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Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 2012
Lost to New England 0-2, playoff odds down 10.9 to 63.1%
42 points 12-6-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New England 2 Crew 0 | -8.5 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | -3.3+2.2+6.0 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Supporters Shield | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Sporting KC vs Dynamo | +2.1-0.9-4.8 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Toronto FC vs Fire | +1.7*+0.1-1.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Crew finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Supporters | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Wooden | ||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Shield | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Spoon | Count | |||||
| 63 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 16.5 | % | 88 | 12 | No | 6,336 | ||||||||||||
| 61 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 3.0 | 60 | 38 | 2 | 0 | No | 29,457 | |||||||||||
| 60 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 0.8 | 36 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 0 | No | 56,420 | ||||||||||
| 59 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 0.2 | 24 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 66,616 | ||||||||||
| 58 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 0.0 | 8 | 48 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 245,209 | ||||||||
| 57 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 99.9 | No | 2 | 26 | 49 | 21 | 3 | 0 | No | 219,463 | |||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 40 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 0 | No | 79,913 | ||||||||||
| 56 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.8 | No | 0 | 16 | 47 | 30 | 6 | 0 | No | 417,071 | |||||||||
| 55 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 98.0 | No | 0 | 4 | 30 | 45 | 19 | 2 | No | 715,265 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.3 | No | 0 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 1 | No | 53,710 | ||||||||||
| 54 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 90.8 | No | 1 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 9 | 0 | No | 389,954 | |||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 95.5 | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 45 | 28 | 4 | 0 | No | 361,299 | |||||||||
| 53 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 85.2 | No | 0 | 7 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 0 | No | 877,591 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 92.1 | No | 1 | 13 | 40 | 38 | 8 | 0 | No | 20,440 | ||||||||||
| 52 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 66.9 | No | 0 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 33 | 0 | No | 900,648 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 76.5 | No | 0 | 3 | 25 | 48 | 23 | 0 | No | 166,641 | ||||||||||
| 51 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 54.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 44 | 1 | 0 | No | 511,835 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 45.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 38 | 53 | 2 | No | 323,309 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 66.6 | No | 2 | 17 | 48 | 33 | 1 | No | 4,181 | |||||||||||
| 50 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 34.1 | No | 0 | 4 | 30 | 63 | 3 | 0 | No | 748,711 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 43.6 | No | 0 | 6 | 37 | 54 | 3 | No | 39,219 | |||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 17.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 73 | 10 | 0 | No | 509,389 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 22.5 | No | 0 | 2 | 21 | 69 | 9 | 0 | No | 143,873 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 30.8 | No | 2 | 29 | 60 | 9 | No | 367 | ||||||||||||
| 48 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 9.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 10 | 72 | 18 | 0 | No | 266,528 | |||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 6.9 | No | 0 | 7 | 73 | 20 | 0 | No | 128,223 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 13.5 | No | 1 | 13 | 70 | 17 | No | 3,752 | ||||||||||||
| 47 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 3.5 | No | 0 | 3 | 68 | 28 | 0 | No | 259,469 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 5.4 | No | 0 | 5 | 68 | 27 | 0 | No | 15,863 | |||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 53 | 46 | 1 | No | 125,536 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 1.4 | No | 0 | 1 | 54 | 44 | 1 | No | 34,702 | |||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 40 | 58 | 2 | No | 43,158 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 38 | 59 | 3 | No | 23,434 | ||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 27 | 68 | 5 | No | 30,301 | |||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | Out | No | 14 | 75 | 11 | 0 | No | 10,877 | |||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | Out | No | 7 | 73 | 20 | 0 | No | 2,663 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 63.1 | % | 0.0 | % | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 26 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,831,423 | |||||||||
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 9/5 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New England 2 Crew 0 | +0.7 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | |
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||
| Week of 9/8 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Toronto FC vs Fire | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | |
| Sporting KC vs Dynamo | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | |
| 63 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 16 | 71 | 11 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 3 | 57 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 60 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1 | 36 | 32 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 59 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0 | 24 | 27 | 32 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 58 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 34 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 57 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 40 | 9 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 36 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 56 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 16 | 30 | 1 | 6 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 55 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 2 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 36 | 3 | 12 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 54 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 7 | 37 | 0 | 9 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 7 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 53 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 11 | 44 | 0 | 15 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 12 | 38 | 0 | 8 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 52 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 0 | 33 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 48 | 0 | 23 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 51 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 53 | 2 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 47 | 1 | 33 | 1 | |||||||||||||
| 50 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 1 | 63 | 3 | 0 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 1 | 54 | 3 | ||||||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 73 | 10 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 69 | 9 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 2 | 26 | 4 | 60 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 72 | 18 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 73 | 20 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 69 | 17 | |||||||||||||||
| 47 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 68 | 28 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 68 | 27 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 46 | 1 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 54 | 44 | 1 | 0 | ||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 58 | 4 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 65 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 12 | 64 | 22 | 2 | 0 | |||||||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | 4 | 47 | 39 | 10 | 1 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:36 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
