Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsHome QuarterfinalChance will finish regular season at seed
3/25PGW-OTLDGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
Crusaders215-0004752.7%+0.652.7%-37.253036101000002.1+0.013.733Crusaders
BrumbiesLHighlanders 13-18102-0301043.7-16.843.7+35.9044015121712724.9-1.2611.453Brumbies
Chiefs1914-0004540.6-0.440.6-46.241044142000002.4-0.022.687Chiefs
Waratahs92-030-4527.4+11.727.4+26.50270161319171345.9+0.1913.453Waratahs
Force511-030-3614.8+6.214.8+14.30150141017212397.0-0.0515.407Force
RedsLJaguares 8-2261-040-5113.1-1.613.1+12.60130038152228117.3-0.859.360Reds
Hurricanes1513-0101496.6-0.36.6-30.570185315521004.0-0.128.593Hurricanes
Rebels110-040-1231.0+0.61.0+1.00100013717719.5-0.0316.313at HighlandersRebels
BluesWBulls 38-14112-030340.1+0.10.1-0.40011029251512716.1+0.9410.453Blues
HighlandersWBrumbies 18-13102-030-290.1+0.10.1-0.3001103626138415.9+1.194.453RebelsHighlanders

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/24
Brumbies 13 Highlanders 18
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+0.2
Brumbies-14.0
-4.9
-0.8
Chiefs+0.3
Waratahs+5.9
+0.1
Force+3.5
+0.0
Reds+4.5
+0.1
Hurricanes+0.5
Rebels+0.2
Blues-0.1
Highlanders+0.7
+0.7
Crusaders 46 Force 17
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders+3.5
+3.5
+0.1
Brumbies+2.0
+2.0
+0.1
Chiefs-2.7
-2.7
-0.1
Waratahs+0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Force-3.1
-3.1
-0.2
Reds+0.6
+0.6
+0.0
Hurricanes-0.8
-0.8
-0.0
Rebels+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Blues+0.0
Highlanders+0.0
Rebels 25 Waratahs 32
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-1.4
-1.4
-0.1
Waratahs+3.5
+3.5
+0.7
Force-0.4
-0.4
-0.0
Reds-0.4
-0.4
Rebels-1.3
-1.3
-0.5
Highlanders-0.0
Jaguares 22 Reds 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.4
Brumbies+1.6
-0.3
+0.1
Chiefs-0.4
Waratahs+0.6
+0.1
Force+0.4
+0.0
Reds-2.7
-0.3
-0.3
Hurricanes-0.8
Rebels+0.0
Blues+0.0
Highlanders+0.0
Blues 38 Bulls 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Waratahs-0.1
Force-0.1
Reds-0.1
Blues+0.3
+0.4
Highlanders-0.1
Cheetahs 30 Sharks 38
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.7
Brumbies-0.6
Chiefs-0.9
Hurricanes-1.7
Kings 19 Lions 42
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.7
Brumbies-0.5
Chiefs-0.8
Hurricanes-1.5
Sunwolves 31 Stormers 44
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders-0.4
Brumbies-0.4
Chiefs-0.6
Hurricanes-1.1
Week of 3/31
Waratahs vs CrusadersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders39.047.158.9
39.047.158.9
2.42.21.9
Brumbies36.339.047.1
36.339.047.1
5.25.14.7
Chiefs51.744.735.5
51.744.735.5
2.12.32.5
Waratahs40.334.421.5
40.334.421.5
4.95.46.3
Force12.214.315.9
12.214.315.9
7.27.16.9
Reds10.511.314.4
10.511.314.4
7.57.57.2
Hurricanes9.08.05.5
9.08.05.5
3.93.94.0
Rebels0.80.91.1
0.80.91.1
Blues6.26.16.1
Highlanders5.95.95.8
Chiefs vs BullsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders50.063.265.4
50.063.265.4
2.11.91.8
Chiefs43.829.425.4
43.829.425.4
2.32.62.8
Hurricanes6.17.28.9
6.17.28.9
4.03.93.8
Reds vs HurricanesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Crusaders54.354.151.7
54.354.151.7
2.02.02.1
Brumbies40.543.945.4
40.543.945.4
5.14.94.8
Chiefs42.441.939.6
42.441.939.6
2.32.32.4
Waratahs25.028.028.7
25.028.028.7
6.15.85.8
Force13.315.115.6
13.315.115.6
7.27.06.9
Reds20.412.09.1
20.412.09.1
6.67.47.7
Hurricanes3.13.88.6
3.13.88.6
4.34.13.8
Rebels0.81.11.1
0.81.11.1
9.59.59.4
Blues vs ForceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies45.841.139.4
45.841.139.4
4.85.05.1
Waratahs28.727.524.7
28.727.524.7
5.85.86.0
Force10.518.323.6
10.518.323.6
7.56.76.1
Reds13.912.111.5
13.912.111.5
7.37.47.4
Rebels1.11.00.8
1.11.00.8
Blues0.10.00.0
0.10.00.0
5.86.46.8
Highlanders vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies43.843.443.3
43.843.443.3
Waratahs27.5*27.427.0
27.5*27.427.0
5.95.85.9
Force14.9*14.814.5
14.9*14.814.5
Reds13.213.012.9
13.213.012.9
Hurricanes4.04.03.9
Rebels0.61.32.3
0.61.32.3
9.69.49.1
Blues6.26.16.0
Highlanders0.10.00.0
0.10.00.0
5.76.06.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.