Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTTGD%Change12345678910111213Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Lumberjax29144-0154In61221511.6-0.226.733Lumberjax
Venom B2252113-0335In35242417002.2-0.063.700Venom B2
Leftovers B2261135-0026In338322352.9-0.0715.693Leftovers B2
Mayhem251125-1039In+0.12162745113.5+0.5727.669Mayhem
Mad Dogs231116-101798.0%-0.20214542825.1-0.2133.621Mad Dogs
Farmers211107-10870.3+0.1027443006.039.573Farmers
Rage18298-00-1331.7-0.132863506.7-0.0148.527Rage
Mudflaps15279-01-160.0+0.0056616858.4+0.0171.452Mudflaps
Moose142710-004Out0154227159.4-0.0269.428Moose
Hawks141610-11-14Out919333910.084.406Hawks
Falcons131611-10-27Out5223239110.1+0.0188.382Falcons
River Pirates82413-00-68Out19912.094.280River Pirates
Chiefs B241216-00-45Out10013.0106.167Chiefs B2

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/20
Venom B2 4 Farmers 5
7:45 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Venom B2-0.3
Leftovers B2-0.3
Mayhem-0.3
+0.1
Mad Dogs-5.8
-0.2
Farmers+20.7
+0.5
Rage-12.7
-0.2
Mudflaps-1.2
Moose-0.3
Rage 2 Leftovers B2 4
6:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Leftovers B2In
+0.3
Mayhem-0.1
Mad Dogs+3.3
+0.0
Farmers+7.7
+0.1
Rage-12.3
-0.4
Mudflaps+0.7
Moose+0.2
Moose 3 Mad Dogs 4
9:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mayhem-0.1
Mad Dogs+6.3
+0.3
Farmers-3.7
-0.1
Rage-2.3
-0.0
Mudflaps+0.1
MooseOut
-0.4
Hawks+0.1
Falcons+0.1
Lumberjax 7 Mudflaps 5
6:15 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lumberjax+0.1
Venom B2-0.0
Leftovers B2-0.0
Mad Dogs+0.4
Farmers+0.7
Rage+0.8
Mudflaps-1.9
-0.2
Moose+0.0
Ice Hounds 6 Landsharks 7
10:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad Dogs*-0.2
Mayhem 8 Lumberjax 7
9:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lumberjax-0.2
Venom B2-0.1
Leftovers B2-0.1
MayhemIn
+0.6
Mad Dogs-0.2
Hawks 9 River Pirates 3
9:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hawks+0.3
Falcons-0.1
River Pirates-0.1
Falcons 9 Chiefs B2 7
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hawks-0.1
Falcons+0.2
River Pirates-0.0
Leftovers B2 vs MooseIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Venom B22.32.32.02.02.0
Leftovers B22.62.63.13.13.9
Mayhem3.63.63.63.63.1
Mudflaps8.38.68.68.78.6
Moose9.69.19.18.78.7
Falcons10.010.210.210.410.3
Week of 3/27
Farmers vs RageIf winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad DogsInInIn94.594.8
5.35.24.95.05.0
FarmersIn84.572.937.326.6
5.65.76.16.66.7
RageOut15.527.168.278.5
7.16.96.86.26.1
MudflapsOut*Out*Out*Out0.1
Rage vs Chiefs B2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad Dogs97.697.2InInIn
5.25.25.15.15.1
Farmers67.768.268.5*67.588.7
6.16.16.0*6.15.8
Rage34.734.5*31.3*32.511.2
6.66.66.86.87.1
MudflapsOut*Out0.2*Out0.1
8.48.48.48.38.3
Moose vs FarmersHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mad DogsIn99.899.896.896.6
4.95.05.05.35.3
Farmers57.864.661.577.879.1
6.36.26.35.85.8
Rage42.135.638.725.424.4
6.66.76.66.86.8
Mudflaps0.1*Out*Out*OutOut
8.68.68.58.58.3
Moose8.88.89.39.29.8
Hawks10.210.210.0*10.09.9
Falcons10.310.310.210.210.0
Mad Dogs vs Leftovers B2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
9:35 PM Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Venom B22.12.02.02.42.4
Leftovers B23.62.92.92.32.3
Mayhem3.33.93.73.63.6
Mad DogsInInInIn95.9
4.74.85.15.15.5
Farmers68.4*67.967.867.772.4
6.26.26.26.25.8
Falcons vs MudflapsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MudflapsOut*Out*Out0.2*0.0
8.98.58.38.18.1
Hawks10.110.210.110.29.9
Falcons9.59.610.210.210.6
Mudflaps vs HawksHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Mudflaps0.0*Out*Out*OutOut
8.08.08.48.59.0
Hawks10.610.210.19.69.2
Falcons10.010.110.010.410.3
Hawks vs MayhemHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:00 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Venom B22.02.12.02.32.4
Leftovers B22.72.72.73.03.0
Mayhem4.23.93.93.23.2
Mad Dogs4.95.25.25.35.2
Moose9.79.79.69.69.3
Hawks9.39.39.89.810.4
Falcons10.410.410.110.010.0
Lumberjax vs Venom B2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Lumberjax1.01.01.31.82.5
Venom B23.02.32.01.41.2
Leftovers B22.93.23.23.32.8
Mayhem3.33.73.73.73.7
Mayhem vs MooseHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:15 PM Fri100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Venom B22.32.42.02.02.0
Mayhem3.23.23.93.94.2
Mad Dogs5.25.2*5.2*5.24.9
Moose9.79.19.18.78.7
Hawks9.9*10.110.110.310.3
Falcons10.010.210.210.310.3
Venom B2 vs River PiratesHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
7:45 PM Tue100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Venom B22.12.12.42.43.1
Leftovers B23.03.02.9*2.92.5
Mayhem3.53.63.4*3.53.0
Chiefs B2 vs Venom B2HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
8:00 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Venom B23.12.52.42.12.1
Leftovers B22.52.72.82.92.9
Mayhem2.9*3.53.43.53.5
River Pirates vs FalconsHomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
6:15 PM Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Moose9.29.39.39.69.6
Hawks9.710.110.110.210.2
Falcons10.710.110.19.79.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.