Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsHome QuarterfinalChance will finish regular season at seed
3/25PGW-OTLDGD%Change%Change12345678910Avg.ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
BrumbiesLHighlanders 13-18102-0301043.7%-16.843.7%+35.9044015121712724.9-1.2611.453Brumbies
Waratahs92-030-4527.4+11.727.4+26.50270161319171345.9+0.1913.453Waratahs
Force511-030-3614.8+6.214.8+14.30150141017212397.0-0.0515.407Force
RedsLJaguares 8-2261-040-5113.1-1.613.1+12.60130038152228117.3-0.859.360Reds
Rebels110-040-1231.0+0.61.0+1.00100013717719.5-0.0316.313at HighlandersRebels

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/24
Brumbies 13 Highlanders 18
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-14.0
-4.9
-0.8
Waratahs+5.9
+0.1
+0.1
Force+3.5
+0.0
Reds+4.5
+0.1
Rebels+0.2
Rebels 25 Waratahs 32
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-1.4
-1.4
-0.1
Waratahs+3.5
+3.5
+0.7
Force-0.4
-0.4
-0.0
Reds-0.4
-0.4
Rebels-1.3
-1.3
-0.5
Crusaders 46 Force 17
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies+2.0
+2.0
+0.1
Waratahs+0.3
+0.3
+0.0
Force-3.1
-3.1
-0.2
Reds+0.6
+0.6
+0.0
Rebels+0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Jaguares 22 Reds 8
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies+1.6
-0.3
+0.1
Waratahs+0.6
-0.1
+0.1
Force+0.4
+0.0
Reds-2.7
-0.3
-0.3
Rebels+0.0
Cheetahs 30 Sharks 38
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.6
Waratahs-0.1
Reds-0.1
Kings 19 Lions 42
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.5
Waratahs-0.1
Reds-0.1
Sunwolves 31 Stormers 44
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies-0.4
Waratahs-0.1
Blues 38 Bulls 14
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Waratahs-0.1
Force-0.1
Reds-0.1
Week of 3/31
Waratahs vs CrusadersIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies36.339.047.1
36.339.047.1
5.25.14.7
Waratahs40.334.421.5
40.334.421.5
4.95.46.3
Force12.214.315.9
12.214.315.9
7.27.16.9
Reds10.511.314.4
10.511.314.4
7.57.57.2
Rebels0.80.91.1
0.80.91.1
Blues vs ForceHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies45.841.139.4
45.841.139.4
4.85.05.1
Waratahs28.727.524.7
28.727.524.7
5.85.86.0
Force10.518.323.6
10.518.323.6
7.56.76.1
Reds13.912.111.5
13.912.111.5
7.37.47.4
Rebels1.11.00.8
1.11.00.8
Reds vs HurricanesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies40.543.945.4
40.543.945.4
5.14.94.8
Waratahs25.028.028.7
25.028.028.7
6.15.85.8
Force13.315.115.6
13.315.115.6
7.27.06.9
Reds20.412.09.1
20.412.09.1
6.67.47.7
Rebels0.81.11.1
0.81.11.1
9.59.59.4
Highlanders vs RebelsHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Home Quarterfinal100.0*Average seed
Brumbies43.843.443.3
43.843.443.3
Waratahs27.5*27.427.0
27.5*27.427.0
5.95.85.9
Force14.9*14.814.5
14.9*14.814.5
Reds13.213.012.9
13.213.012.9
Rebels0.61.32.3
0.61.32.3
9.69.49.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.