Highlanders Playoff Chances
Beat Stormers 57-14, playoff odds up 23.3 to 88.2%
29 points 6-0 3 0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Highlanders 57 Stormers 14 | +12.3 | +0.3 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Jaguares vs Sharks | -3.3-4.4+3.0 | |||||
| Brumbies vs Blues | +0.6+0.5-1.1 | |||||
| Chiefs vs Sunwolves | -0.0+0.0+0.3 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | |||
| Force vs Lions | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |||||
| Cheetahs vs Crusaders | +0.3-0.0-0.0 | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 5/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Home Quarterfinal | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cheetahs vs Highlanders | -11.6-5.2+5.1 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | -0.5-0.2+0.2 | |||
| Jaguares vs Sunwolves | -1.1+0.4+6.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Sharks vs Force | -0.7+1.2+3.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Waratahs vs Blues | +0.7+0.6-0.7 | |||||
| Chiefs vs Reds | -0.0*+0.0+0.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.2 | |||
| Hurricanes vs Stormers | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | |||
| Rebels vs Lions | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |||||
| Bulls vs Crusaders | +0.2-0.0-0.0 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Highlanders finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Home | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | OT | L | D | playoffs | Quarterfinal | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||||
| 48 | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | In | 4.7 | % | 2 | 3 | 45 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 412,016,083 | |||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 5 | - | 0 | 0 | 1 | In | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 39 | 2 | 91,364,245 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 0 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 56 | 8 | 3,275,163,417 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | In | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 54 | 13 | 7,039,248 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 4 | - | 0 | 1 | 1 | 99.6 | % | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 63 | 25 | 0 | 426,809,940 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 3 | 99.5 | No | 0 | 8 | 64 | 28 | 0 | 264,452 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 4 | - | 0 | 2 | 0 | 98.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 53 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 5,207,417,018 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 97.9 | No | 0 | 3 | 41 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 21,519,017 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 98.1 | No | 3 | 42 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 5,225 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 3 | - | 0 | 2 | 1 | 88.3 | No | 0 | 1 | 29 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 497,334,761 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 1 | 3 | 87.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 27 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 529,436 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 0 | 5 | 91.2 | No | 26 | 65 | 9 | 57 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 3 | - | 0 | 3 | 0 | 81.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 18 | 63 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 3,462,664,938 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | 2 | 2 | 77.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 67 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 17,524,487 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 1 | 4 | 76.5 | No | 0 | 11 | 66 | 23 | 0 | 6,457 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 2 | - | 0 | 3 | 1 | 52.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 236,031,951 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 2 | 3 | 52.0 | No | 0 | 5 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 270,352 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 1 | 5 | 47.2 | No | 6 | 42 | 53 | 36 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 0 | 4 | 0 | 40.8 | No | 0 | 2 | 39 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1,107,183,762 | |||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 2 | 37.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 37 | 55 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5,301,197 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 2 | 4 | 36.4 | No | 0 | 36 | 55 | 9 | 1,549 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 1 | - | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 17 | 70 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 48,460,498 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 3 | 3 | 16.4 | No | 0 | 16 | 70 | 13 | 0 | 39,138 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 53 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 165,454,201 | ||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8.2 | No | 0 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 526,252 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1.7 | No | 0 | 2 | 45 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,520,118 | ||||||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 13 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11,313,821 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 88.2 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14,997,761,656 | |||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Thursday, 2017-5-11 4:04 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
