San Jose SaberCats Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.008 to 30.9%

7-9 .438

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	+9.4		+0.6
Spokane 76 Utah 49	+4.6
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33	-0.3		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spokane vs San Jose	OutOut+31.0+30.9		-0.9-0.9+0.9+0.9
Utah vs New Orleans	-3.5-3.5+3.9+3.5		-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
Tulsa vs Orlando	-2.0-1.6+1.9+2.0		-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
Milwaukee vs Iowa			+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the San Jose finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

9	2	-	0	95.3	%				95	5					2,424,953
8	1	-	1	14.1					14	47	30	9			4,850,125
7	0	-	2	Out						5	18	57	19	1	2,426,641

Total:				30.9	%				31	26	19	19	5	0	9,701,719

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	-0.9
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33	+0.1
Spokane 76 Utah 49	-0.1
New Orleans 55 Milwaukee 76	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Spokane vs San Jose	+1.4+1.4-1.4-1.4
Utah vs New Orleans	+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2
Tulsa vs Orlando	+0.2+0.1-0.2-0.2
Tampa Bay vs Georgia	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

9	2	-	0							18	77	1	4
8	1	-	1								14	3	36	30	14	2
7	0	-	2										1	7	18	45	23	5

Total:										5	26	2	19	17	12	12	6	1