Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsBrabhamChance will finish regular season at seed
10/31PGWL-OTGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthThursday
JAX10550-01391.7%-0.018.9%-0.2311913975433211103.5-0.012.590Jacksonville Icemen
TOL11351-1591.4+0.28.9+0.21715131110998222214.5+0.0412.564Toledo Walleye
ADK14172-01190.3+0.214.7-0.22519131086533221103.8-0.015.585Adirondack Thunder
CIN8431-2283.2-0.04.1-0.0910101010101212234435.723.559Cincinnati Cyclones
TUL9540-1681.3-0.09.8-0.1191513119752853214.6-0.013.577RCTulsa Oilers
UTA10440-2681.1-0.09.4-0.1181513119752853214.6-0.016.572at INDUtah Grizzlies
KAL7432-1-274.6+0.02.1+0.057899101215356656.7+0.0220.548Kalamazoo Wings
KC7531-1674.1+0.06.2-0.113121111108631074325.4-0.0113.573Kansas City Mavericks
REA9331-3271.9+0.23.8-0.1810101099877654326.2-0.0126.565Reading Royals
NORWGRN 3-210352-0170.9+5.23.6+0.889101099987665426.4+0.5010.554Norfolk Admirals
IND6433-0-168.4-0.21.4-0.04567891216468877.3-0.0119.548UTAIndy Fuel
ORL8343-0161.7+0.22.1+0.0578899998776547.2+0.039.554Orlando Solar Bears
SC8244-0159.2+0.31.7-0.0467889998887647.5+0.044.553South Carolina Stingrays
NFL1055-0258.5+1.11.5+0.0467889989887647.5+0.0711.554Newfoundland Growlers
WOR6433-0-158.3+0.61.8-0.0467888888887657.5+0.037.548Worcester Railers
MANWBRM 3-19243-1158.3+8.31.7+0.6467888889887647.5+0.7121.553Manchester Monarchs
BOI9243-1155.1+0.02.0-0.05688987414118657.2-0.011.553Boise Steelheads
WIC7531-1052.3-0.01.9-0.05678886414129767.4-0.018.545Wichita Thunder
FLA5423-1049.6+0.21.1-0.0345677889999878.3+0.0416.552Florida Everblades
WHL2613-0-749.4-0.00.5+0.01234571016471113158.8+0.0122.528Wheeling Nailers
ATL5423-1-247.7+0.30.9+0.0245677889999988.5+0.0517.543Atlanta Gladiators
BRMLMAN 1-37333-1-342.4-10.40.7-0.72345677891010101098.9-0.9115.536Brampton Beast
FW2415-0-933.1+0.00.1-0.00122357134712172610.0+0.0125.521Fort Wayne Komets
RC6323-2-628.9+0.00.4-0.01234555313151414159.3-0.0127.533at TULRapid City Rush
ALN7234-1-627.2+0.00.3-0.01234555313151415159.4-0.0118.529Allen Americans
MNE4325-0-1020.4+0.10.1-0.001123345681013182411.0+0.0324.518Maine Mariners
GRNLNOR 2-35225-1-1119.2-6.00.1-0.101122345681013182611.1-0.5614.513Greenville Swamp Rabbits

Automation via bash scripting and the ECHL's Leaguestat XML. Updated script as of 2018-10-25 takes into account the current home win, OT, and SO percentages for the league once a minimum number of games has been reached (currently set to 100).

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
MAN 3 BRM 1
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
ADK*+0.1
REA+0.1
NFL+0.2
WOR+0.2
MAN+4.5
+0.3
+0.4
BRM-5.2
-0.4
-0.5
MNE+0.1
NOR 3 GRN 2
7:00 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
JAX*-0.1
ADK-0.1
TUL-0.1
UTA-0.1
NOR+3.8
+0.5
+0.4
GRN-3.8
-0.1
-0.4
Thursday
IND vs UTAIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
JAX19.218.918.918.618.618.6
TOL91.191.191.291.591.591.8
9.18.98.98.88.78.7
ADK15.014.714.714.514.514.5
CIN82.782.782.883.383.383.8
4.24.14.14.04.04.0
TUL81.681.381.381.080.980.9
10.0*9.8*9.89.79.79.7
UTA78.181.081.083.684.084.0
7.39.09.011.011.311.4
5.04.74.74.34.34.3
KAL73.973.974.074.774.775.4
2.22.1*2.12.12.12.1
KC74.674.174.173.773.773.7
6.2*6.16.26.16.06.1
REA3.9*3.83.83.73.73.7
NOR3.7*3.6*3.63.53.53.5
IND71.671.671.067.667.664.0
1.81.81.71.21.20.9
6.97.07.07.47.47.7
ORL2.2*2.1*2.12.12.12.1
BOI55.655.155.154.654.554.5
WIC52.952.352.351.851.751.7
WHL48.448.448.649.649.650.7
FW32.332.332.433.333.334.2
RC29.529.029.028.528.428.4
ALN27.827.327.326.826.826.7
TUL vs RCHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
7:05 PM100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Brabham100.0*Average seed
JAX18.618.618.719.019.019.3
TOL8.88.88.89.09.09.1
ADK14.514.514.614.814.815.1
CIN4.04.04.04.14.14.2
TUL83.983.583.179.979.876.8
11.311.210.99.09.07.3
4.34.44.44.84.85.1
UTA81.380.980.980.880.781.0
9.39.39.39.59.59.6
KAL2.12.12.12.22.22.2
KC74.473.873.973.773.674.0
6.16.16.16.26.26.3
REA3.83.83.83.93.93.9
NOR3.53.53.53.63.63.7
ORL2.12.12.12.12.12.2
SC1.71.71.71.81.81.8
NFL1.51.51.51.61.61.6
MAN1.71.71.71.71.71.8
BOI55.454.654.754.554.454.9
WIC52.551.851.951.751.652.2
RC25.128.528.632.733.233.8
0.20.30.40.50.50.6
9.69.39.39.08.98.9
ALN27.426.926.926.826.7*27.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Kevin Hartley, Victor Hayslip for adding this league.