How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 3/20 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Sled Dogs D1 1 Spiders D1 5 +7.6 +0.4 Wingmen 4 Nighthawks D1 3 *-0.3 -0.1 Diablos D1 3 Lakers D1 2 (ot) *-0.3 -0.1 Leftovers C1 4 Titans 1 *+0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Spiders D1 vs Maroons D1 +12.5+12.5*-1.0-9.8-16.8 +0.5+0.4+0.1-0.3-0.7 Lakers D1 vs Wingmen +1.8*-0.5*-0.3*-1.5-1.4 +0.1+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1 If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway Week of 3/27 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Spiders D1 vs Fighting Ice Fish +36.6+11.1*-0.9OutOut +0.8+0.4-0.0-0.3-0.7 Knights vs Spiders D1 -16.4-12.0-12.0+2.3+2.7 -0.8-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1 Fighting Ice Fish vs Chaos D1 -12.6-13.1-8.0-8.8+4.7 -0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1 Wingmen vs Fighting Piranhas D1 -4.4-5.2*+0.0*-0.8+1.5 -0.3-0.3-0.0*-0.0+0.1 Maroons D1 vs Nighthawks D1 -1.6*-1.2*-1.5*-0.6+3.5 -0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0+0.1 Diablos D1 vs Wingmen +1.4*-0.1*+0.3*-2.4-2.5 +0.1*+0.0+0.0-0.2-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Spiders D1 finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TP W L - OT T playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Count 23 3 0 - 0 0 96.1 % 96 4 0 19,990 22 2 0 - 0 1 71.2 71 27 1 6,442 2 0 - 1 0 24.4 24 68 7 0 2,010 21 2 1 - 0 0 18.2 18 56 24 2 37,973 1 0 - 0 2 15.8 16 49 32 4 627 1 0 - 1 1 6.6 7 55 31 8 365 1 0 - 2 0 3.4 3 58 29 10 59 20 1 1 - 0 1 Out 33 47 20 0 7,345 1 1 - 1 0 Out 17 51 32 1 1,962 0 0 - 0 3 Out 28 66 6 32 0 0 - 1 2 Out 35 59 6 17 0 0 - 2 1 Out 25 50 25 4 19 1 2 - 0 0 Out 3 31 62 4 19,163 0 1 - 0 2 Out 3 30 64 3 375 0 1 - 1 1 Out 2 25 67 6 155 0 1 - 2 0 Out 30 70 10 18 0 2 - 0 1 Out 0 13 69 17 1,555 0 2 - 1 0 Out 11 74 14 286 17 0 3 - 0 0 Out 52 48 1,630 Total: 31.3 % 31 29 20 17 2 100,000
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs