Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsHome QuarterfinalChance will finish regular season at seed
3/25PGW-OTLDGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
StormersWSunwolves 44-311614-0006496.9%+12.896.9%+52.125710020001.8+0.366.687Stormers
LionsWKings 42-19194-0106338.5+6.538.5-2.12810332710002.6+0.315.640Lions
JaguaresWReds 22-8184-0105931.5-10.531.5-18.9238353210002.8-0.181.640Jaguares
SharksWCheetahs 38-30184-0103630.0+4.330.0-5.8237323720002.9+0.337.640Sharks
CheetahsLSharks 30-3892-030-252.3-8.42.3-0.3020244311935.7-0.4514.453Cheetahs
BullsLBlues 14-38511-030-300.8-4.30.8-0.4010128343066.1-0.3017.407Bulls
KingsLLions 19-4261-040-550.0-0.30.0-0.3000122324066.3-0.0412.360Kings
SunwolvesLStormers 31-4410-050-1130.0-0.10.0-0.000001311857.8-0.0318.267Sunwolves

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/24
Cheetahs 30 Sharks 38
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers+3.4
-1.8
+0.1
Lions-3.5
-1.7
-0.1
Jaguares-4.2
-1.8
-0.1
Sharks+7.8
+11.2
+0.4
Cheetahs-3.9
-1.7
-0.4
Bulls+0.5
-0.1
+0.1
Kings-0.1
+0.1
Kings 19 Lions 42
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers-1.6
Lions+7.2
+9.3
+0.3
Jaguares-4.2
-1.7
-0.1
Sharks-2.8
-1.5
-0.1
Cheetahs-0.2
+0.0
Bulls-0.1
+0.1
Kings-0.3
-0.3
-0.2
Jaguares 22 Reds 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers-0.9
-0.0
Lions-2.3
-0.9
-0.1
Jaguares+4.2
+5.3
+0.1
Sharks-1.8
-0.9
-0.0
Cheetahs-0.1
Bulls-0.1
Sunwolves 31 Stormers 44
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers+3.3
+6.1
+0.2
Lions-1.1
Jaguares-1.2
-0.0
Sharks-0.9
Cheetahs-2.0
-0.1
-0.0
Bulls-1.2
-0.1
Kings+0.0
Sunwolves-0.1
-0.1
Blues 38 Bulls 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers+1.6
+0.1
+0.0
Lions*+0.1
Cheetahs+0.5
+0.1
Bulls-2.0
-0.7
-0.3
Kings+0.1
Brumbies 13 Highlanders 18
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers+0.6
Lions+0.7
Jaguares+0.8
Sharks+0.7
Cheetahs+0.1
Bulls+0.1
Week of 3/31
Lions vs SharksIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Lions49.530.719.9
49.530.719.9
2.32.83.2
Jaguares31.036.332.1
31.036.332.1
2.82.72.8
Sharks19.433.048.0
19.433.048.0
3.22.82.4
Stormers vs CheetahsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers98.596.390.7
98.596.390.7
1.81.92.1
Cheetahs0.92.97.6
0.92.97.6
5.85.55.2
Bulls0.60.81.6
0.60.81.6
6.16.16.2
Kings6.26.46.4
Chiefs vs BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Stormers97.196.995.8
97.196.995.8
Cheetahs2.32.32.1
2.32.32.1
5.65.75.8
Bulls0.60.82.0
0.60.82.0
6.25.95.7
Kings6.26.46.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.