Springfield Falcons Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.06 to 73.1%

4 points 2 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Springfield vs W-B/Scranton	+3.3+3.5+3.2-0.8-0.8-4.6		+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1*-0.1-0.5
Albany vs Syracuse			-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0
St. John's vs Adirondack			+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Springfield finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

112	-152						In		100															615	*
111		50	17		-	7	In		99	1														293	*
110		50	18		-	6	In		100	0														411	*
109		49	18		-	7	In		99	1		0												593	*
108		49	19		-	6	In		98	1		0												812	*
107		48	19		-	7	In		97	3		1												1,105	*
106		48	20		-	6	In		95	4		1												1,452	*
105		47	20		-	7	In		93	6	0	1												2,005	*
104		47	21		-	6	In		92	7		2												2,715	*
103		46	21		-	7	In		86	11	0	3												3,232	*
102		45	21		-	8	In		82	13	0	4												4,022	*
101		45	22		-	7	In		77	17	1	5	0											5,154	*
100		44	22		-	8	In		69	22	2	7	0											6,065	*
99		44	23		-	7	In		61	26	2	10	0											7,192	*
98		43	23		-	8	In		51	32	4	13	1											8,292	*
97		43	24		-	7	In		41	35	7	17	1	0										9,540	*
96		42	24		-	8	In		30	37	9	21	2	0										10,845	*
95		42	25		-	7	In		21	37	13	25	4	0	0									11,840	*
94		41	25		-	8	In		13	34	17	28	7	1	0									12,860	*
93		41	26		-	7	In		8	28	20	30	12	2	0	0								14,049	*
92		40	26		-	8	In		3	22	24	28	18	4	0	0								15,072	*
91		40	27		-	7	100.0	%	2	14	24	26	24	9	1	0	0							15,338	*
90		39	27		-	8	100.0		0	9	23	20	29	15	4	1	0	0						15,733	*
89		39	28		-	7	99.9		0	4	21	13	28	23	9	2	0	0						15,942	*
88		38	28		-	8	99.2		0	2	17	7	23	29	17	5	1	0	0					15,797	*
87		38	29		-	7	97.1			1	12	3	16	29	25	11	3	0	0					15,874	*
86		37	29		-	8	91.0			0	9	1	8	22	30	21	7	2	0					15,078	*
85		37	30		-	7	77.9			0	6	0	3	13	28	28	16	5	1	0				14,297	*
84		36	30		-	8	58.4			0	3	0	1	6	18	30	25	12	3	0	0			13,464	*
83		36	31		-	7	36.4				2		0	2	9	23	31	22	9	2	0	0		12,390	*
82		35	31		-	8	18.4				1	0	0	1	3	13	28	30	17	6	1	0		11,377	*
81		35	32		-	7	7.8				0		0	0	1	6	18	31	27	13	3	0	0	10,198	*
80		34	32		-	8	2.8				0			0	0	2	10	24	32	22	8	1	0	8,824	*
79		34	33		-	7	0.9				0				0	1	4	15	30	30	16	4	0	7,732	*
78		33	33		-	8	0.2				0				0	0	2	8	23	33	24	9	1	6,618	*
77		33	34		-	7	0.1				0				0	0	1	4	14	30	32	16	3	5,636	*
76		32	34		-	8	Out										0	2	7	24	36	25	6	4,725	*
75		32	35		-	7	0.0									0	0	1	4	15	35	33	12	3,738	*
74		31	35		-	8	0.0				0						0	0	1	10	30	40	19	3,014	*
73		31	36		-	7	Out												0	5	23	44	28	2,398	*
72		30	36		-	8	Out											0	0	3	16	42	38	1,921	*
71		30	37		-	7	Out													1	10	38	50	1,446	*
70		29	37		-	8	Out													0	7	36	57	1,094	*
69		29	38		-	7	Out													0	4	27	68	811	*
68		28	38		-	8	Out														3	18	79	639	*
67		28	39		-	7	Out														1	21	78	439	*
66		28	40		-	6	Out														0	15	85	311	*
65		27	40		-	7	Out															11	89	231	*
64		27	41		-	6	Out															5	95	167	*
63		26	41		-	7	Out															7	93	137	*
62		25	41		-	8	Out															8	92	76	*
4	-61						Out																100	146	*

Total:							73.1	%	14	11	9	10	8	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	323,755

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs