Spokane Shock Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 53.9%

8-8 .500

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spokane 76 Utah 49	+28.6		+0.7
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	-3.6		-0.1
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33	-1.6		-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spokane vs San Jose	+34.6+34.6-34.8-34.6		+0.7+0.7-0.7-0.7
Tulsa vs Orlando	-3.9-4.3+4.0+3.9		-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Utah vs New Orleans	-3.9-4.1+3.5+3.9		-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1

Chances based on how well the Spokane finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

10	2	-	0	In					100						2,426,426
9	1	-	1	57.8	%				58	32	9	1			4,849,493
8	0	-	2	Out						20	48	32			2,425,800

Total:				53.9	%				54	21	17	8			9,701,719

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Spokane 76 Utah 49	-1.3
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	+0.1
Pittsburgh 34 Arizona 68	-0.0
Jacksonville 70 Dallas 75	+0.0
Iowa 48 Kansas City 40	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Spokane vs San Jose	-1.3-1.3+1.3+1.3
Utah vs New Orleans	+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2
Tulsa vs Orlando	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh	-0.1-0.0+0.1+0.1

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

10	2	-	0							75	25
9	1	-	1							14	44	11	25	6	1
8	0	-	2										18	37	35	11

Total:										26	28	5	17	12	9	3