"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/21100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Sharks 6 Rebels 6 +2.9
+2.9
+0.6
Force 7 Chiefs 16 +0.2
+0.2
+0.0
Waratahs 24 Kings 26 +0.2
+0.2
Hurricanes 56 Brumbies 21 +0.2
+0.2
+0.0
Highlanders 40 Sunwolves 15 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Kings vs Rebels-3.2-2.2+5.8
-3.2-2.2+5.8
-0.8-0.3+1.5
Brumbies vs Blues-1.4-0.8+2.4
-1.4-0.8+2.4
-0.1-0.1+0.2
Force vs Lions-1.5-0.6+0.4
-1.5-0.6+0.4
-0.2-0.1+0.1
Reds vs Waratahs-0.1-0.6+0.2
-0.1-0.6+0.2
-0.0-0.2+0.0
Cheetahs vs Crusaders-0.2-0.1+0.0
Chiefs vs Sunwolves+0.0-0.0-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Rebels finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inHomeChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTLDplayoffsQuarterfinal123456789101112131415161718Count
388-000InYes023771,318,433
367-00199.9%99.9%6940000164,181
347-01099.699.6594000007,837,825
6-00299.499.4495000035,536
326-01196.396.21960012003,304,248
5-00397.597.419701104,167
306-02093.893.7193001410076,099,316
5-01292.092.0092015200562,482
4-00488.488.41870740284
285-02172.972.90730011112200025,411,013
4-01376.876.80770171230050,944
3-00570.070.07010101010
265-03064.564.50650010196000379,514,802
4-02259.159.10590092281003,390,622
3-01454.954.95508241222,637
2-006OutNo1001
244-03122.622.623003233215300099,480,487
3-02326.126.12601193317300232,220
2-01528.828.829213811180
224-04015.315.31501153525710001,086,861,768
3-03211.211.211011334301010010,076,503
2-0248.38.3808323414208,725
1-016OutNo1002
203-0410.60.61017253724610216,849,897
2-0330.90.91006243825610494,161
1-0251.31.311621431971154
183-0500.20.2000215353313201,852,838,641
2-0420.10.10001113137173015,729,168
1-034OutNo0072740224011,657
0-026OutNo50502
162-051OutNo0032245281264,851,804
1-043OutNo0032245281492,001
0-035OutNo13265118117
142-060OutNo00113414041,844,445,113
1-052OutNo01103946512,243,410
0-044OutNo06375165,455
121-061OutNo00117513167,766,493
0-053OutNo0127513182,130
101-070OutNo045838977,432,461
0-062OutNo358393,684,690
80-071OutNo514942,104,093
60-080OutNo1783209,293,971
Total:7.4%7.4%00700014791214162297,302,781,704
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs