Victoria Cougars Playoff Chances

Lost to Lumber Co 4-6, playoff odds down 1.1 to 0.03%

32 points 15 19-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	-1.0		-0.4
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	-0.4
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	-0.2		+0.1
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6			-0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3			+0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Nostra vs Cougars	Out-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0		-0.6-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.2

Chances based on how well the Cougars finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

40	4	0		-	0	0.5	%								0	76	22	1	0				224,269,060
39	3	0		-	1	0.0									0	56	39	5	0				215,716,422
38	3	1		-	0	Out										36	49	14	0	0			764,880,969
	2	0		-	2	Out										37	49	13	0	0			72,155,162
37	2	1		-	1	Out										18	52	29	2	0			511,778,201
	1	0		-	3	Out										18	52	28	2	0			9,689,352
36	2	2		-	0	Out										7	38	47	8	0			907,509,559
	1	1		-	2	Out										7	39	46	8	0			103,025,265
	0	0		-	4	Out										7	40	45	8	0			423,614
35	1	2		-	1	Out										2	22	54	21	1			365,382,753
	0	1		-	3	Out										2	23	54	21	1			5,994,662
34	1	3		-	0	Out										0	7	44	43	5			431,907,742
	0	2		-	2	Out										0	8	45	42	5			31,885,381
33	0	3		-	1	Out										0	2	27	55	16			75,399,784
32	0	4		-	0	Out										0	0	9	53	37	0		67,151,834

Total:						0.0	%								0	20	35	31	12	2	0		3,787,169,760

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	+0.7
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	-0.1
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6	+0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	-0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nostra vs Cougars	+0.9+0.3+0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3
Panthers vs Snipers	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

40	4	0		-	0																0	0	2	26	47	22	4	0	0
39	3	0		-	1																0	0	0	10	38	38	13	1	0
38	3	1		-	0																	0	0	2	18	41	31	7	0	0
	2	0		-	2																	0	0	2	19	41	31	7	0	0
37	2	1		-	1																		0	0	6	28	44	20	1	0	0
	1	0		-	3																		0	0	6	28	44	20	1	0	0
36	2	2		-	0																		0	0	1	11	38	41	9	0	0
	1	1		-	2																		0	0	1	11	38	41	9	0	0
	0	0		-	4																			0	1	11	38	40	9	1	0
35	1	2		-	1																			0	0	3	22	48	24	3	0
	0	1		-	3																			0	0	3	22	48	24	4	0
34	1	3		-	0																				0	0	6	34	43	15	1
	0	2		-	2																				0	0	6	33	42	17	2
33	0	3		-	1																				0	0	1	15	42	34	7
32	0	4		-	0																					0	0	3	23	48	25	0

Total:																					0	0	0	3	10	19	27	25	11	4	1	0