KC Trojans Playoff Chances Indoor2013-2014 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 20%

0 points 0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/28	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
Angels vs KC Trojans	-6.4-2.3+8.0		-6.4-2.3+8.0		+6.7+1.4-7.6		-0.7-0.2+0.8
Polonia vs ASC Cyclones	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.4+0.1
Rionero vs Green and Gold	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
ASC United vs SG Saints	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Valkyries vs Mavericks	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.4+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/4	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Promotion	100.0*	Relegation	100.0*	Average seed
KC Trojans vs ASC United	+8.0-2.3-6.4		+8.0-2.3-6.4		-7.6+1.4+6.7		+0.8-0.2-0.7
ASC Cyclones vs Angels	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Green and Gold vs Polonia	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
SG Saints vs Valkyries	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1
Mavericks vs Rionero	-0.2+0.6-0.2		-0.2+0.6-0.2		+0.1-0.3+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the KC Trojans finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in				Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Promotion		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	Relegation		Count

45	-54						In		Yes		100										No		8,281	*
44		14	-	2	-	2	In		Yes		100	0									No		3,890	*
43		14	-	3	-	1	In		Yes		100	0									No		6,789	*
42		13	-	2	-	3	In		Yes		100	0									No		12,625	*
41		13	-	3	-	2	In		Yes		99	1									No		21,770	*
40		12	-	2	-	4	In		Yes		99	1									No		35,425	*
39		12	-	3	-	3	100.0	%	100.0	%	98	2	0								No		57,352	*
38		12	-	4	-	2	100.0		100.0		96	4	0								No		88,205	*
37		11	-	3	-	4	99.9		99.9		93	7	0								No		130,098	*
36		11	-	4	-	3	99.7		99.7		88	12	0	0							No		189,147	*
35		10	-	3	-	5	99.1		99.1		81	18	1	0							No		262,585	*
34		10	-	4	-	4	97.7		97.7		71	27	2	0							No		353,996	*
33		10	-	5	-	3	94.4		94.4		58	37	5	0	0						No		466,626	*
32		9	-	4	-	5	87.7		87.7		43	45	11	1	0						No		588,578	*
31		9	-	5	-	4	76.0		76.0		28	48	21	3	0	0					No		724,139	*
30		9	-	6	-	3	58.4		58.4		15	43	33	8	1	0					No		869,249	*
29		8	-	5	-	5	36.9		36.9		6	31	41	19	3	0	0				No		598,767
		9	-	7	-	2	37.8		37.8		6	32	41	18	3	0	0				No		406,895	*
28		8	-	6	-	4	18.1		18.1		2	16	39	32	9	1	0	0			No		749,975
		7	-	4	-	7	17.7		17.7		2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0			No		382,081	*
27		8	-	7	-	3	6.0		6.0		0	6	27	41	22	4	0	0			No		641,808
		7	-	5	-	6	5.6		5.6		0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0			No		596,247	*
26		7	-	6	-	5	1.1		1.1		0	1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0		0.0	%	796,935
		8	-	8	-	2	1.0		1.0		0	1	11	35	37	14	2	0	0		0.0		510,530	*
25		7	-	7	-	4	0.1		0.1		0	0	3	18	39	31	9	1	0		0.0		855,312
		6	-	5	-	7	0.1		0.1			0	2	17	39	32	9	1	0		0.0		493,127	*
24		7	-	8	-	3	0.0		0.0			0	0	6	25	41	23	4	0	0	0.2		642,654
		6	-	6	-	6	0.0		0.0			0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0	0	0.2		706,064	*
23		6	-	7	-	5	Out		No				0	1	9	32	39	17	2	0	2.2		797,991
		7	-	9	-	2	Out		No				0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0	2.0		503,221	*
22		6	-	8	-	4	Out		No				0	0	2	17	39	33	9	1	9.2		750,606
		5	-	6	-	7	Out		No				0	0	2	15	39	34	9	1	9.9		473,482	*
21		5	-	7	-	6	Out		No					0	0	5	26	43	23	3	26.4		530,851
		6	-	9	-	3	Out		No					0	0	6	27	42	22	3	24.4		580,162	*
20		5	-	8	-	5	Out		No						0	1	13	39	38	9	47.3		600,329
		6	-	10	-	2	Out		No					0	0	1	13	39	38	9	47.0		378,633	*
19		5	-	9	-	4	Out		No						0	0	5	27	47	21	68.3		830,083	*
18		4	-	8	-	6	Out		No						0	0	1	15	47	36	83.7		685,883	*
17		4	-	9	-	5	Out		No							0	0	7	40	53	92.8		543,914	*
16		4	-	10	-	4	Out		No							0	0	3	30	68	97.1		416,322	*
15		3	-	9	-	6	Out		No								0	1	20	79	99.0		307,889	*
14		3	-	10	-	5	Out		No								0	0	12	88	99.7		217,483	*
13		3	-	11	-	4	Out		No									0	7	93	99.9		147,086	*
12		3	-	12	-	3	Out		No									0	4	96	100.0		95,556	*
11		2	-	11	-	5	Out		No									0	2	98	100.0		59,019	*
10		2	-	12	-	4	Out		No										1	99	Yes		34,908	*
9		2	-	13	-	3	Out		No										0	100	Yes		19,467	*
8		1	-	12	-	5	Out		No										0	100	Yes		10,096	*
7		1	-	13	-	4	Out		No										0	100	Yes		4,987	*
0	-6						Out		No											100	Yes		8,382	*

