Cybertron Autobots Playoff Chances

Beat Heatseeker 6-2, playoff odds down 0.8 to 1.3%

31 points 14 17-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6	+1.0		+0.3
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	-0.8
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	-0.3		+0.1
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	+0.1		+0.1
Wombats 3 Chiefs 6	-0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3			+0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nostra vs Cougars			+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Autobots finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

43	6	0		-	0	35.0	%						0	2	33	65							48,384,842
42	5	0		-	1	16.1							0	0	16	84	0						70,057,827
41	5	1		-	0	5.3								0	5	94	1						248,410,242
	4	0		-	2	4.9								0	5	94	1						41,536,922
40	4	1		-	1	1.4									1	95	4	0	0				294,572,770
	3	0		-	3	1.2									1	95	4	0	0				12,820,775
39	4	2		-	0	0.2									0	84	15	1	0				522,285,636
	3	1		-	2	0.2									0	85	15	1	0				136,349,479
	2	0		-	4	0.2									0	85	14	1	0				2,168,857
38	3	2		-	1	Out										70	27	3	0	0			483,546,174
	2	1		-	3	Out										71	26	3	0				30,769,148
	1	0		-	5	Out										72	26	2	0				191,135
37	3	3		-	0	Out										42	45	13	1	0			571,577,565
	2	2		-	2	Out										42	44	13	1	0			163,674,588
	1	1		-	4	Out										43	44	13	1	0			3,382,246
	0	0		-	6	Out										42	45	12	1				6,775
36	2	3		-	1	Out										24	47	27	3	0			386,976,746
	1	2		-	3	Out										24	47	26	3	0			23,993,953
	0	1		-	5	Out										24	47	26	3	0			144,887
35	2	4		-	0	Out										6	33	46	14	0			343,059,037
	1	3		-	2	Out										6	32	46	15	1			85,072,820
	0	2		-	4	Out										6	31	45	17	1			1,285,612
34	1	4		-	1	Out										2	17	46	32	3			150,880,039
	0	3		-	3	Out										2	16	45	34	4			6,072,740
33	1	5		-	0	Out										0	4	29	54	14			106,995,871
	0	4		-	2	Out										0	3	25	56	16			16,158,213
32	0	5		-	1	Out										0	1	11	54	34	0		22,926,900
31	0	6		-	0	Out											0	1	37	60	2		13,867,961

Total:						1.3	%						0	0	1	53	25	14	6	1	0		3,787,169,760

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6	-0.5
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	-0.1
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	-0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nostra vs Cougars	-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Snipers	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

43	6	0		-	0													0	0	0	6	25	42	25	2	0
42	5	0		-	1														0	0	1	9	35	46	10	0	0
41	5	1		-	0															0	0	2	18	54	25	2	0
	4	0		-	2															0	0	2	18	54	25	2	0
40	4	1		-	1															0	0	0	5	39	45	10	0	0	0
	3	0		-	3																0	0	6	39	45	10	0	0
39	4	2		-	0																0	0	1	20	49	26	4	0	0
	3	1		-	2																0	0	1	20	49	26	3	0	0
	2	0		-	4																	0	1	21	49	25	3	0	0
38	3	2		-	1																	0	0	6	36	43	13	1	0	0
	2	1		-	3																	0	0	6	37	43	13	1	0
	1	0		-	5																		0	6	38	43	12	1	0
37	3	3		-	0																	0	0	1	16	42	33	9	0	0	0
	2	2		-	2																	0	0	1	16	42	32	8	0	0	0
	1	1		-	4																		0	1	16	42	32	8	0	0
	0	0		-	6																			1	15	43	32	8	0
36	2	3		-	1																		0	0	4	27	42	23	3	0	0
	1	2		-	3																		0	0	5	28	42	22	3	0	0
	0	1		-	5																			0	5	28	42	22	3	0	0
35	2	4		-	0																			0	1	8	32	43	15	1	0
	1	3		-	2																			0	1	8	32	43	16	1	0
	0	2		-	4																			0	1	8	31	42	17	1	0
34	1	4		-	1																				0	2	15	42	33	7	0
	0	3		-	3																				0	2	15	41	35	7	0
33	1	5		-	0																				0	0	3	22	47	24	4
	0	4		-	2																				0	0	2	20	48	26	4
32	0	5		-	1																				0	0	0	7	36	42	15	0
31	0	6		-	0																						0	1	16	46	36	1

Total:																		0	0	0	0	1	3	13	23	24	18	12	5	2	0	0