Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsBrabhamChance will finish regular season at seed
FridayPGWL-OTTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthSaturday
FLALRC 2-3593278-5061100.0%57.2%-14.5871210000000001.1-0.045.694at RCFlorida Everblades
CINWKAL 4-1565257-6051100.0+0.034.8+14.68610310000000001.2+0.153.687at INDCincinnati Cyclones
NFLLWOR 2-3 (ot)5442611-2038100.0-0.06.0+0.313759210000000002.0-0.032.633at WORNewfoundland Growlers
BOITALN 2-24942312-312899.8-0.10.5-0.2428252116410000003.4-0.244.611ALNBoise Steelheads
UTALTUL 2-74862211-402199.8-0.20.5-0.7425232219520000003.5-0.5412.584TULUtah Grizzlies
JAXWNOR 5-34742315-10999.8+0.30.1+0.0053427169630000004.2+0.297.542at NORJacksonville Icemen
TULWUTA 7-25222312-602299.7+0.20.3+0.2321242421520000003.6+0.6815.594at UTATulsa Oilers
TOL5062310-401399.6+0.10.4+0.2316232522731000003.8+0.151.551at KALToledo Walleye
SCWORL 4-14442116-20499.0+0.90.0+0.001142023171580000005.2+0.3619.524ORLSouth Carolina Stingrays
ADKWWHL 6-24942212-501294.9+2.90.1+0.0053227169513100004.4+0.3810.559BRMAdirondack Thunder
ORLLSC 1-44151916-30-1085.7-4.20.0-0.000125814561246207.9-0.5217.477at SCOrlando Solar Bears
KCLWIC 0-44061916-20-181.4-9.30.0-0.000137212326963007.3-0.4821.510WICKansas City Mavericks
FWLIND 2-3 (ot)4442116-20-174.5-0.80.0+0.0001272423181483007.4+0.026.510Fort Wayne Komets
WHLLADK 2-64041918-201065.4-9.80.00001418222018115007.8-0.3816.540at REAWheeling Nailers
REALBRM 1-34251713-80-561.8-12.10.0-0.000481317154181362007.3-0.8118.510WHLReading Royals
MANLMNE 0-14041918-20552.1-10.70.0-0.000251015154211692107.8-0.6514.531Manchester Monarchs
MNEWMAN 1-04342117-10-650.9+7.80.0+0.000261014144211682107.9+0.348.486Maine Mariners
INDWFW 3-2 (ot)4242017-20-650.6+13.50.0+0.000012111719211710108.4+0.479.490CINIndy Fuel
BRMWREA 3-14041817-40528.5+8.70.0+0.00012481032225166209.1+0.4911.527at ADKBrampton Beast
WICWKC 4-04021617-80-1318.9+9.10.000001359273120409.5+0.4026.470at KCWichita Thunder
WORWNFL 3-2 (ot)3951716-50-1611.7+3.40.0+0.000011352132031167210.4+0.3420.452NFLWorcester Railers
KALLCIN 1-43651719-20-2210.0-2.90.0-0.00000013510234412110.4-0.3213.450TOLKalamazoo Wings
ATLWGRN 3-02871119-60-219.1+4.40.000000018131228272012.1+0.4527.441at GRNAtlanta Gladiators
NORLJAX 3-53521521-50-424.6-0.90.000000004131025342312.5-0.3123.395JAXNorfolk Admirals
GRNLATL 0-33311423-50-501.8-0.6No-0.00000000201414265413.2-0.3024.366ATLGreenville Swamp Rabbits
RCWFLA 3-23711621-50-440.3+0.20.0000000001314661611.9+0.1922.366FLARapid City Rush
ALNTBOI 2-2281327-21-420.0+0.0No0000000001168312.8-0.1025.381at BOIAllen Americans

Automation via bash scripting and the ECHL's Leaguestat XML. Updated script as of 2018-10-25 takes into account the current home win, OT, and SO percentages for the league once a minimum number of games has been reached (currently set to 100).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
MNE 1 MAN 0
7:15 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
MAN-7.8
-0.4
MNE+7.3
+0.4
BRM+0.3
WOR+0.2
REA 1 BRM 3
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
REA-7.4
-0.5
MAN+0.3
MNE+0.7
BRM+6.2
+0.4
WOR+0.2
FW 2 IND 3 (ot)
8:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW-3.9
-0.1
WHL-2.1
IND+6.7
No
+0.3
KAL-0.6
ADK 6 WHL 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK+1.8
+0.2
FW+1.2
WHL-4.3
-0.2
REA-0.3
MAN-0.4
MNE-0.5
IND+2.1
BRM-0.4
WOR-0.2
KAL+1.0
WIC 4 KC 0
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC-4.2
-0.3
WIC+4.3
+0.2
WOR 3 NFL 2 (ot)
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FLA+0.5
CIN+0.2
NFL-0.8
ADK-0.3
REA-0.6
MAN-0.7
MNE-0.7
BRM-0.4
WOR+2.7
No
+0.3
KAL 1 CIN 4
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FLA-2.1
CIN+2.5
+0.1
NFL-0.3
FW+0.8
WHL+0.8
IND+0.7
KAL-2.4
No
-0.1
SC 4 ORL 1
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
SC+0.6
+0.2
ORL-2.3
-0.3
ATL+0.6
NOR+0.7
GRN+0.4
NOR 3 JAX 5
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
JAX+0.3
+0.2
SC+0.2
ORL+0.9
NOR-1.6
No
-0.2
GRN 0 ATL 3
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL-0.2
ATL+1.3
+0.2
GRN-0.9
-0.2
UTA 2 TUL 7
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FLA+0.3
UTA-0.6
-0.3
TUL+0.2
+0.3
RC 3 FLA 2
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FLA-9.0
CIN+5.9
NFL+2.1
BOI+0.3
UTA+0.5
RC+0.1
Saturday
REA vs WHLIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FW76.174.674.673.172.872.8
7.37.47.47.47.47.4
WHL60.165.065.169.870.670.7
0.0NoNo0.00.00.0
8.07.87.87.67.67.6
REA66.766.766.060.660.655.0
7.07.07.07.37.37.7
MAN50.850.850.952.452.454.0
7.97.97.97.87.87.7
MNE49.549.649.751.351.352.8
7.97.97.97.87.87.8
IND53.350.850.848.548.047.9
8.38.48.48.48.48.4
BRM27.327.227.428.928.930.3
9.19.19.19.09.09.0
KC vs WICHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
KC87.084.184.076.976.972.6
7.07.17.17.47.47.7
WIC13.216.316.423.623.627.8
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
9.79.59.59.39.39.2
ADK vs BRMHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK96.596.296.094.394.292.3
4.24.24.24.54.54.7
REA63.061.661.760.560.260.5
7.27.37.37.37.37.3
MAN53.251.851.850.750.550.9
7.87.87.87.97.97.8
MNE51.950.750.749.649.449.7
7.87.97.97.97.97.9
BRM23.428.228.233.734.735.2
No0.0NoNoNo0.0
9.49.19.18.78.78.7
IND vs CINHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:35 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FLA63.259.359.355.154.254.1
CIN27.432.332.337.438.538.6
1.31.21.21.21.21.2
FW72.072.072.474.374.376.2
7.57.57.47.47.47.3
WHL62.262.362.865.265.267.6
7.97.97.97.87.87.7
IND57.457.356.251.051.045.9
0.0No0.0NoNoNo
8.18.18.18.48.48.6
SC vs ORLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
SC99.499.399.398.998.998.4
5.05.15.15.45.45.6
ORL82.986.086.088.789.289.3
0.0NoNo0.00.00.0
8.28.07.97.77.67.6
ATL10.38.88.87.67.37.5
12.012.112.112.112.112.1
WOR vs NFLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
NFL3.75.25.27.07.37.3
2.12.12.12.02.02.0
WOR15.215.214.711.611.79.1
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
10.010.110.110.410.410.6
KAL vs TOLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:30 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
TOL99.3*99.6*99.599.799.799.7
0.20.40.40.50.60.6
4.13.93.93.73.73.7
KAL12.512.411.89.59.57.4
0.0NoNoNoNoNo
10.210.210.210.410.410.5
GRN vs ATLHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ORL87.085.885.984.884.484.7
ATL6.68.48.410.511.011.1
NoNoNoNoNo0.0
12.412.212.211.911.911.8
GRN2.52.42.21.61.51.1
13.013.113.113.313.313.4
NOR vs JAXHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
JAX99.699.799.799.999.999.9
4.54.34.34.14.04.0
ORL84.684.684.985.885.886.6
NOR6.36.25.84.44.43.3
0.0*No*No*No*NoNo
12.212.212.312.512.512.6
RC vs FLAHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
FLA100.0InInInInIn
47.553.353.459.060.160.1
1.21.21.21.11.11.1
CIN42.037.837.733.532.732.7
NFL7.86.76.75.65.55.5
2.02.02.02.12.12.1
RC0.60.50.50.30.30.2
0.0*No*No*No*NoNo
11.811.811.811.911.912.0
UTA vs TULHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
UTA99.999.999.9*99.8*99.899.7
0.70.70.60.40.40.3
3.33.43.43.63.63.8
TUL99.699.899.899.899.999.9
0.10.20.20.40.40.5
3.93.73.73.53.43.4
BOI vs ALNHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:10 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
BOI99.999.999.999.899.899.7
0.60.60.60.30.40.2
3.33.33.33.53.53.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Kevin Hartley, Victor Hayslip for adding this league.