Total:							20.0	%	20.0	%	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	20.0	%	19,195,500

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 10/28	100.0*	Lottery seed
Angels vs KC Trojans	+0.7+0.2-0.8

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 11/4	100.0*	Lottery seed
KC Trojans vs ASC United	-0.8+0.2+0.7

What If

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10

45	-54						100
44		14	-	2	-	2	100	0
43		14	-	3	-	1	100	0
42		13	-	2	-	3	100	0
41		13	-	3	-	2	99	1
40		12	-	2	-	4	99	1
39		12	-	3	-	3	98	2	0
38		12	-	4	-	2	96	4	0
37		11	-	3	-	4	93	7	0
36		11	-	4	-	3	88	12	0	0
35		10	-	3	-	5	81	18	1	0
34		10	-	4	-	4	71	27	2	0
33		10	-	5	-	3	58	37	5	0	0
32		9	-	4	-	5	43	45	11	1	0
31		9	-	5	-	4	28	48	21	3	0	0
30		9	-	6	-	3	15	43	33	8	1	0
29		8	-	5	-	5	6	31	41	19	3	0	0
		9	-	7	-	2	6	32	41	18	3	0	0
28		8	-	6	-	4	2	16	39	32	9	1	0	0
		7	-	4	-	7	2	16	40	32	9	1	0	0
27		8	-	7	-	3	0	6	27	41	22	4	0	0
		7	-	5	-	6	0	5	26	41	23	4	0	0
26		7	-	6	-	5	0	1	11	34	37	15	2	0	0
		8	-	8	-	2	0	1	11	35	37	14	2	0	0
25		7	-	7	-	4	0	0	3	18	39	31	9	1	0
		6	-	5	-	7		0	2	17	39	32	9	1	0
24		7	-	8	-	3		0	0	6	25	41	23	4	0	0
		6	-	6	-	6		0	0	5	24	41	25	5	0	0
23		6	-	7	-	5			0	1	9	32	39	17	2	0
		7	-	9	-	2			0	1	9	33	39	16	2	0
22		6	-	8	-	4			0	0	2	17	39	33	9	1
		5	-	6	-	7			0	0	2	15	39	34	9	1
21		5	-	7	-	6				0	0	5	26	43	23	3
		6	-	9	-	3				0	0	6	27	42	22	3
20		5	-	8	-	5					0	1	13	39	38	9
		6	-	10	-	2				0	0	1	13	39	38	9
19		5	-	9	-	4					0	0	5	27	47	21
18		4	-	8	-	6					0	0	1	15	47	36
17		4	-	9	-	5						0	0	7	40	53
16		4	-	10	-	4						0	0	3	30	68
15		3	-	9	-	6							0	1	20	79
14		3	-	10	-	5							0	0	12	88
13		3	-	11	-	4								0	7	93
12		3	-	12	-	3								0	4	96
11		2	-	11	-	5								0	2	98
10		2	-	12	-	4									1	99
9		2	-	13	-	3									0	100
8		1	-	12	-	5									0	100
7		1	-	13	-	4									0	100
0	-6															100

Total:							10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10	10