How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Long Island vs Miami-0.0*+0.0*In*+0.0In+0.0
-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Miami finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112Count
127-139In1006,189*
126305-3In10005,179*
125306-2In10008,313*
124296-3In100012,843*
123297-2In1000019,267*
122287-3In991027,082*
121288-2In991036,902*
120278-3In982048,354*
119279-2In964060,004*
118269-3In936172,364*
1172610-2In909184,406*
1162510-3In8513243,423
249-5In8513250,652*
1152410-4In79183040,772
2511-2In79183061,536*
1142411-3In7224548,779
2310-5In7224558,181*
1132311-4In63307043,199
2412-2In64297064,628*
1122312-3In553510047,508
2211-5In543610057,922*
1112212-4In444115040,529
2313-2In454114059,835*
1102213-3In364519040,689
2112-5In3546190050,951*
1092113-4In2648260081,137*
1082114-3In1948321069,656*
1072014-4In1346402058,606*
1062015-3In8434630047,377*
1051915-4In538516037,081*
1041916-3In33255111028,170*
1031816-4In12556171021,300*
1021817-3In01953243015,017*
1011717-4In013473360010,284*
1001718-3In09384111107,046*
991618-4In6314318204,532*
981619-3In03204427602,865*
971519-4In111393711101,832*
961520-3In07313920301,091*
951420-499.8%03204225810650*
941421-3In2133437121372*
931422-2In82340264213*
921322-3In131042395110*
911222-495.3313234413564*
901223-396.012164820425*
891123-496.4114639428*
87-88In1006*
861025-3In50502
851026-2In50502*
63038-0Out12278152
Total:100.0%5826142000000001,477,125

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver 1 New York 2 +0.1
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Long Island vs Miami+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
129-139100
128314-31000
127315-2100
126305-310000
125306-210000
124296-310000
123297-299000
122287-399010
121288-298010
120278-397120
119279-295140
118269-3922601
1172610-287391
1162510-38051302
1152410-4727180300
1142411-3621023050
2310-5621024050
1132311-45014290700
2412-25113290700
1122312-338163511000
2211-538163611000
1112212-427184011400
1102213-317184231910
2112-5161943319100
1092113-491742624200
1082114-3514391029410
1072014-42113214327200
1062015-317241832143000
1051915-40416222922600
1041916-3031022243191100
1031816-4015201640144100
1021817-3021710441693000
1011717-4011244315185100
1001718-3009136132883100
991618-40603173599200
981619-3030204401115510
971519-411113892865100
961520-3070315341010300
951420-403202409167110
941421-3213034830931
931422-282353516930
921322-3131024020195
911222-4313231727855
901223-312168401644
891123-41173929114
881124-33367
87923-63367
861025-35050
851026-25050
63038-01226513
Total:499224114110000000000000