ECHL Playoff Chances 2012-2013

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Brabham			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Aces	86	2	40	12		-	6	45	In			76.3	%	+1.1	78	13	10	0	0										1.3	+0.04	1	.633	Alaska Aces
Reign	81	3	38	14		-	5	47	In			14.7		+0.4	15	85	0	0	0	0									1.8	+0.01	2	.622	Ontario Reign
Steelheads	77	3	35	15		-	7	52	In			6.7		-2.5	7	3	90	0	0	0	0								2.8	-0.05	4	.649	Idaho Steelheads
Thunder	67		29	22		-	9	4	In			No				0	0	43	37	20	0	0							4.8	+0.04	16	.527	Stockton Thunder
Eagles	60	4	27	23		-	6	17	100.0	%		No				0	0	23	31	44	1	0	0						5.2	-0.08	17	.555	Colorado Eagles
Wranglers	61	4	28	23		-	5	5	100.0			No				0	0	34	32	34	0	0	0						5.0	+0.03	8	.519	Las Vegas Wranglers
Royals	78	2	36	16		-	6	36	100.0		+0.0	2.0		+0.9	71	25	1	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			1.4	+0.07	3	.604	Reading Royals
Cyclones	76	2	35	17		-	6	26	100.0		+0.0	0.3		+0.1	25	57	3	10	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			2.1	+0.17	6	.573	Cincinnati Cyclones
Grizzlies	53	3	23	27		-	7	-53	99.8		+0.4	No					0	0	0	2	73	25	0						7.2	+0.03	11	.376	Utah Grizzlies
Walleye	68	3	30	19		-	8	26	99.1		-0.0	0.0		-0.0	2	10	1	48	23	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	4.4	-0.22	13	.593	Toledo Walleye
Bulls	49	3	21	29		-	7	-48	99.0		+1.2	No						0	0	0	25	74	1						7.8		21	.392	San Francisco Bulls
Jackals	66	4	30	20		-	6	21	97.1		+2.6	0.0			1	2	0	30	35	15	9	5	2	0	0	0	0	0	5.2	+0.35	9	.570	Elmira Jackals
Gladiators	71		34	23		-	3	8	95.3		+0.1	0.0			0	2	39	2	10	18	15	9	4	0	0	0	0		5.1	+0.15	5	.528	Gwinnett Gladiators
Everblades	66	3	28	19		-	10	0	90.0		-4.0	0.0			0	3	32	3	9	16	15	12	8	1	0	0	0	0	5.5	-0.66	14	.520	Florida Everblades
Road Warriors	65	4	30	21		-	5	10	76.3		+0.7	No			0	0	15	2	7	15	19	19	19	4	1	0	0	0	6.8	+0.08	7	.532	Greenville Road Warriors
Stingrays	66		30	24		-	6	18	71.6		+0.7	No			0	0	9	1	5	14	19	24	23	4	1	0	0	0	7.2	+0.08	10	.563	South Carolina Stingrays
Wings	61	4	28	23		-	5	2	64.1		+1.5	No			0	0	0	3	8	13	16	23	25	8	3	0	0	0	7.7	+0.05	12	.502	Kalamazoo Wings
Nailers	55	6	23	22		-	9	-23	3.2		-2.9	No			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	33	26	18	11	1	10.8	-0.34	18	.443	Wheeling Nailers
Komets	58	2	28	28		-	2	-30	2.8		+1.3	No			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	31	34	18	7	1	10.8	+0.45	15	.428	Fort Wayne Komets
Condors	41	1	18	36		-	5	-62	1.3		-1.5	No								0	0	1	99						9.0	-0.02	23	.344	Bakersfield Condors
Solar Bears	55	3	25	27		-	5	-29	0.3		+0.0	No				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	11	21	37	25	3	11.8	+0.06	19	.424	Orlando Solar Bears
Titans	52	3	22	27		-	8	-30	0.1		-0.1	No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	13	25	48	6	12.3	-0.23	20	.439	Trenton Titans
IceMen	47	3	21	31		-	5	-42	0.0			No								0	0	0	0	0	0	2	9	88	13.9	+0.01	22	.404	Evansville IceMen

Wednesday
Everblades 2 Royals 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Aces			-0.4
Reign			-0.2
Steelheads			-0.1
Royals			+0.6		+0.1
Jackals	+0.1
Gladiators	+0.1				+0.1
Everblades	-2.9				-0.5
Road Warriors	+0.8				+0.1
Stingrays	+0.7				+0.1
Wings	+0.8
Nailers	+0.2

Jackals 5 Nailers 1
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Walleye					-0.0
Jackals	+1.9				+0.2
Gladiators					-0.0
Everblades	-0.1				-0.0
Road Warriors	+0.3
Stingrays	+0.1
Wings	+0.1
Nailers	-2.4				-0.2
Komets					+0.1
Solar Bears					+0.0
Titans					+0.0

Eagles 4 Bulls 5 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder					+0.0
Eagles					-0.1
Wranglers					+0.0
Grizzlies					-0.1
Bulls	+1.2				+0.1
Condors	-1.1

Komets 5 Walleye 4 (ot)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Cyclones					+0.0
Walleye	*-0.1		*No		-0.1
Jackals					+0.0
Stingrays	-0.4
Wings	*-0.2
Nailers					-0.1
Komets	+1.0				+0.3
Solar Bears					-0.1
Titans					-0.1

Steelheads 2 Grizzlies 3 (so)
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Aces			+1.6		+0.0
Reign			+0.5
Steelheads			-2.2		-0.0
Royals			*+0.1
Grizzlies	+0.4				+0.1
Bulls					-0.1
Condors	-0.4

Cyclones 7 Titans 4
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Royals					-0.0
Cyclones					+0.1
Walleye					-0.1
Nailers					+0.0
Komets					+0.1
Solar Bears					+0.1
Titans	-0.1				-0.2

Thursday
Aces vs CondorsIf winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Aces			78.778.778.772.072.064.3		1.31.31.31.41.41.5
Reign			13.413.413.417.217.121.3		1.91.91.91.81.81.8
Steelheads			6.06.06.08.08.010.3		2.92.92.92.82.82.7
Royals			1.71.71.72.52.53.6
Cyclones			0.20.20.20.30.30.5
Grizzlies	99.999.799.799.599.599.5
Bulls	99.398.898.898.098.097.9
Condors	0.81.51.52.52.52.6

IceMen vs WalleyeHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Cyclones					2.02.12.12.22.22.2
Walleye	98.399.199.199.599.599.5				4.84.54.44.24.24.2
Jackals					5.15.25.25.35.35.3
Everblades	90.290.090.190.090.090.0
Road Warriors	76.476.376.376.276.276.2
Stingrays	71.971.771.671.671.571.5
Wings	64.364.164.164.064.064.0
IceMen					13.813.813.813.913.913.9

Solar Bears vs RoyalsHomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Aces			77.276.776.775.975.975.9
Reign			15.014.814.814.614.614.5
Steelheads			6.96.86.86.66.66.6
Royals			0.71.41.42.72.72.8		1.51.41.41.31.31.3
Cyclones					2.02.12.12.22.22.2
Everblades	90.090.090.090.190.190.1
Road Warriors	76.276.276.276.376.376.3
Nailers					10.910.910.910.810.810.8
Komets					10.910.910.910.810.810.7
Solar Bears	0.60.60.60.30.30.1				11.611.611.611.811.812.0
Titans					12.412.412.412.312.312.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

ECHL Playoff Chances 2012-2013

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