Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

SG Saints Playoff Chances Indoor2013-2014 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 20%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
ASC United vs SG Saints	-6.4-2.3+8.0		-6.4-2.3+8.0		+6.7+1.4-7.6		-0.7-0.2+0.8
Valkyries vs Mavericks	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Angels vs KC Trojans	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Polonia vs ASC Cyclones	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Rionero vs Green and Gold	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/4	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
SG Saints vs Valkyries	+7.9-2.3-6.4		+7.9-2.3-6.4		-7.6+1.3+6.8		+0.8-0.2-0.7
Mavericks vs Rionero	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Green and Gold vs Polonia	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
KC Trojans vs ASC United	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
ASC Cyclones vs Angels	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the SG Saints finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Promotion		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Relegation		Count

44	-54						In		Yes		100										No		12,068	*
43		13	-	1	-	4	In		Yes		100	0									No		6,903	*
42		13	-	2	-	3	In		Yes		100	0									No		12,605	*
41		13	-	3	-	2	In		Yes		99	1									No		21,651	*
40		12	-	2	-	4	In		Yes		99	1									No		35,460	*
39		12	-	3	-	3	100.0	%	100.0	%	98	2	0								No		57,404	*
38		12	-	4	-	2	100.0		100.0		96	4	0								No		88,275	*
37		11	-	3	-	4	99.9		99.9		93	7	0								No		131,177	*
36		11	-	4	-	3	99.7		99.7		88	12	0	0							No		188,934	*
35		10	-	3	-	5	99.1		99.1		81	19	1	0							No		262,608	*
34		10	-	4	-	4	97.7		97.7		71	27	2	0							No		353,839	*
33		10	-	5	-	3	94.4		94.4		58	37	5	0	0						No		465,810	*
32		9	-	4	-	5	87.7		87.7		43	45	11	1	0						No		590,420	*
31		9	-	5	-	4	75.9		75.9		28	48	21	3	0	0					No		725,239	*
30		9	-	6	-	3	58.4		58.4		15	43	33	8	1	0	0				No		499,717
		8	-	4	-	6	58.4		58.4		15	43	33	8	1	0					No		369,990	*
29		8	-	5	-	5	36.9		36.9		6	31	41	19	3	0	0				No		599,419
		9	-	7	-	2	37.7		37.7		6	32	42	18	3	0	0				No		406,692	*
28		8	-	6	-	4	18.0		18.0		2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0			No		1,132,541	*
27		8	-	7	-	3	5.9		5.9		0	6	27	41	22	4	0	0			No		643,854
		7	-	5	-	6	5.5		5.5		0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0			No		595,785	*
26		7	-	6	-	5	1.1		1.1		0	1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0		0.0	%	797,471
		8	-	8	-	2	1.0		1.0		0	1	11	35	37	14	2	0	0		0.0		512,670	*
25		7	-	7	-	4	0.1		0.1		0	0	3	18	39	31	9	1	0		0.0		856,287
		6	-	5	-	7	0.1		0.1		0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1	0		0.0		492,142	*
24		7	-	8	-	3	0.0		0.0			0	0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0	0.2		642,797
		6	-	6	-	6	0.0		0.0			0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0	0	0.2		704,630	*
23		6	-	7	-	5	0.0		0.0			0	0	1	9	32	39	17	2	0	2.2		797,269
		7	-	9	-	2	0.0		0.0			0	0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0	1.9		503,670	*
22		6	-	8	-	4	Out		No				0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1	9.2		747,876
		5	-	6	-	7	Out		No				0	0	2	15	39	34	9	1	9.7		471,556	*
21		5	-	7	-	6	Out		No				0	0	0	5	26	42	23	3	26.4		531,822
		6	-	9	-	3	Out		No					0	0	6	27	43	22	3	24.4		579,516	*
20		5	-	8	-	5	Out		No					0	0	1	13	39	38	10	47.3		600,085
		6	-	10	-	2	Out		No						0	1	13	39	38	9	46.9		376,956	*
19		5	-	9	-	4	Out		No						0	0	5	27	47	21	68.2		831,511	*
18		4	-	8	-	6	Out		No						0	0	1	14	47	37	84.2		333,214
		5	-	10	-	3	Out		No							0	1	15	48	35	83.2		351,983	*
17		4	-	9	-	5	Out		No							0	0	7	40	53	92.7		542,850	*
16		4	-	10	-	4	Out		No								0	3	30	68	97.2		414,370	*
15		3	-	9	-	6	Out		No								0	1	20	79	99.1		306,974	*
14		3	-	10	-	5	Out		No									0	12	87	99.7		217,585	*
13		3	-	11	-	4	Out		No									0	7	93	99.9		147,889	*
12		3	-	12	-	3	Out		No									0	4	96	100.0		95,981	*
11		2	-	11	-	5	Out		No										2	98	Yes		59,365	*
10		2	-	12	-	4	Out		No										1	99	Yes		35,211	*
9		2	-	13	-	3	Out		No										0	100	Yes		19,611	*
8		1	-	12	-	5	Out		No										0	100	Yes		10,291	*
7		1	-	13	-	4	Out		No										0	100	Yes		5,052	*
0	-6						Out		No											100	Yes		8,475	*

