SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Holy capitalism Batman,
we’re in the Wall Street Journal

Little Rock Monstars Playoff Chances 2015

Beat PVO 105.18-62.92, playoff odds up 50.4 to 89.1%

9-4 .692

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 11/29	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PVO 61.58 MCFP 66.54	+6.8		+0.1
Puffers 87.9 Monstars 102.2	+5.1		+0.2
Ninjas 106.68 Thunder 68.22	+3.2		+0.3

Week of 12/6	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
PVO 62.92 Monstars 105.18	+53.4		+0.6
Machine 114.78 MCFP 106.14	-1.4
Thunder 78.4 Puffers 123.26	+0.6		+0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 12/13	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Ninjas vs Monstars	-52.8+4.0		-0.6+0.0
Legion of Doom vs MCFP	-20.2+6.4
PVO vs Thunder	-6.2In		-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Monstars finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

10		1	-	0	93.1	%	6	87	7						65,729,073
9		0	-	1	36.3			36	64						4,992,735

Total:					89.1	%	6	84	11						70,721,808

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 11/29	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ninjas 106.68 Thunder 68.22	-0.3
Puffers 87.9 Monstars 102.2	-0.2
PVO 61.58 MCFP 66.54	-0.1

Week of 12/6	100.0*	Lottery seed
PVO 62.92 Monstars 105.18	-0.6
Thunder 78.4 Puffers 123.26	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 12/13	100.0*	Lottery seed
Ninjas vs Monstars	+0.6-0.0
PVO vs Thunder	+0.1-0.1

What If

					100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

10		1	-	0	6	87	7
9		0	-	1		36	64

Total:					6	84	11