Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Explain

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Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTGD%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Chicago630-0473.4%+5.81413128776665443325.8+0.6517.562Chicago Wolves
Springfield4120-0673.1+0.11411910877655443325.91.566Springfield Falcons
Abbotsford4120-0771.9-0.21311810987665543326.1-0.0219.566Abbotsford Heat
Manchester4120-0371.2-0.11313146666665544326.0-0.019.562Manchester Monarchs
Binghamton4120-0370.5-0.01211810987665544326.25.562Binghamton Senators
Bridgeport4120-0468.6+0.1129810887766554336.418.560Bridgeport Sound Tigers
Lake Erie421-0466.8-0.3109710987766554436.7-0.038.565Lake Erie Monsters
Texas4120-0265.2-0.2101098877766555436.8-0.021.554Texas Stars
Norfolk4120-0364.8+0.110979987766655436.921.557Norfolk Admirals
Charlotte3110-1162.4+0.09988877776665447.17.557Charlotte Checkers
Milwaukee2210-0162.0+0.29998777776665547.1-0.0121.554Milwaukee Admirals
Syracuse3110-1059.4-0.17768887777666547.5-0.0124.553Syracuse Crunch
Hamilton2210-0159.3+0.17768887777666547.4+0.0221.551Hamilton Bulldogs
San Antonio2111-0052.7-0.15676777777777768.1-0.0115.550San Antonio Rampage
Oklahoma City2111-0052.7-0.26676777777777668.1-0.023.550Oklahoma City Barons
St. John's2111-0-150.5-0.15686667777777778.34.546St. John's IceCaps
Adirondack2111-0-149.6+0.05557777777777778.4-0.019.547Adirondack Phantoms
Toronto2111-0-246.5+0.14446777778888888.7+0.0115.542Toronto Marlies
Grand Rapids1101-1-246.1+0.24566667777888888.8-0.0128.546Grand Rapids Griffins
Hershey0201-0-145.8-0.14446777777888888.8+0.0128.548Hershey Bears
Albany0201-0-145.3+0.34456677777888888.9+0.039.546Albany Devils
W-B/Scranton0201-0-144.8+0.14446677777888888.9+0.016.546Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
Portland0201-0-344.3-0.44574566777888998.9-0.0426.544Portland Pirates
Worcester1101-1-343.0-0.13574566777888999.0+0.0128.543Worcester Sharks
Rockford1101-1-342.6+0.03465566777888999.19.542Rockford IceHogs
Rochester212-0-336.2-0.22334566778891011119.8-0.0214.536Rochester Americans
Connecticut0102-0-335.6+0.22334556677891011139.8+0.0120.541Connecticut Whale
Houston0102-0-335.1-0.32344556677891011139.9-0.0126.539Houston Aeros
Providence0102-0-433.4-0.123534556778910111410.09.537Providence Bruins
Peoria102-1-827.2-4.912333456678911131810.7-0.5225.526Peoria Rivermen

Stats are updated approximately once daily, usually around 9AM Eastern.
Let me know if things are wrong: matt dot grande at gmail dot com.

