How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3 -0.1
-0.3
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0 -0.1
+0.1
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4 +0.1
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6 -0.0
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vuohyke vs ConquistadorsOut-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3+0.4
Nostra vs Cougars+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Conquistadors finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
4080-03.1%37917106,461,057
3970-10.5061345013,828,860
3871-0Out394614149,060,233
60-2Out4045131013,320,002
3761-1Out1844327094,460,147
50-3Out184431707,189,152
3662-0Out63143190167,500,403
51-2Out7324318076,512,849
40-4Out732431802,384,279
3552-1Out11341432271,305,447
41-3Out1134142333,845,258
30-5Out11240425498,628
3453-0Out0428599320,687,528
42-2Out04275711180,006,251
31-4Out042655148,832,986
20-6Out0425531864,000
3343-1Out00106030425,474,346
32-3Out009543762,679,779
21-5Out00848441,366,757
10-7Out0641534,735
3244-0Out00347490377,207,023
33-2Out00341560222,260,228
22-4Out0023464012,099,599
11-6Out0226721115,697
00-8Out2278153
3134-1Out0020782394,110,323
23-3Out001484257,209,470
12-5Out079031,229,527
01-7Out19534,186
3035-0Out010847279,500,566
24-2Out06868152,156,333
13-4Out038897,260,048
02-6Out0891051,926
2925-1Out18118215,835,692
14-3Out802025,759,871
03-5Out7822364,316
2826-0Out065350127,590,196
15-2Out6238054,816,313
04-4Out594101,615,904
2716-1Out4357064,775,813
05-3Out386104,579,106
2617-0Out2375232,831,754
06-2Out207828,120,554
2507-1Out78578,229,660
2408-0Out180183,962,805
Total:0.0%026133142603,787,169,760
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Conquistadors 1 N Rangers 3 +0.5
Hydra 3 Wolfs 0 -0.1
Lumber Co 6 Cougars 4 -0.1
Panthers 5 Vuohyke 0 -0.1
Heatseeker 2 Autobots 6 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vuohyke vs Conquistadors+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.5
Panthers vs Snipers-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Nostra vs Cougars-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
4080-0005334315200
3970-10011541321010
3871-0003224027710
60-2003234026710
3761-10007273822500
50-3008273822400
3662-00011132391600
51-20011133381610
40-40011233381510
3552-100214404040
41-300214393950
30-50214393960
3453-00042554151
42-20042552172
31-40042451192
20-60042348222
3343-1000847378
32-30007424110
21-5006384511
10-7005324814
3244-000022948210
33-200022549240
22-40012151260
11-6011653290
00-8125137
3134-100843471
23-300643501
12-500342532
01-7142562
3035-000328645
24-200227656
13-40126667
02-6025678
2925-10127316
14-3117118
03-5117019
2826-004633300
15-24603600
04-44573900
2716-11435610
05-31396010
2617-00237430
06-20207730
2507-1783100
2408-0174232
Total:000012511232527600