Hearthglen Crusaders Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 98%

44 points 20 10-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Avengers 3 Rhinos 4 (ot)	-0.4
Sharks 3 Maple Leafs 4	-0.2		-0.0
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	+0.2		+0.1
HF Flyers 4 Nostra 3			-0.0
Ice Tigers 5 Undrfakrs 2			-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Butchers vs Crusaders	-2.1+0.5+0.5+1.5+1.5+1.5		-0.7-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.5+0.6
Stoners vs Avengers	+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4		-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Crusaders finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

56	6	0		-	0	In		11	45	36	7	0											59,840,506
55	5	0		-	1	In		2	24	48	25	1	0										78,752,090
54	5	1		-	0	In		0	9	40	45	5	0										279,264,483
	4	0		-	2	In		0	7	36	48	8	0										43,254,735
53	4	1		-	1	In		0	2	20	54	23	2	0									306,778,851
	3	0		-	3	In		0	1	16	53	27	2	0									12,633,545
52	4	2		-	0	In		0	0	7	43	41	9	0	0								543,995,433
	3	1		-	2	In		0	0	5	39	44	12	0	0								134,328,005
	2	0		-	4	In		0	0	4	34	47	15	0	0								2,066,714
51	3	2		-	1	100.0	%	0	0	1	20	48	28	3	0	0							476,414,504
	2	1		-	3	100.0			0	1	16	47	32	3	0	0							29,291,501
	1	0		-	5	In			0	0	13	46	37	4	0								179,571
50	3	3		-	0	100.0			0	0	6	32	47	14	1	0							563,086,315
	2	2		-	2	100.0			0	0	4	29	50	16	1	0							155,870,223
	1	1		-	4	100.0			0	0	3	25	53	17	2	0							3,186,920
	0	0		-	6	100.0					2	21	57	18	2	0							6,350
49	2	3		-	1	99.8			0	0	1	13	46	33	7	0							368,510,231
	1	2		-	3	99.8				0	1	10	47	35	7	0							22,591,443
	0	1		-	5	99.8				0	0	8	48	36	8	0							138,058
48	2	4		-	0	98.1				0	0	2	26	46	24	2	0						326,677,298
	1	3		-	2	98.1				0	0	2	26	46	24	2	0						80,099,529
	0	2		-	4	98.2					0	1	25	47	25	2	0						1,221,226
47	1	4		-	1	91.0					0	0	10	38	43	9	0						142,048,490
	0	3		-	3	91.3					0	0	10	39	43	9	0						5,783,482
46	1	5		-	0	72.1					0	0	2	19	51	25	2						100,741,295
	0	4		-	2	72.8						0	2	19	51	25	2						15,378,010
45	0	5		-	1	48.1						0	0	7	41	43	9	0					21,820,833
44	0	6		-	0	22.3							0	1	21	50	26	1	0				13,210,119

Total:						98.0	%	0	2	8	20	24	23	14	7	2	0	0	0				3,787,169,760

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	-0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	+0.1
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	+0.1
Wombats 3 Chiefs 6	+0.1
HF Flyers 4 Nostra 3	+0.0
Sharks 3 Maple Leafs 4	+0.0
Ice Tigers 5 Undrfakrs 2	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Butchers vs Crusaders	+1.3+0.2+0.2-0.9-0.9-1.0
Wombats vs SJ Kings	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Stoners vs Avengers	+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

56	6	0		-	0	0	0	9	37	37	14	2	0
55	5	0		-	1	0	0	1	15	38	34	11	1	0	0
54	5	1		-	0		0	0	4	22	40	29	5	0	0	0
	4	0		-	2		0	0	3	19	40	31	6	0	0	0
53	4	1		-	1		0	0	0	6	25	42	22	4	0	0	0
	3	0		-	3			0	0	5	23	42	24	5	0	0	0
52	4	2		-	0			0	0	1	8	30	37	20	5	0	0	0	0
	3	1		-	2			0	0	1	7	27	38	22	5	1	0	0	0
	2	0		-	4				0	0	6	25	38	24	6	1	0	0
51	3	2		-	1				0	0	1	9	27	34	21	6	1	0	0	0
	2	1		-	3				0	0	1	8	26	35	23	7	1	0	0	0
	1	0		-	5					0	1	7	24	36	24	7	1	0	0
50	3	3		-	0				0	0	0	1	7	23	34	25	9	2	0	0	0	0
	2	2		-	2					0	0	1	6	22	34	26	9	2	0	0	0
	1	1		-	4					0	0	1	5	20	35	27	10	2	0	0	0
	0	0		-	6						0	0	4	18	37	28	10	2	0	0
49	2	3		-	1					0	0	0	1	6	19	32	27	12	3	0	0	0
	1	2		-	3						0	0	1	5	19	33	28	12	3	0	0	0
	0	1		-	5							0	1	5	19	33	28	12	3	0	0
48	2	4		-	0							0	0	0	3	14	30	31	17	4	0	0	0
	1	3		-	2							0	0	0	3	15	30	31	16	4	0	0	0
	0	2		-	4							0	0	0	3	15	31	31	16	4	0	0	0
47	1	4		-	1								0	0	0	3	12	28	33	19	5	0	0
	0	3		-	3								0	0	0	3	13	28	33	18	5	0	0
46	1	5		-	0									0	0	0	2	9	27	35	21	5	0
	0	4		-	2									0	0	0	2	10	27	35	20	5	0
45	0	5		-	1										0	0	0	2	10	28	37	20	3	0
44	0	6		-	0											0	0	0	1	11	32	39	16	1	0

Total:						0	0	0	1	4	8	13	14	13	13	11	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0