Ascalon Avengers Playoff Chances

Lost to Rhinos 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 4.9 to 10.5%

36 points 17 15-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Avengers 3 Rhinos 4 (ot)	-4.2		-0.2
Sharks 3 Maple Leafs 4	-2.2		-0.0
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	+1.7
HF Flyers 4 Nostra 3	-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Stoners vs Avengers	-6.5-1.1-1.1+7.2+7.2+7.2		-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.4+0.4+0.4
Butchers vs Crusaders	+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.0
Panthers vs Snipers			-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

Chances based on how well the Avengers finish out the regular season. Explain

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

48	6	0		-	0	92.3	%			0	0	2	16	42	32	7	0						73,796,811
47	5	0		-	1	71.6					0	0	3	24	45	26	3						93,322,622
46	5	1		-	0	42.0					0	0	0	8	34	46	12						330,924,197
	4	0		-	2	39.9					0	0	0	7	33	48	12						48,064,786
45	4	1		-	1	17.7						0	0	1	16	54	29	0					340,869,128
	3	0		-	3	16.3						0	0	1	15	54	29	0					12,801,997
44	4	2		-	0	5.0							0	0	5	43	51	1	0				604,390,471
	3	1		-	2	4.5							0	0	4	43	52	1	0				136,157,985
	2	0		-	4	4.1							0	0	4	43	52	1	0				1,851,500
43	3	2		-	1	0.9								0	1	27	68	4	0				482,855,134
	2	1		-	3	0.8								0	1	27	68	4	0				26,247,519
	1	0		-	5	0.7								0	1	27	68	4	0				137,549
42	3	3		-	0	0.1								0	0	12	71	17	0				570,784,679
	2	2		-	2	0.1								0	0	12	71	17	0				139,639,567
	1	1		-	4	0.1								0	0	12	71	16	0				2,432,294
	0	0		-	6	0.1									0	12	72	16	0				3,987
41	2	3		-	1	0.0								0	0	5	62	31	2				330,139,581
	1	2		-	3	0.0									0	5	63	31	2				17,247,567
	0	1		-	5	0.0									0	5	63	30	2				86,394
40	2	4		-	0	0.0									0	1	39	50	10				292,663,089
	1	3		-	2	0.0									0	1	40	50	9				61,163,804
	0	2		-	4	Out										1	40	50	9				767,917
39	1	4		-	1	Out										0	22	55	22				108,486,884
	0	3		-	3	Out										0	23	56	21				3,631,519
38	1	5		-	0	Out										0	7	48	44	0			76,950,070
	0	4		-	2	Out										0	8	49	43	0			9,652,528
37	0	5		-	1	Out										0	2	35	62	0			13,690,435
36	0	6		-	0	Out											0	18	80	2			8,409,746

Total:						10.5	%			0	0	0	0	2	8	25	47	14	3	0			3,787,169,760

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Avengers 3 Rhinos 4 (ot)	+0.2
D Rangers 2 Dinamo 3	+0.1
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0	+0.1
Wombats 3 Chiefs 6	+0.1
Sharks 3 Maple Leafs 4	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stoners vs Avengers	+0.6+0.0+0.0-0.7-0.7-0.7
Panthers vs Snipers	+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

48	6	0		-	0						0	0	0	0	3	13	28	31	18	5	1	0	0
47	5	0		-	1								0	0	0	2	9	24	32	23	8	1	0
46	5	1		-	0									0	0	0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1
	4	0		-	2									0	0	0	1	6	20	34	28	10	1
45	4	1		-	1										0	0	0	1	5	20	37	29	8	0
	3	0		-	3											0	0	1	5	20	38	29	8	0
44	4	2		-	0											0	0	0	0	5	24	43	26	1	0
	3	1		-	2											0	0	0	0	5	24	44	26	1	0
	2	0		-	4												0	0	0	5	24	44	26	1
43	3	2		-	1												0	0	0	1	9	37	50	3	0	0
	2	1		-	3													0	0	1	9	37	50	3	0	0
	1	0		-	5														0	1	9	37	50	3	0
42	3	3		-	0													0	0	0	2	19	63	16	1	0	0
	2	2		-	2													0	0	0	2	19	63	16	1	0	0
	1	1		-	4														0	0	2	19	63	15	1	0
	0	0		-	6															0	2	19	63	15	1
41	2	3		-	1														0	0	0	7	57	32	4	0	0
	1	2		-	3															0	0	7	57	31	4	0	0
	0	1		-	5																0	7	58	31	4	0
40	2	4		-	0															0	0	1	32	47	17	2	0	0
	1	3		-	2															0	0	1	33	47	16	2	0	0
	0	2		-	4																0	1	34	47	16	2	0	0
39	1	4		-	1																0	0	14	42	33	10	1	0	0
	0	3		-	3																0	0	15	42	32	9	1	0	0
38	1	5		-	0																	0	3	23	40	27	7	1	0	0
	0	4		-	2																	0	3	24	41	26	6	1	0
37	0	5		-	1																	0	0	7	27	38	22	5	0	0
36	0	6		-	0																		0	1	10	31	38	18	2	0	0

Total:											0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	7	13	21	33	13	4	1	0	0	0	0	0