Western Conference Playoff Chances 2011-2012

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Chicago	6		3	0		-	0	4	73.4	%	+5.8	14	13	12	8	7	7	6	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	5.8	+0.65	17	.562	Chicago Wolves
Abbotsford	4	1	2	0		-	0	7	71.9		-0.2	13	11	8	10	9	8	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	6.1	-0.02	19	.566	Abbotsford Heat
Lake Erie	4		2	1		-	0	4	66.8		-0.3	10	9	7	10	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	6.7	-0.03	8	.565	Lake Erie Monsters
Texas	4	1	2	0		-	0	2	65.2		-0.2	10	10	9	8	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	6.8	-0.02	1	.554	Texas Stars
Charlotte	3	1	1	0		-	1	1	62.4		+0.0	9	9	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	4	4	7.1		7	.557	Charlotte Checkers
Milwaukee	2	2	1	0		-	0	1	62.0		+0.2	9	9	9	8	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	7.1	-0.01	21	.554	Milwaukee Admirals
Hamilton	2	2	1	0		-	0	1	59.3		+0.1	7	7	6	8	8	8	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	4	7.4	+0.02	21	.551	Hamilton Bulldogs
San Antonio	2	1	1	1		-	0	0	52.7		-0.1	5	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	8.1	-0.01	15	.550	San Antonio Rampage

Oklahoma City	2	1	1	1		-	0	0	52.7		-0.2	6	6	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	8.1	-0.02	3	.550	Oklahoma City Barons
Toronto	2	1	1	1		-	0	-2	46.5		+0.1	4	4	4	6	7	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	8.7	+0.01	15	.542	Toronto Marlies
Grand Rapids	1	1	0	1		-	1	-2	46.1		+0.2	4	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	8	8	8	8	8.8	-0.01	28	.546	Grand Rapids Griffins
Rockford	1	1	0	1		-	1	-3	42.6		+0.0	3	4	6	5	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	8	8	9	9	9.1		9	.542	Rockford IceHogs
Rochester	2		1	2		-	0	-3	36.2		-0.2	2	3	3	4	5	6	6	7	7	8	8	9	10	11	11	9.8	-0.02	14	.536	Rochester Americans
Houston	0	1	0	2		-	0	-3	35.1		-0.3	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	10	11	13	9.9	-0.01	26	.539	Houston Aeros
Peoria	1		0	2		-	1	-8	27.2		-4.9	1	2	3	3	3	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	11	13	18	10.7	-0.52	25	.526	Peoria Rivermen

Wednesday
Chicago 2 Peoria 1 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	+3.5		+0.4
Abbotsford			-0.0
Lake Erie			*+0.0
Texas			*-0.0
Charlotte	-1.4		*-0.1
Milwaukee			*-0.0
San Antonio	*-0.7
Grand Rapids			*-0.1
Houston			*+0.0
Peoria	*-0.2		-0.1

Friday
Hamilton vs TorontoIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago			5.85.85.85.85.95.8
Abbotsford			6.16.16.16.26.16.1
Hamilton	63.363.664.059.058.753.9		7.07.07.07.57.58.0
Toronto	41.446.246.050.450.951.0		9.28.88.88.48.48.3
Rochester			9.79.89.89.89.89.8

Rochester vs Grand RapidsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago			5.85.85.95.85.95.8
Abbotsford			6.16.16.26.1*6.16.1
Lake Erie			6.76.76.76.86.76.7
Hamilton			7.47.47.57.57.57.4
Toronto			8.88.88.88.78.88.7
Grand Rapids	40.845.045.450.650.550.3		9.38.98.88.38.38.3
Rochester	40.439.440.734.9*35.331.2		9.39.59.39.99.810.3

Oklahoma City vs San AntonioHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Texas			6.86.86.86.86.86.7
Charlotte			7.17.17.27.27.1*7.1
San Antonio	47.651.752.157.056.957.0		8.68.28.27.77.77.6
Oklahoma City	57.156.457.051.851.647.2		7.67.77.68.18.28.6

Milwaukee vs CharlotteHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago			5.85.95.85.85.85.8
Texas			6.76.86.86.86.86.8
Charlotte	57.561.961.666.366.966.4		7.67.27.26.76.66.7
Milwaukee	66.166.066.3*61.660.956.8		6.76.76.6*7.17.27.6
San Antonio			8.08.18.18.28.18.1
Grand Rapids			8.78.88.98.88.88.7
Rochester			9.89.89.89.89.89.7
Peoria			10.710.710.710.710.710.6

Houston vs TexasHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago			5.85.85.95.9*5.85.8
Texas	60.264.764.768.168.469.4		7.36.9*6.96.46.46.3
Charlotte			7.17.17.27.17.17.1
Rockford			9.19.29.19.09.19.1
Houston	39.239.039.034.434.130.2		9.49.59.59.910.010.4

Peoria vs RockfordHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rockford	37.541.841.846.847.146.7		9.69.29.28.78.68.7
Peoria	31.030.130.326.326.922.8		10.310.310.310.810.711.2

Abbotsford vs ChicagoHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago	69.072.973.276.577.077.2		6.35.95.85.45.45.4
Abbotsford	75.574.874.870.6*71.567.5		5.75.75.86.26.26.6
Milwaukee			7.07.17.17.17.17.1
Hamilton			7.57.57.57.5*7.57.4
Grand Rapids			8.78.78.88.88.88.8
Rochester			9.89.89.89.89.89.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Western Conference Playoff Chances 2011-2012

Big Games