MLSTestToronto Playoff Chances 2012

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Supporters Shield			Chance will finish regular season at seed												Wooden Spoon
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

Earthquakes	53	2	16	-	5	-	6	22	In			78.0	%	+0.0	91	8	0	0	0						1.1		No			1	.631	San Jose Earthquakes
Real Salt Lake	46	1	14	-	4	-	10	6	100.0	%	+0.0	0.1		+0.0	0	15	48	35	2	0					3.2	+0.01	No			10	.544	Real Salt Lake
Sounders	44	3	12	-	8	-	6	14	100.0			5.7		+0.1	8	68	17	6	0	0	0				2.2	+0.01	No			6	.608	Seattle Sounders
Galaxy	43	1	13	-	4	-	11	7	100.0		-0.0	0.1		-0.0	0	9	34	53	4	0	0				3.5	-0.02	No			9	.540	Los Angeles Galaxy
Sporting KC	50	2	15	-	5	-	7	11	99.6		+0.2	11.8		+0.1	58	25	11	5	2	0	0	0			1.7	+0.06	No			4	.599	Sporting Kansas City
Red Bulls	46	2	13	-	7	-	7	7	97.9		+0.5	3.1		-0.1	27	34	21	11	5	2	0	0			2.4	+0.08	No			2	.541	New York Red Bulls
Fire	44	3	13	-	5	-	8	4	91.2		+1.8	1.0		-0.0	11	23	26	19	13	8	1	0			3.3	+0.11	No			5	.527	Chicago Fire
Whitecaps	37	1	10	-	7	-	11	-8	86.5		-0.6	No			0	0	1	5	80	11	2	0	0		5.1	-0.01	0.0	%		11	.424	Vancouver Whitecaps
Dynamo	42	2	11	-	9	-	7	7	78.7		+2.4	0.1		-0.0	2	8	17	26	25	17	4	0	0		4.3	+0.07	No			3	.548	Houston Dynamo
DC United	41	2	12	-	5	-	10	5	65.5		+5.4	0.0		+0.0	1	5	13	20	26	29	5	0	0		4.7	+0.13	No			7	.529	DC United
Crew	42	2	12	-	6	-	9	1	63.1		-10.9	0.0		-0.2	1	5	11	19	26	32	5	0	0		4.8	-0.47	No			8	.502	Columbus Crew
FC Dallas	33		8	-	9	-	12	-4	8.5		-0.2	No					0	0	8	54	26	10	2		6.4	-0.04	0.0		+0.0	13	.462	FC Dallas
Impact	39		12	-	3	-	14	-3	3.9		+0.7	No			0	0	0	1	3	11	81	4	0	0	6.8	+0.02	No			12	.475	Montreal Impact
Rapids	29	1	9	-	2	-	17	-5	2.6		+1.2	No					0	0	3	18	38	29	12		7.3	+0.41	1.3		-2.9	17	.456	Colorado Rapids
Chivas USA	28	4	7	-	7	-	11	-19	2.3		-0.0	No			0	0	0	0	2	15	25	35	22		7.6	-0.02	3.4		+0.4	14	.320	CD Chivas USA
Timbers	27	2	7	-	6	-	14	-19	0.2		-0.4	No					0	0	0	2	8	26	64		8.5	-0.34	15.5		+6.7	19	.348	Portland Timbers
Union	26	4	7	-	5	-	13	-5	0.1		+0.0	No				0	0	0	0	0	3	59	32	6	8.4	-0.10	3.7		+0.3	16	.442	Philadelphia Union
New England	28	1	7	-	7	-	14	-3	0.0			No							0	0	1	35	56	8	8.7	+0.18	4.4		-7.0	15	.470	New England Revolution
Toronto FC	21	2	5	-	6	-	16	-18	Out			No									0	2	12	86	9.8	-0.07	71.7		+2.5	18	.364	Toronto FC

Week of 9/5
New England 2 Crew 0
8:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			+0.1
Sporting KC	+0.1						+0.0
Red Bulls	+0.4						+0.1
Fire	+1.2						+0.1
Dynamo	+2.6						+0.1
DC United	+3.6						+0.1
Crew	-8.5		-0.2				-0.4
Impact	+0.5
Rapids					+0.6
Chivas USA					+0.5
Timbers					+1.1
Union					+0.3		-0.1
New England					-6.5		+0.2
Toronto FC					+4.1		-0.1

Rapids 3 Timbers 0
9:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Whitecaps	-0.2
FC Dallas	-0.1						-0.0
Rapids	+0.7				-2.8		+0.3
Chivas USA					-0.1		-0.0
Timbers	-0.4				+3.4		-0.3
New England					-0.1
Toronto FC					-0.4

Dynamo vs Real Salt LakeIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Real Salt Lake			0.00.10.5				3.43.22.9
Sounders							2.22.22.3
Galaxy							3.43.53.7
Sporting KC	99.599.799.7
Red Bulls	97.698.198.5						2.42.32.3
Fire	90.291.993.1						3.43.23.1
Dynamo	87.273.063.2		0.10.00.0				3.94.65.0
DC United	62.567.571.1						4.84.74.6
Crew	59.865.369.0						4.94.74.6
Impact	3.14.45.4						6.96.86.8

Week of 9/8
Sporting KC vs DynamoIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			74.481.683.7
Sounders			5.16.16.5
Sporting KC	100.099.698.7		16.47.44.5				1.41.82.2
Red Bulls	98.197.897.4		2.93.33.4				2.42.32.4
Fire	91.991.089.7		1.01.11.2
Dynamo	72.881.192.1		0.00.00.4				4.64.23.5
DC United	67.564.761.1						4.74.74.9
Crew	65.262.258.3						4.84.84.9
Impact	4.43.62.7

Toronto FC vs FireHomeDrawAway
4:00 PM Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			78.578.377.3
Sounders			5.8*5.75.5
Sporting KC			11.911.911.7				1.61.71.8
Red Bulls	98.1*97.997.7						2.32.42.5
Fire	86.290.996.5		0.30.62.1				3.73.42.8
Dynamo	80.078.977.4						4.24.34.4
DC United	67.065.663.9						4.64.74.8
Crew	64.7*63.161.3						4.74.84.9
Impact	4.3*3.93.5
Rapids					2.21.00.6
Chivas USA					5.42.71.8
Timbers					23.213.29.2
Union					5.43.12.2
New England					7.03.62.3		8.88.78.7
Toronto FC					56.776.284.0		9.79.99.9

Sounders vs Chivas USAHomeDrawAway
8:30 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Supporters Shield	100.0*	Wooden Spoon	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			77.079.980.7				1.11.11.0
Real Salt Lake							3.33.23.1
Sounders			7.22.61.4				2.12.42.5
Galaxy							3.63.53.4
Sporting KC			11.512.512.8
Red Bulls			3.03.43.4
Fire			1.01.21.2
Whitecaps	87.086.183.1
FC Dallas	8.6*8.47.9						6.46.46.6
Rapids	2.6*2.62.3						7.37.37.5
Chivas USA	1.62.76.7				4.22.20.4		7.77.57.0
Timbers					15.315.816.3		8.58.68.7
Union					3.63.83.9
New England					4.34.54.7
Toronto FC					71.372.373.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MLSTestToronto Playoff Chances 2012

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