SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

WednesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Albany vs Syracuse+4.4+4.6+3.6*-0.9*-0.4-5.4
+0.4+0.4+0.4*-0.1-0.0-0.5
Norfolk vs Connecticut+0.0-0.0*-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Springfield vs W-B/Scranton-0.0-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0
Manchester vs Providence+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0*-0.1*+0.0
St. John's vs Adirondack+0.0*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Albany finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111-150In10093*
1105116-8In98242*
1095218-5In99167*
1085118-6In982110*
1075018-7In9731158*
1065019-6In9622254*
1054919-7In91503346*
1044819-8In8965465*
1034820-7In8884686*
1024720-8In8013160904*
1014721-7In75161801,237*
1004621-8In692011001,553*
994622-7In612321402,169*
984522-8In492741912,659*
974523-7In4030622203,418*
964423-8In2833728404,314*
954424-7In21321130615,099*
944324-8In12291433101006,072*
934224-9In7241635152007,089*
924225-8In3181932225108,232*
914226-7100.0%112182728111009,340*
904126-8100.00718203218410010,557*
894127-799.803151330251020012,045*
884027-899.00112724311951012,702*
874028-796.30831530271330013,764*
863928-889.80618223023820014,500*
853929-776.103031327291761015,465*
843829-856.520161830271340015,727*
833830-735.3102923312292015,740*
823730-818.010041327301861015,735*
813630-97.900161830271330015,302*
803631-82.700021024322381015,043*
793531-90.80014163030163014,177*
783532-80.3000282334258113,388*
773432-90.10000415313215312,389*
763433-80.00028243724511,516*
753434-7Out0041736321010,143*
743334-8Out002113139188,834*
733234-9Out0162542267,768*
723235-8Out0031843366,686*
713236-7Out021241465,600*
703136-8Out01836564,809*
693137-7Out00531643,920*
683037-8Out0225733,158*
673038-7Out0119792,590*
662938-8Out115841,982*
652939-7Out010891,526*
642839-8Out08921,239*
632739-9Out0693931*
622740-8Out397650*
612741-7Out397447*
602641-8Out397317*
592642-7Out298258*
582542-8Out199182*
572543-7Out199109*
0-56Out100249*
Total:45.3%445667777788888323,755

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:32 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)