"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGWL-OTGD%Change123456789101112Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
MAD242126-028In+0.042421510001.7+1.471.704Madagascar
VC262135-028In+0.04829193001.8+0.652.680Vatican City
ICE242126-031In102759410002.6-1.243.697Iceland
HAI22119-0-8100.0%+0.1001852246105.2+0.604.449Haiti
LCH222117-02100.0-0.00266216841004.4-1.155.514Liechtenstein
ERI18299-0388.6-8.400720321811746.4-0.316.523Eritrea
SCO18299-0-781.0+35.401591626251367.2+1.457.447Scotland
NZ18911-0-655.1+21.7006232630158.2+0.718.459New Zealand
EQ162810-0451.4-43.700210162327218.3-2.0210.528Equitorial Guinea
T&T162810-0-524.0-4.9000471223539.1+0.049.464Trinidad and Tobago
IOM10515-0-31Out-0.1831711.2+0.0811.303Isle of Man
IRE10515-0-39Out-0.1178311.8-0.2712.263Ireland

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Sunday
SCO 5 EQ 2
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ERI-0.8
SCO+18.8
+0.6
NZ-6.2
EQ-6.7
-0.7
T&T-5.0
SCO 3 EQ 0
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
VC*In
ERI-0.8
SCO+18.8
+0.6
NZ-6.2
EQ-6.7
-0.7
T&T-4.9
NZ 7 LCH 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAD+0.2
LCH-0.5
ERI-0.7
SCO-7.1
-0.1
NZ+15.5
+0.4
EQ-1.2
T&T-6.3
-0.1
NZ 9 LCH 7
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAD+0.2
LCH-0.5
ERI-0.7
SCO-7.1
-0.1
NZ+15.5
+0.4
EQ-1.3
T&T-6.3
-0.1
IRE 5 T&T 6
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ERI-0.5
SCO-3.9
NZ-2.9
EQ-0.4
T&T+7.9
+0.3
IOM+0.1
IRE-0.2
IRE 2 T&T 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
VC*In
ERI-0.5
SCO-3.9
NZ-2.9
EQ-0.4
T&T+7.9
+0.3
IOM+0.1
IRE-0.2
ERI 3 HAI 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HAI+0.6
ERI-3.6
-0.7
SCO+1.0
NZ+0.7
EQ+0.4
T&T+1.3
ERI 6 HAI 4
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
VC*In
HAI-0.4
ERI+1.7
+0.4
SCO-0.4
NZ-0.3
EQ-0.2
T&T-0.6
IOM 4 VC 5
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAD-0.1
VC+0.1
IOM-0.1
IRE+0.1
IOM 3 VC 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
VC+0.1
IOM-0.1
IRE+0.1
ICE 2 MAD 8
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MADIn
+0.6
ICE-0.4
ICE 2 MAD 3
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAD+0.6
VC*In
ICE-0.4
Tuesday
SCO vs LCHIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HAI5.15.25.25.35.35.2
LCH99.9100.0InInInIn
5.04.54.54.04.04.0
ERI87.087.087.088.488.490.7
6.56.66.66.56.56.4
SCO93.193.093.183.183.064.7
6.46.66.67.37.38.0
NZ50.150.050.053.853.762.0
8.48.48.48.38.38.1
EQ50.250.250.2*51.3*51.452.8
8.38.48.48.38.38.2
T&T19.619.819.723.423.429.8
9.29.29.29.19.19.0
SCO vs LCHHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
HAI5.15.25.25.35.35.2
LCH99.9100.0100.0InInIn
5.04.54.54.04.04.0
ERI87.187.187.188.488.490.7
6.56.66.66.56.56.4
SCO93.193.093.182.983.064.7
6.46.66.67.37.38.0
NZ50.149.950.153.753.762.0
8.48.48.48.38.38.1
EQ50.250.350.1*51.5*51.452.8
8.38.48.48.38.38.2
T&T19.619.719.723.523.529.8
9.29.29.29.19.19.0
ERI vs VCHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAD1.51.71.71.91.91.9
VC2.31.81.81.51.51.5
ICE2.42.62.62.72.72.7
HAI5.45.45.45.25.25.1
LCH4.54.54.54.44.44.4
ERI95.895.795.890.990.981.7
5.85.85.86.46.47.0
SCO80.079.980.080.880.881.9
7.37.37.37.27.27.0
NZ53.553.653.454.554.356.7
8.38.38.38.38.38.2
EQ48.948.849.150.250.453.8
8.48.48.48.38.38.1
T&T21.921.921.823.723.726.0
9.29.29.29.19.19.1
ERI vs VCHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAD1.51.71.71.91.91.9
VC2.31.81.81.51.51.5
ICE2.42.62.62.72.72.7
HAI5.45.45.45.25.25.1
LCH4.54.54.54.44.44.4
ERI95.895.795.790.990.981.7
5.85.85.86.46.47.0
SCO80.080.080.0*80.980.881.8
7.37.37.37.27.27.1
NZ53.553.553.654.354.456.7
8.38.38.38.38.38.2
EQ48.949.048.850.350.453.8
8.48.48.48.38.38.1
T&T21.921.921.923.723.626.0
9.29.29.29.19.19.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Nicholas Fattey for adding this league.