	0	77	17	5	1	0	0					6.3	-0.07	7	New Jersey Devils
Florida	116	3	30	-	6	24		-	14	-19	98.2		-0.3		15	75			1	4	4	1	0	0	0				3.4	-0.06	18	Florida Panthers
Ottawa	114	1	28	-	10	28		-	10	7	87.2		+10.5		1	1		0	17	44	25	10	3	0	0				7.3	+0.35	17	Ottawa Senators
Dallas	117	2	30	-	11	29		-	5	0	86.3		+16.0		0	46		0	0	25	15	9	4	1	0				5.6	+1.21	11	Dallas Stars
Los Angeles	114	2	28	-	9	26		-	12	11	65.2		-9.4		0	20		0	0	24	21	17	13	4	0	0			7.4	-0.90	15	Los Angeles Kings
San Jose	114	2	28	-	10	27		-	10	10	61.6		+8.4		0	22		0	0	20	20	21	13	4	1	0			7.3	+0.38	14	San Jose Sharks
Washington	110	2	28	-	9	30		-	8	-12	59.9		-4.7		0	10			2	19	28	25	12	2	0	0	0		7.8	-0.08	16	Washington Capitals
Phoenix	115	1	28	-	9	26		-	13	2	59.2		-0.8		0	13		0	0	20	26	22	15	4	1	0			7.8	-0.22	13	Phoenix Coyotes
Buffalo	110	1	26	-	11	29		-	10	-12	41.7		+12.4		0	0			1	12	28	33	19	5	1	0	0		8.8	+0.54	19	Buffalo Sabres
Calgary	112	1	29	-	5	27		-	15	-22	24.4		-13.0						0	10	15	23	32	16	5	0	0		9.4	-0.45	21	Calgary Flames
Winnipeg	105	2	27	-	8	32		-	8	-16	12.4		-15.2		0	1			0	3	9	22	38	16	8	3	1	0	9.9	-0.59	20	Winnipeg Jets
Colorado	110		24	-	16	31		-	6	-2	2.9		-1.3						0	1	2	7	19	56	16	0	0		10.7	-0.06	12	Colorado Avalanche
Tampa Bay	98	3	23	-	11	33		-	7	-43	0.8		+0.2			0			0	0	1	3	9	20	27	25	11	3	12.1	+0.72	23	Tampa Bay Lightning
Carolina	102	1	27	-	3	31		-	15	-26	0.6		-2.6			0			0	0	1	3	12	33	27	16	6	1	11.6	-0.42	28	Carolina Hurricanes
Anaheim	103	2	28	-	4	32		-	11	-20	0.4		+0.1			0				0	0	2	5	16	70	7	1		11.8	+0.09	25	Anaheim Ducks
Toronto	100	1	25	-	8	34		-	9	-22	0.1		-0.2							0	0	1	5	20	28	31	12	3	12.3	-0.02	22	Toronto Maple Leafs
NY Islanders	92	3	21	-	9	33		-	11	-45	0.0		-0.0								0	0	0	2	6	15	41	35	14.0	-0.29	24	New York Islanders
Minnesota	94	3	22	-	9	33		-	10	-45	0.0		-0.0								0	0	0	0	6	66	28	0	13.2	-0.15	26	Minnesota Wild
Edmonton	92	2	23	-	7	36		-	9	-20	Out													0	2	27	71	0	13.7	+0.08	27	Edmonton Oilers
Montreal	93	1	22	-	7	34		-	13	-14	Out		-0.0									0	0	1	3	9	30	57	14.4	-0.19	29	Montreal Canadiens
Columbus	73	3	18	-	6	43		-	7	-65	Out															0	0	100	15.0		30	Columbus Blue Jackets

Saturday
Dallas 4 Calgary 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	+14.4		+0.9
Los Angeles	+0.8		-0.2
Phoenix	+1.0		-0.1
Calgary	-16.4		-0.6

Buffalo 3 Minnesota 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
New Jersey	-0.2
Florida	-0.4
Ottawa	-3.4
Washington	-4.5
Buffalo	+12.1		+0.5
Winnipeg	-2.8		-0.1
Carolina	-0.6
Minnesota	*Out		-0.1

Nashville 3 Winnipeg 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville	*In		+0.2
New Jersey	+0.2
Florida	+0.3
Ottawa	+3.3
Washington	+3.5		+0.1
Buffalo	+2.9		+0.1
Winnipeg	-10.9		-0.5
Carolina	+0.5

Los Angeles 2 Boston 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boston			+0.1
Dallas	+2.1		+0.3
Los Angeles	-10.8		-0.8
San Jose	+2.3		+0.2
Phoenix	+2.7		+0.2
Calgary	+2.9
Colorado	+0.8

Ottawa 8 Pittsburgh 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers			+0.3
Pittsburgh			-0.4
Florida	-0.3
Ottawa	+10.2		+0.4
Washington	-3.3		-0.1
Buffalo	-2.7
Winnipeg	-3.0
Carolina	-0.7

San Jose 4 Phoenix 3 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver	*In
Dallas	*-0.4
San Jose	+5.3		+0.3
Phoenix	-5.4		-0.3
Calgary	*+0.4

Detroit 5 Carolina 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver	*In
Detroit			+0.2
Ottawa	+0.5
Washington	+0.6
Buffalo	+0.7
Winnipeg	+0.4
Carolina	-2.2		-0.5

Colorado 2 Vancouver 3 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dallas	*+0.3
Los Angeles	+0.6
San Jose	*+0.2
Phoenix	*+0.2
Calgary	*+0.4
Colorado	-1.8		-0.1

Tampa Bay 4 NY Islanders 3
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Tampa Bay	+0.5		+0.5
NY Islanders			-0.5

Toronto 3 NY Rangers 4 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Vancouver	*In
NY Rangers			+0.1
Pittsburgh			-0.1
Detroit	*In
Buffalo	*-0.2
Toronto	-0.2		-0.1

Philadelphia 4 Montreal 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia			+0.2
NY Islanders			+0.1
Montreal			-0.3

Sunday
Phoenix vs St. LouisIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis			1.41.21.21.21.21.1
Detroit			4.54.64.64.64.64.6
Nashville			4.54.64.64.64.64.7
Dallas	84.185.585.687.386.988.6		5.95.75.75.55.55.4
Los Angeles	61.264.063.966.866.469.1		7.57.47.47.37.37.2
San Jose	57.859.859.862.662.865.8		7.57.47.47.37.37.2
Phoenix	74.164.865.054.554.543.9		7.07.67.68.18.18.5
Calgary	20.523.022.925.425.628.4		9.69.59.59.49.49.3
Colorado	2.12.52.5*3.03.23.7

Washington vs MinnesotaHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Florida	97.998.198.198.498.398.6		3.63.43.43.33.33.2
Ottawa	85.186.586.588.087.989.4		7.47.37.37.37.37.2
Washington	72.964.764.655.955.846.7		7.37.77.78.08.08.4
Buffalo	34.839.439.343.943.748.6		8.98.88.88.78.78.7
Winnipeg	9.711.111.413.013.415.2		10.09.99.99.99.89.8
Minnesota			13.413.313.313.213.213.1
Edmonton			13.613.713.713.713.713.8

Florida vs NY IslandersHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boston			2.32.22.22.22.22.1
Florida	99.699.099.098.298.296.7		3.03.23.23.43.43.7
Washington	59.559.659.559.760.060.5		8.07.97.97.87.87.6
Buffalo	41.241.541.441.841.842.2
Tampa Bay			12.012.012.012.112.112.1
Toronto			12.212.312.312.312.312.4
NY Islanders	OutOutOutOutOut0.0		14.314.114.113.913.913.7
Montreal			14.314.414.414.514.414.5

Pittsburgh vs New JerseyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
NY Rangers			2.82.52.52.32.42.2
Pittsburgh			2.62.92.93.23.23.4
Philadelphia			4.64.54.54.54.54.4
New Jersey	98.299.299.199.699.699.8		6.46.36.36.26.26.1
Ottawa			7.27.37.37.37.37.4

Anaheim vs BostonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Boston	100.0100.0100.0In100.0100.0		2.32.22.22.22.22.1
Florida			3.33.33.33.43.43.4
Colorado			10.810.810.810.710.710.7
Anaheim	1.00.40.40.10.20.0		11.511.711.711.911.912.0

Chicago vs NashvilleHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nashville			4.94.74.74.54.54.3
Chicago	In100.0100.0100.0100.0100.0		5.45.65.65.75.75.9

Columbus vs EdmontonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Minnesota			13.113.213.213.213.213.3
Edmonton			13.813.713.713.713.713.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

National Hockey League321 Playoff Chances 2011-2012 50/50

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