Total:							20.0	%	20.0	%	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	20.0	%	19,195,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
ASC United vs SG Saints	+0.7+0.2-0.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/4	100.0*	Lottery seed
SG Saints vs Valkyries	-0.8+0.2+0.7

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

44	-54						100
43		13	-	1	-	4	100	0
42		13	-	2	-	3	100	0
41		13	-	3	-	2	99	1
40		12	-	2	-	4	99	1
39		12	-	3	-	3	98	2	0
38		12	-	4	-	2	96	4	0
37		11	-	3	-	4	93	7	0
36		11	-	4	-	3	88	12	0	0
35		10	-	3	-	5	81	19	1	0
34		10	-	4	-	4	71	27	2	0
33		10	-	5	-	3	58	37	5	0	0
32		9	-	4	-	5	43	45	11	1	0
31		9	-	5	-	4	28	48	21	3	0	0
30		9	-	6	-	3	15	43	33	8	1	0	0
		8	-	4	-	6	15	43	33	8	1	0
29		8	-	5	-	5	6	31	41	19	3	0	0
		9	-	7	-	2	6	32	42	18	3	0	0
28		8	-	6	-	4	2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0
27		8	-	7	-	3	0	6	27	41	22	4	0	0
		7	-	5	-	6	0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0
26		7	-	6	-	5	0	1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0
		8	-	8	-	2	0	1	11	35	37	14	2	0	0
25		7	-	7	-	4	0	0	3	18	39	31	9	1	0
		6	-	5	-	7	0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1	0
24		7	-	8	-	3		0	0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0
		6	-	6	-	6		0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0	0
23		6	-	7	-	5		0	0	1	9	32	39	17	2	0
		7	-	9	-	2		0	0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0
22		6	-	8	-	4			0	0	2	17	39	32	9	1
		5	-	6	-	7			0	0	2	15	39	34	9	1
21		5	-	7	-	6			0	0	0	5	26	42	23	3
		6	-	9	-	3				0	0	6	27	43	22	3
20		5	-	8	-	5				0	0	1	13	39	38	10
		6	-	10	-	2					0	1	13	39	38	9
19		5	-	9	-	4					0	0	5	27	47	21
18		4	-	8	-	6					0	0	1	14	47	37
		5	-	10	-	3						0	1	15	48	35
17		4	-	9	-	5						0	0	7	40	53
16		4	-	10	-	4							0	3	30	68
15		3	-	9	-	6							0	1	20	79
14		3	-	10	-	5								0	12	87
13		3	-	11	-	4								0	7	93
12		3	-	12	-	3								0	4	96
11		2	-	11	-	5									2	98
10		2	-	12	-	4									1	99
9		2	-	13	-	3									0	100
8		1	-	12	-	5									0	100
7		1	-	13	-	4									0	100
0	-6															100

Total:							10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10