Payson Lumber Co. Playoff Chances

Beat Cougars 6-4, playoff odds up 0.03 to 99.998%

43 points 20 11-3

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	+0.0		+0.3
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0			-0.1
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3			-0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3			-0.1
Wombats 3 Chiefs 6			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wombats vs SJ Kings			+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

Chances based on how well the Lumber Co finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

55	6	0		-	0	In		0	1	59	40												72,874,272
54	5	0		-	1	In			0	43	56	1											92,780,822
53	5	1		-	0	In			0	26	69	4	0										329,042,052
	4	0		-	2	In			0	26	68	6	0										47,871,375
52	4	1		-	1	In			0	12	69	18	0										339,514,634
	3	0		-	3	In			0	12	66	22	1										12,767,639
51	4	2		-	0	In			0	4	56	36	4	0									602,014,087
	3	1		-	2	In			0	4	51	40	6	0									135,770,127
	2	0		-	4	In			0	3	47	42	7	0									1,857,704
50	3	2		-	1	In			0	1	29	53	17	1	0								481,470,006
	2	1		-	3	In			0	1	24	54	20	1	0								26,342,896
	1	0		-	5	In			0	0	21	55	23	1	0								140,101
49	3	3		-	0	In				0	12	46	38	5	0								569,163,668
	2	2		-	2	In				0	9	44	41	5	0								140,166,003
	1	1		-	4	In				0	8	42	45	6	0								2,485,532
	0	0		-	6	In					6	40	49	5	0								4,343
48	2	3		-	1	In				0	2	26	53	18	1								331,345,715
	1	2		-	3	In				0	1	23	56	18	1								17,626,639
	0	1		-	5	In					1	21	59	19	1								91,152
47	2	4		-	0	In				0	0	9	46	39	6								293,764,723
	1	3		-	2	In				0	0	8	47	40	6								62,504,167
	0	2		-	4	In					0	6	47	40	6								810,188
46	1	4		-	1	In					0	2	28	52	18								110,843,960
	0	3		-	3	In					0	1	28	53	18								3,829,544
45	1	5		-	0	In					0	0	10	49	40								78,593,635
	0	4		-	2	In						0	11	50	40								10,185,702
44	0	5		-	1	In						0	3	35	61								14,450,452
43	0	6		-	0	99.1	%					0	1	18	81	1							8,858,622

Total:						100.0	%	0	0	7	32	28	21	9	3	0							3,787,169,760

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4	-0.8
Wombats 3 Chiefs 6	+0.1
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	-0.1
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3	+0.1
Sharks 3 Maple Leafs 4	+0.1
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	+0.1
HF Flyers 4 Nostra 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Butchers vs Crusaders	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0
Wombats vs SJ Kings	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

55	6	0		-	0	0	0	1	9	32	39	18	2	0	0
54	5	0		-	1		0	0	2	15	37	35	10	1	0	0
53	5	1		-	0		0	0	0	4	20	41	28	6	1	0	0
	4	0		-	2			0	0	4	21	41	27	7	1	0	0
52	4	1		-	1			0	0	0	5	24	38	24	7	1	0	0	0
	3	0		-	3			0	0	0	5	24	38	24	7	1	0	0
51	4	2		-	0			0	0	0	1	7	24	35	24	8	1	0	0	0
	3	1		-	2				0	0	1	7	24	35	24	8	1	0	0	0
	2	0		-	4				0	0	1	7	23	34	25	9	2	0	0
50	3	2		-	1				0	0	0	1	6	20	33	27	11	2	0	0	0	0
	2	1		-	3					0	0	1	5	19	33	28	12	2	0	0	0
	1	0		-	5						0	1	5	18	32	29	13	3	0	0
49	3	3		-	0					0	0	0	1	4	16	31	30	15	4	0	0	0
	2	2		-	2						0	0	1	4	16	30	30	15	4	0	0	0
	1	1		-	4						0	0	0	4	15	30	31	16	4	0	0	0
	0	0		-	6							0	0	4	15	30	30	17	4	0
48	2	3		-	1							0	0	0	2	12	28	33	19	5	1	0	0
	1	2		-	3							0	0	0	2	12	28	33	19	5	1	0	0
	0	1		-	5								0	0	2	11	28	34	19	5	0	0	0
47	2	4		-	0							0	0	0	0	2	9	26	34	22	6	1	0
	1	3		-	2								0	0	0	2	9	26	35	22	6	1	0
	0	2		-	4									0	0	2	10	26	35	21	6	1	0
46	1	4		-	1									0	0	0	1	8	25	36	23	6	0
	0	3		-	3										0	0	1	8	26	37	22	6	0
45	1	5		-	0										0	0	0	1	8	27	38	22	4	0
	0	4		-	2										0	0	0	1	8	27	38	22	4	0
44	0	5		-	1											0	0	0	1	10	32	40	16	1	0
43	0	6		-	0													0	0	2	15	42	37	4	0	0

Total:						0	0	0	0	1	4	9	12	13	13	12	11	9	7	4	2	1	0	0	0	0