Last Updated: October 18, 2012 - 10:44:11

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Wednesday
Chicago 2 Peoria 1 (ot)
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago+3.5
+0.4
Abbotsford-0.0
Bridgeport+0.0
Lake Erie*+0.0
Texas*-0.0
Charlotte-1.4
*-0.1
Milwaukee*-0.0
San Antonio*-0.7
Grand Rapids*-0.1
Houston*+0.0
Peoria*-0.2
-0.1
Friday
Hamilton vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago*5.8*5.8*5.8*5.85.95.8
Abbotsford*6.1*6.16.1*6.2*6.16.1
Hamilton63.363.664.0*59.0*58.753.9
7.07.07.0*7.5*7.58.0
Toronto41.4*46.2*46.050.450.951.0
9.2*8.8*8.88.48.48.3
Rochester*9.7*9.89.8*9.8*9.89.8
Connecticut*9.99.8*9.9*9.89.8*9.8
Albany vs SyracuseHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield5.96.0*5.9*6.0*5.95.9
Binghamton6.2*6.2*6.3*6.3*6.36.3
Syracuse54.2*58.857.963.363.763.9
8.07.57.57.17.07.0
Hershey8.8*8.9*8.8*8.8*8.88.8
Albany49.649.848.8*44.4*44.939.9
8.48.48.5*9.08.99.4
Connecticut9.8*9.9*9.8*9.99.99.8
Portland vs WorcesterHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Portland48.747.948.643.0*43.339.0
8.48.58.59.0*9.09.4
Worcester37.7*42.1*42.347.447.647.4
9.6*9.19.18.68.68.6
Rochester vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago5.8*5.8*5.95.85.95.8
Abbotsford6.1*6.1*6.26.1*6.16.1
Lake Erie6.7*6.7*6.7*6.8*6.76.7
Toronto8.8*8.8*8.8*8.7*8.88.7
Grand Rapids40.8*45.0*45.450.650.550.3
9.3*8.9*8.88.38.38.3
Rochester40.439.440.734.9*35.331.2
9.39.59.3*9.9*9.810.3
St. John's vs AdirondackHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield5.9*6.0*6.0*6.06.05.9
Manchester6.06.06.1*5.95.96.0
St. John's54.754.954.8*49.6*49.445.0
7.87.97.8*8.3*8.38.8
Adirondack44.5*49.4*48.753.553.154.0
8.9*8.5*8.58.08.18.0
Hershey*8.8*8.9*8.88.98.98.8
Worcester9.0*9.0*9.0*9.19.19.0
Providence10.0*10.1*10.1*10.110.110.0
Oklahoma City vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Texas*6.86.8*6.8*6.8*6.86.7
Charlotte*7.17.1*7.27.27.1*7.1
San Antonio47.6*51.7*52.157.056.957.0
8.6*8.2*8.27.77.77.6
Oklahoma City57.156.457.0*51.8*51.647.2
7.67.77.6*8.1*8.28.6
Milwaukee vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago5.85.95.8*5.8*5.85.8
Texas6.7*6.8*6.86.86.86.8
Charlotte57.5*61.9*61.666.366.966.4
7.6*7.2*7.26.76.66.7
Milwaukee66.166.066.3*61.660.956.8
6.76.76.6*7.17.27.6
San Antonio8.0*8.18.1*8.28.18.1
Grand Rapids8.78.88.9*8.8*8.88.7
Rochester*9.8*9.89.8*9.89.8*9.7
Peoria10.7*10.7*10.7*10.7*10.710.6
Norfolk vs ConnecticutHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Binghamton6.36.36.3*6.36.36.2
Norfolk68.968.468.4*63.9*64.459.5
6.56.56.57.0*6.97.4
Syracuse7.5*7.4*7.5*7.5*7.57.4
Adirondack8.4*8.5*8.4*8.5*8.58.5
Albany8.98.9*9.0*8.9*8.98.9
Connecticut30.8*35.0*34.939.539.740.0
10.3*9.9*9.99.59.49.4
Binghamton vs HersheyHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Binghamton74.373.674.1*69.9*69.965.5
5.86.05.8*6.36.46.8
Norfolk6.9*6.9*7.0*6.9*6.96.9
Syracuse7.5*7.5*7.5*7.5*7.57.4
Hershey40.8*45.1*45.550.150.150.3
9.38.98.98.48.48.4
Houston vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago5.8*5.85.9*5.9*5.85.8
Texas60.2*64.7*64.768.168.469.4
7.36.9*6.96.46.46.3
Rockford*9.19.2*9.19.0*9.1*9.1
Houston39.239.039.0*34.4*34.130.2
9.49.59.59.910.010.4
Manchester vs ProvidenceHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Manchester74.974.574.6*70.970.266.1
5.65.65.6*6.0*6.16.5
St. John's8.3*8.38.3*8.3*8.28.3
Adirondack8.4*8.4*8.5*8.5*8.58.4
Albany8.8*8.9*8.98.9*9.0*8.9
Portland8.9*8.9*9.0*8.9*9.08.8
Worcester9.09.19.1*9.09.19.0
Providence28.6*33.1*33.337.837.837.7
10.510.0*10.19.69.59.6
Peoria vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockford37.5*41.8*41.846.847.146.7
9.6*9.2*9.28.78.68.7
Peoria31.030.130.3*26.3*26.922.8
10.310.310.3*10.8*10.711.2
Springfield vs W-B/ScrantonHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield76.576.676.3*72.4*72.468.5
5.55.55.66.1*6.06.4
Manchester6.06.0*6.0*6.0*6.16.0
Norfolk6.9*6.9*6.9*7.0*6.96.9
Syracuse7.4*7.4*7.4*7.5*7.57.5
Adirondack8.4*8.5*8.5*8.4*8.58.4
Albany8.98.9*8.9*8.9*8.98.8
W-B/Scranton39.9*44.0*44.649.148.449.4
9.4*9.0*8.98.58.58.5
Abbotsford vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chicago69.0*72.9*73.276.577.077.2
6.3*5.9*5.85.45.45.4
Abbotsford75.574.874.870.6*71.567.5
5.75.75.86.26.26.6
Milwaukee7.0*7.1*7.17.17.17.1
Hamilton7.5*7.57.5*7.5*7.57.4
Grand Rapids8.7*8.7*8.88.88.88.8
Rochester9.89.89.8*9.8*9.89.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Matt Grande for adding this league.