Utah Blaze Playoff Chances 2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.004 to 7.8%

7-9 .438

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Spokane 76 Utah 49	-32.6		-0.7
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33	-3.9		-0.1
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	-3.8		-0.1
Iowa 48 Kansas City 40	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Utah vs New Orleans	+7.8+7.7OutOut		+0.6+0.6-0.6-0.6
Spokane vs San Jose	-2.1-2.1+2.0+2.1
Tulsa vs Orlando	-1.6-1.8+1.6+1.6		-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2
Milwaukee vs Iowa			+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1

Chances based on how well the Utah finish out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	Count

9	2	-	0	31.2	%				31	58	11				2,426,432
8	1	-	1	Out						24	49	27			4,849,191
7	0	-	2	Out							9	64	22	4	2,426,096

Total:				7.8	%				8	26	30	30	6	1	9,701,719

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 7/8	100.0*	Lottery seed
Spokane 76 Utah 49	+1.2
San Jose 60 Orlando 40	+0.1
Pittsburgh 34 Arizona 68	-0.1
Tulsa 70 Tampa Bay 33	+0.1
Georgia 41 Chicago 51	-0.0
Jacksonville 70 Dallas 75	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Week of 7/15	100.0*	Lottery seed
Utah vs New Orleans	-1.0-1.0+1.0+1.0
Tulsa vs Orlando	+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2
Cleveland vs Pittsburgh	-0.2-0.1+0.1+0.2
Spokane vs San Jose	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0

				100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:				Chance will finish season at seed
TW	W	-	L	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18

9	2	-	0							7	24	55	11	2
8	1	-	1									9	29	42	20
7	0	-	2										0	6	31	36	19	8	0

Total:										2	6	18	17	23	18	9	5	2	0